November Climate Recap
Coming out of a warmer than average October, November cooled off quite a bit and ended below average by more than a degree. There was one significant, if brief, warm spell mid-month as highs reached the mid 70s, but overall there were fairly large swings during the month. Nineteen days ended at or below average though, resulting in a fairly comfortable month of fall. A handful of rain days were spread out across the course of the month with several dry days between each. For the month, only six days recorded measurable precipitation, ending 2.58" below, or 45% of, average. Thunder was noted on just two days with no warnings or severe weather reports for the month.
Memphis International Airport, Memphis, TN
Temperature
Average temperature: 51.5 degrees (1.2 degrees below average)
Average high temperature: 62.4 degrees (0.2 degrees below average)
Average low temperature: 40.6 degrees (2.3 degrees below average)
Warmest temperature: 77 degrees (17th)
Coolest temperature: 29 degrees (26th)
Heating Degrees Days: 402 (23 above average)
Cooling Degree Days: 6 (6 below average)
Records set or tied: None
Comments: One day dropped below freezing (26th) versus an average of 4.3 days on November.
Precipitation
Monthly total: 2.11" (2.58" below average)
Days with measurable precipitation: 6 (3.0 days below average)
Wettest 24-hour period: 0.61" (11th)
Snowfall: 0.0"
Records set or tied: None
Comments: None
Miscellaneous
Peak wind: Southwest/35 mph (17th)
Average wind: 7.0 mph
Average relative humidity: 63%
Average sky cover: 38%
Click here for a daily statistical recap for Memphis International Airport.
Cirrus Weather Solutions / MemphisWeather.net, Bartlett, TN
Temperature
Average temperature: 48.6 degrees
Average high temperature: 61.7 degrees
Average low temperature: 36.6 degrees
Warmest temperature: 77.2 degrees (17th)
Coolest temperature: 26.6 degrees (26th)
Comments: None
Precipitation
Monthly total: 2.50" (automated rain gauge), 2.55"(manual CoCoRaHS rain gauge)
Days with measurable precipitation: 8
Wettest date: 0.76" (21st) (via automated gauge)
Snowfall: 0.0"
Comments: None
Miscellaneous
Peak wind: Southwest/24 mph (24th)
Average relative humidity: 73%
Average barometric pressure: 30.19 in. Hg
Click here for a daily statistical recap for Bartlett, TN.
Comments: A new Davis Vantage Pro2 weather station replaced the existing station on November 19 at 12:30pm.
MWN Forecast Accuracy
MWN average temperature error: 1.69 degrees
MWN forecast temperatures within 2 degrees of actual: 77%
MWN average dewpoint error: 1.92 degrees
MWN forecast dewpoints within 2 degrees of actual: 74%
MWN's forecasts extend out five periods (2.5 days, or roughly 60 hours). Historical accuracy statistics can be found here.
Climate Outlook - December 2021
The December climate outlook for the United States from the Climate Prediction Center is shown below. Above average temperatures are forecast for a vast majority of the U.S with highest odds across the southern states. Odds strongly favor above average temperatures for Memphis over the course of the month (65%) versus only a 3% chance of below average temperatures. The average temperature for December is 44.8 degrees, eight degrees below the November average.
Precipitation is expected to be above normal for the Pacific Northwest and Northern Rocky Mountains, while below average precipitation is forecast for Southern Plains into the southeast U.S. For Memphis, odds favor near average precipitation, which historically averages 5.49 inches in December.
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Complete MWN Forecast: MemphisWeather.net on the mobile web or via the MWN mobile app
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