tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-60957093938842683302024-03-11T23:51:42.679-05:00MWN BlogMemphis and Mid-South weather, where and when you need it! A service of MemphisWeather.NetMeteorologist Erik Proseushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16116114428520631122noreply@blogger.comBlogger2031125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6095709393884268330.post-49010381342968308722024-03-09T12:26:00.001-06:002024-03-09T12:26:36.889-06:002024 Total Solar Eclipse Details<div>Many of you recall the total solar eclipse of August 21, 2017 that passed directly over Nashville and provided the Memphis area with a view of 93% obscuration of the sun. In fact, some of you might still have your eclipse glasses from that event, hanging on to them in anticipation of the next total eclipse 7 years later! Well, that time is drawing closer, as we're under a month from the 2024 Total Eclipse!</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgujbIfCuTPxjH0TQefbJJZ9hHiIJy_rU7WC-2rmL3eltLWK0FfoDdaEINvJq9mkGnT04wy-eqmZDOHhmBnC1SRpRT-1jFESQ7OKEpj7iaj5OIBKD1IaWt_sdkgpOwu6eUuK4td3jA2J2euj_gIq_t1IMe5WU-Z5oZ4cgDS_e9zJ_tsOFNap4xl4g5hTfg/s1920/eclipse_map_2024_nocity_1920.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="960" data-original-width="1920" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgujbIfCuTPxjH0TQefbJJZ9hHiIJy_rU7WC-2rmL3eltLWK0FfoDdaEINvJq9mkGnT04wy-eqmZDOHhmBnC1SRpRT-1jFESQ7OKEpj7iaj5OIBKD1IaWt_sdkgpOwu6eUuK4td3jA2J2euj_gIq_t1IMe5WU-Z5oZ4cgDS_e9zJ_tsOFNap4xl4g5hTfg/w640-h320/eclipse_map_2024_nocity_1920.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>We've assembled some resources and put them here to guide you through observing the 2024 eclipse safely and enjoyably! Like its 2017 counterpart, the "total" portion of the 2024 eclipse will just miss Memphis once again, but we'll still be close enough to it to see <b>97%</b> of the sun blacked out during the early afternoon hours. A short drive to the north or west an hour or two will put you squarely in the path of totality... and it will be worth it!</div><h4 style="text-align: left;">Memphis-area viewing details</h4><div>If you are staying local, here are the stats you need to know about this year's eclipse.</div><div><br /></div><div><b>Beginning of the partial eclipse</b>: 12:37pm</div><div><b>Maximum obscuration / time</b>: 97.4% at 1:57pm</div><div><b>End of the partial eclipse</b>: 3:17pm</div><div><b>Weather forecast</b>: Too early - check back around April 1!</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg9PaoJhhWw_T8TY-ovYCcjY2IeScR0AhZxdJM2xBNhagBBKHDeIdvkdJQuND9bwTG-a4f1pRX6N1eM39TMfe8IBXdO4vI33oNOWf1Lnri7QKiaqTutasAgbgKrEv09d0NNBz0F2f0aLZz22GIJKa3oKrxXdwMbhMm5RUZ1mzsNwE58P2cbnqOOcYae4dI/s1280/2024%20Eclipse%20Details.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg9PaoJhhWw_T8TY-ovYCcjY2IeScR0AhZxdJM2xBNhagBBKHDeIdvkdJQuND9bwTG-a4f1pRX6N1eM39TMfe8IBXdO4vI33oNOWf1Lnri7QKiaqTutasAgbgKrEv09d0NNBz0F2f0aLZz22GIJKa3oKrxXdwMbhMm5RUZ1mzsNwE58P2cbnqOOcYae4dI/w640-h360/2024%20Eclipse%20Details.png" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div>
Here is a simulation of how the eclipse will look from Memphis:<div><br /></div><div> <iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/t9wjvK46RkU?si=HmpXZ2DJ4-GEkBBx" title="YouTube video player" width="560"></iframe><div><div><br /></div><h4 style="text-align: left;">Regional viewing opportunities</h4><div>If you are looking to take a road trip, here are some regional locations that will experience a total eclipse. Totality occurs around 2:00pm (plus or minus 15 minutes) at all locations:</div><div><br /></div><div><b>Jonesboro, AR</b>: 1 hour drive; 2 min 23 sec totality</div><div><b>Little Rock, AR</b>: 2 hour drive; 2 min 27 sec totality</div><div><b>Conway, AR</b>: 2 hour and 20 minute drive; 3 min 52 sec totality</div><div><b>Hot Springs, AR</b>: 2 hour and 45 minute drive; 3 min 36 sec totality (1 of 2 national parks to experience totality)</div><div><b>Cape Girardeau, MO</b>: 2 and a half hour drive; 4 min 5 sec totality</div><div><b>Cairo, IL</b>: 2 and a half hour drive; 3 min 7 sec totality</div><div><br /></div>
<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/3mvnusLxs6E?si=UMgh5CQwtgFADRkq" title="YouTube video player" width="560"></iframe>
<div><br /></div><div><br /></div><h4 style="text-align: left;">Viewing tips</h4><div>The most important advice for viewing of an eclipse is to NEVER look directly at the sun without specialized glasses or a specially designed lens for solar viewing. <b>Looking directly at the sun for any length of time can cause permanent eye damage. </b>There is only one short period of time when it is safe to remove the glasses for viewing, and that is during the period of totality - the couple minutes when the sun is completely obscured by the moon's shadow. You will know the eclipse is total because you will not be able to see ANY portion of the sun through eclipse glasses. And as soon as a sliver of the sun re-appears, it is time to put the glasses back on. </div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgnZfpn5RBEsqCNu9PWkLwHLfpzX55VKMs1KPGRDqLaZ-RnrtdDayKxfuag0dRNYk00hIrM7nI3-AMxEhrG7FEsyZhx8IpNmglkP8YX5BvsEanPvReVI0-M3JX6uLizQDUqV5mdpJBdIfcZaz-fAFbXT2XfWwUiBRBXfBlP_tABklvwFmN4yJZB-3lqkFk/s5184/adam-smith-ebGd-nqQCH8-unsplash.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="3456" data-original-width="5184" height="266" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgnZfpn5RBEsqCNu9PWkLwHLfpzX55VKMs1KPGRDqLaZ-RnrtdDayKxfuag0dRNYk00hIrM7nI3-AMxEhrG7FEsyZhx8IpNmglkP8YX5BvsEanPvReVI0-M3JX6uLizQDUqV5mdpJBdIfcZaz-fAFbXT2XfWwUiBRBXfBlP_tABklvwFmN4yJZB-3lqkFk/w400-h266/adam-smith-ebGd-nqQCH8-unsplash.jpg" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div><br /></div><div>Always use glasses or solar viewers that comply with the <a href="https://eclipse.aas.org/eye-safety/iso-certification">ISO 12312-2</a> international standard, which are thousands of times darker than standard sunglasses. Be sure to closely monitor children for proper use of glasses as well. In addition, do not use eclipse glasses or viewers with cameras, binoculars, or telescopes, which require different types of solar filters. And of course, do not use those devices without any supplemental eye protection either! Here is a good source for more information.</div><div><br /></div><div><b>Fun fact!</b> Did you know that the largest manufacturer of 3D and eclipse glasses in the world is based in Bartlett, TN? Tens of millions of pairs of eclipse glasses, in a wide variety of designs, are created and manufactured at <a href="https://www.3dglassesonline.com/2024-eclipse/" target="_blank">American Paper Optics</a>. There is a good chance that your eclipse glasses were made right here in the Memphis metro! You can even buy directly from them <a href="https://the3dmarket.com/collections/eclipsers" target="_blank">here</a> (this is not an affiliate link; we make nothing on purchases made).</div><div><br /></div><h4 style="text-align: left;">Driving tips</h4><div>Pack your patience and fill your gas tank! Thousands of sightseers will be flocking to the path of totality, likely clogging road networks in and out of the path. This is especially true on the morning of the eclipse (Monday, April 8) and especially right after totality is complete, as everyone returns home. </div><div><br /></div><div>My suggestion? Make a long weekend out of it! (But book your accommodations now. Many hotels in the path are already full.) Travel to (or near) the spot where you want to be on Saturday or Sunday, and delay returning home until Monday night or, even better, Tuesday morning. This is a rare event and the difference between totality and "almost" is literally like night and day, so many people will be taking advantage of a short drive to be in a spot where full obscuration occurs. Expect drive times to be MUCH longer than typical for Monday travelers, even on interstates.</div><div><br /></div><h4 style="text-align: left;">The All-Important Weather Forecast!</h4><div>While we can't provide an actual forecast this far in advance, the scientists at NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) have created an interactive map that uses historical weather data to determine the "viewability" for spots across the United States. For Memphis, the following are the historical sky conditions for April 8th at 2pm:<br /></div><div><br /></div><div><b>Clear/Mostly Clear</b> - 31.9%</div><div><b>Partly Cloudy</b> - 14.2%</div><div><b>Mostly Cloudy/Overcast</b> - 53.9%</div><div><br /></div><div>So it looks like there s a slightly less than 50% chance that conditions will allow for decent viewing. It doesn't take a perfectly clear sky to get a good view of the eclipse - just not a poorly-placed cloud! And as noted above, the eclipse covers a 2 hour and 40 minute time period, so hopefully we'll get to observe at least part of it, and maybe we'll get a perfectly sunny day! (For those traveling west to view totality, the historical chance of mostly cloudy to cloudy skies is very similar to Memphis.) </div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg4oHL1Kt3qE2zvIlqmqSu2oOVmMV2pd2EIpsTVlzXAiGlMo6EHJPPe3P900KeDWib45jLeXmgWfJTnK50ao-ipOgr9ozH8yRzwJMTebWx01c0y-kZ9MT0qL0IYUusxDfPBTtpAo2gDhQlGVrzIgvHxKI4SdBaktIUrj9mHswqCJ8e_T3Z2LYq90sLjO64/s2268/mathew-schwartz-7YiZKj9A3DM-unsplash.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1512" data-original-width="2268" height="213" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg4oHL1Kt3qE2zvIlqmqSu2oOVmMV2pd2EIpsTVlzXAiGlMo6EHJPPe3P900KeDWib45jLeXmgWfJTnK50ao-ipOgr9ozH8yRzwJMTebWx01c0y-kZ9MT0qL0IYUusxDfPBTtpAo2gDhQlGVrzIgvHxKI4SdBaktIUrj9mHswqCJ8e_T3Z2LYq90sLjO64/s320/mathew-schwartz-7YiZKj9A3DM-unsplash.jpg" width="320" /></a></div><div><br /></div><h4 style="text-align: left;">When is the next total solar eclipse?</h4><div>You'll have to go to Alaska to see the next total eclipse in the U.S., and that is in 2033. After that, the next one will be in 2044, but again, you'll have to head north - to North Dakota or Montana! The next total eclipse visible to a large population will be August 2045 (21 years from now!) as the path of totality crosses the southern U.S. from Florida to California. So don't miss this one!</div><div><br /></div><h4 style="text-align: left;">Additional Resources</h4><div><a href="https://science.nasa.gov/eclipses/future-eclipses/eclipse-2024/" target="_blank">NASA Science Eclipse 2024</a></div><div><a href="https://ncsu.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html?id=a65a18758b264f1790665a68b858b3d6" target="_blank">NASA Scientific Visualization Studio</a></div><div><a href="https://science.nasa.gov/eclipses/future-eclipses/eclipse-2024/" target="_blank">NOAA/NCEI Cloudiness Data</a></div><div><a href="https://www.greatamericaneclipse.com/2024-total-solar-eclipse-over-the-united-states" target="_blank">Great American Eclipse</a> - comprehensive resource</div><div><a href="http://Eclipse2024.org">Eclipse2024.org</a> - another excellent website</div><div><br /></div>
Erik Proseus<br />
MWN Meteorologist<br />
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<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">MWN is a NOAA Weather Ready Nation Ambassador</td> <td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Meteorologist Erik Proseus is an NWA Digital Seal Holder</td></tr>
</tbody></table></div></div>Meteorologist Erik Proseushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16116114428520631122noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6095709393884268330.post-32211259699722884442024-03-08T14:25:00.000-06:002024-03-08T14:25:11.284-06:00February 2024 Climate Report for Memphis, TN<h3>February Climate Recap</h3><div>The month of February was warmer than normal by over six degrees, ranking it the sixth warmest February on record. High temperatures ranged from the 50's to the upper 70's, while lows ranged from near 30 to the mid 60's. Overall, only six days during the month saw an average temperature below normal.</div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEimWsY8f-tbPwPsmR0oJ6nQMGs_31GU2SJVnzwg1FceFSW7k46Hz1b437Q4T5PVBX6sGDDQkxeimryTmyD-fq4T99vd5jic2g8wq08TCR1IzgBHVDHIKH0lbbJXew-uoMTsFcZVO8WKgCwGlOqTHWmPFaIWy2cv7yoAAK0WAJjyc76c6PzioUq2ANL7QXo/s1280/prism_conus_tavg_anom_FEB2024.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1024" data-original-width="1280" height="512" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEimWsY8f-tbPwPsmR0oJ6nQMGs_31GU2SJVnzwg1FceFSW7k46Hz1b437Q4T5PVBX6sGDDQkxeimryTmyD-fq4T99vd5jic2g8wq08TCR1IzgBHVDHIKH0lbbJXew-uoMTsFcZVO8WKgCwGlOqTHWmPFaIWy2cv7yoAAK0WAJjyc76c6PzioUq2ANL7QXo/w640-h512/prism_conus_tavg_anom_FEB2024.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Departure from normal temperatures for February for the Lower 48 states</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div>Precipitation was slightly below normal for the month, with our wettest day coming on the 10th at 1.64", followed closely by 1.27" on the 4th. In total, both the airport and MWN headquarters in Bartlett saw 3.82". A trace of snow fell on the 12th at both stations as well.</div><div><div><div style="text-align: left;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: left;">As far as lingering drought goes, there was continued improvement across the area. Much of the portion of the Memphis metro in west Tennessee is now out of drought status (or nearly so), while northwest Mississippi continues in a moderate to severe drought, but has also improved in the past month.</div><div style="text-align: left;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: left;"><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgqrDz0ZZZogYvIwPH641FI82qKVOEysWCZvuWDMliCPQ_zcFqnktYCQAZiJ6pbjsxVA0B1tXlWPCfk6Mbu9TaaXBjEJjB1IjtYupA-rPTZBRMKFxUlWQWgTRsHhBZ5ZBFs0xukWghhPZvaObHyJNlv-kg5wyNRcrZof4OUF32gkVzSdSFlvVrqY9RkGug/s1056/20240305_wfomeg_text.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="816" data-original-width="1056" height="494" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgqrDz0ZZZogYvIwPH641FI82qKVOEysWCZvuWDMliCPQ_zcFqnktYCQAZiJ6pbjsxVA0B1tXlWPCfk6Mbu9TaaXBjEJjB1IjtYupA-rPTZBRMKFxUlWQWgTRsHhBZ5ZBFs0xukWghhPZvaObHyJNlv-kg5wyNRcrZof4OUF32gkVzSdSFlvVrqY9RkGug/w640-h494/20240305_wfomeg_text.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Drought conditions as of March 5, 2024</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh91xxUlv2mR9krntiT4kQcY35zyzmjhi8nv8hH-f-v58dBPnQwi5uFu_3NSWoacXSztd35TuIi4hXSiru25sbeafWFBCp3Qb1Las49uN4D_Eh62ATzqRPzCQfjQIweSoSbqGlsFOYBf_QvFwqr708cj6KIJGglO_aFnmV9N3LnQzdDtSI_2OvPjjyZDBM/s3300/030524%20current_wfoMEG_chng_4W.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="2550" data-original-width="3300" height="494" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh91xxUlv2mR9krntiT4kQcY35zyzmjhi8nv8hH-f-v58dBPnQwi5uFu_3NSWoacXSztd35TuIi4hXSiru25sbeafWFBCp3Qb1Las49uN4D_Eh62ATzqRPzCQfjQIweSoSbqGlsFOYBf_QvFwqr708cj6KIJGglO_aFnmV9N3LnQzdDtSI_2OvPjjyZDBM/w640-h494/030524%20current_wfoMEG_chng_4W.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Change in drought conditions over 4 weeks as of March 5, 2024</td></tr></tbody></table><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div> <script async="" charset="utf-8" src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js"></script>
<h3>Memphis International Airport, Memphis, TN</h3><div><u><b>Temperature</b></u> </div></div><div><b>Average temperature</b>: 52.4 degrees (6.3 degrees above average) </div><div><b>Average high temperature</b>: 62.8 degrees (7.3 degrees above average) </div><div><b>Average low temperature</b>: 42.0 degrees (5.3 degrees above average) </div><div><b>Warmest temperature</b>: 78 degrees (27th) </div><div><b>Coolest temperature</b>: 25 degrees (18th) </div><div><b>Heating Degrees Days</b>: 363 (169 below average)</div><div><b>Cooling Degree Days</b>: 7 (5 above average) </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>Records set or tied</b>: Record high minimum of 65 on the 27th, breaking the old record of 62 from 1955.</span></div><div><b>Comments</b>: This month was the 6th warmest February on record. </div><div><i><br /></i></div><div><u><b>Precipitation</b></u> </div><div><b>Monthly total</b>: 3.82" (0.73" below average) </div><div><b>Days with measurable precipitation</b>: 9 (0.9 days below average) </div><div><b>Wettest 24-hour period</b>: 1.64" (10th) </div><div><b>Snowfall</b>: Trace (1.0" below average)</div><div><b>Records set or tied</b><span style="background-color: white;">: None</span></div><div><b>Comments</b>: None</div><div><br /></div><div><u><b>Miscellaneous</b></u> </div><div><b>Peak wind</b>: South/48 mph (27th)<i> </i></div><div><b>Average wind</b>: 9.6 mph </div><div><b>Average relative humidity</b>: 64%</div><div><b>Average sky cover</b>: 54%</div><div><br /></div><div> Click <a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/data/kmem/2024_02.txt" target="_blank">here</a> for a daily statistical recap for Memphis International Airport.</div><div>
<h3>MemphisWeather.net Headquarters, Bartlett, TN</h3><div><u><b>Temperature</b></u> </div></div><div><b>Average temperature</b>: 51.4 degrees </div><div><b>Average high temperature</b>: 63.5 degrees </div><div><b>Average low temperature</b>: 39.6 degrees </div><div><b>Warmest temperature</b>: 78.9 degrees (27th) </div><div><b>Coolest temperature</b>: 19.7 degrees (18th) </div><div><b>Comments</b>: None</div><div><br /></div><div><u><b>Precipitation</b></u> </div><div><b>Monthly total</b>: 3.82" (automated rain gauge), 3.90" (CoCoRaHS rain gauge) </div><div><b>Days with measurable precipitation</b>: 9</div><div><b>Wettest date:</b> 1.46" (4th) (via automated gauge) </div><div><b>Snowfall</b>: Trace</div><div><b>Comments</b>: None</div><div><u><b><br /></b></u></div><div><u><b>
</b></u> <u><b>Miscellaneous</b></u> </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>Peak wind</b>:</span> South/30 mph (27th)</div>
<div>
<b>Average relative humidity</b>: 69% </div><div><b>Average barometric pressure</b>: 30.02 in.<div>
<b>Comments</b>: None</div><div><br /></div>
Click <a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/data/2024_02.txt" target="_blank">here</a> for a daily statistical recap for Bartlett, TN.</div><div>
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<u>MWN Forecast Accuracy</u></h3><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>Average temperature error</b>: 2.16 degrees</span> </div></div><div><b><span style="background-color: white;">Forecast temperatures within 2 degrees of actual</span></b><span style="background-color: white;">: 70%</span> </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>Average dewpoint error</b>: 2.80 degrees</span> </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>Forecast dewpoints within 2 degrees of actual</b>: 56%</span> </div><div><br /></div><div>MWN's forecasts extend out five periods (2.5 days, or roughly 60 hours). Historical accuracy statistics can be found <a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/accuracy.shtml#2022" target="_blank">here</a>.</div><div><br /></div></div>
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<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">MWN is a NOAA Weather Ready Nation Ambassador</td> <td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Meteorologist Erik Proseus is an NWA Digital Seal Holder</td></tr>
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Richard Hoseneyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10316495615911899090noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6095709393884268330.post-47115913011429498202024-03-03T14:16:00.004-06:002024-03-03T14:16:31.315-06:00A spring-like week ahead with some unsettled weather<div>It's only the beginning of March and we already have a rainy week ahead of us!</div><div><br /></div><div>The end of February brought along a well-pronounced taste of spring, and that will persist into the upcoming work week. Mild to warm temperatures and chances of rain will mostly be the memo for this week as low-pressure systems and fronts advance over the coming days. While severe threats will overall be limited for most of us, we're still likely to see a few t'storms this week. </div><div><br /></div><h4 style="text-align: left;">A somewhat unstable Monday night and Tuesday</h4><div>After this past warming weekend, we'll be greeted with an active beginning to the work week. Increasing cloud cover with the presence of an unstable airmass on Monday might lead to a few daytime showers with warm highs in the mid to upper 70s. Instability, or what storms use as fuel, looks to increase in the overnight hours on Monday ahead of a cold front, though the environment will be fairly limited in severe weather ingredients in the metro compared to Arkansas, as seen in the NWS graphic below. </div><div><br /></div><div><br /><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjGPiaRdbu1SCNDUL_wLDG-Y2z7LHf7-Co9oxZFbsFHdC4QXU9bNTeI3sdbc48jM4T-EffpCUmBwJfnlxPfsygXROjCbYJ-jpZp6WYslcunlUDpaymC2tZORiMFjOtBeR3U2wo9rjh7RH60sfI8654IG2GVVtHSL7LUgvDU7oeoM6snYkq3VOLNWkzyMlw/s1280/GHvl6UFbkAABfbD.jpg" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjGPiaRdbu1SCNDUL_wLDG-Y2z7LHf7-Co9oxZFbsFHdC4QXU9bNTeI3sdbc48jM4T-EffpCUmBwJfnlxPfsygXROjCbYJ-jpZp6WYslcunlUDpaymC2tZORiMFjOtBeR3U2wo9rjh7RH60sfI8654IG2GVVtHSL7LUgvDU7oeoM6snYkq3VOLNWkzyMlw/w640-h360/GHvl6UFbkAABfbD.jpg" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Per the NWS, the low severe threat for Monday night will be mostly confined to areas west of the river, but the metro could still see sub-severe t'storms.</td></tr></tbody></table><br /></div><div>The limited severe threats will be hail and strong winds for those in AR. For most of us in the metro, we likely will not be seeing those threats on Monday night. Early Tuesday may be a little different, as the distribution of warmer temperatures and moisture could be conducive to some hail during the morning hours. Note that, at this time, hail remains only a small possibility for early Tuesday -- we'll have more info on the threat environment closer to then. For now, expect showers and t'storms on Monday night to persist into at least the morning hours on Tuesday as the cold front passes. </div><div><br /></div><h4 style="text-align: left;">Slight rain chances for the midweek</h4><div>With the passing cold front on Tuesday, temps will slightly drop into the 60s during the midweek on Wednesday and Thursday. Partly sunny skies with a few light showers appear to be the case for Wednesday and Thursday, as moisture levels will be just high enough to support the development of a few showers on both days.</div><div> </div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj6UGiNmh3Mlcai9EZP4alisFBDPONI4MnrGkWS23W8EE1JdM_YS8SWsxRaMkjeCpMFLFy1RDcfWFp8xvxw7bHaALhQ8Ofh6h-74v36M5aqWV8xL5e-hBawN-ZsoKLKHP1e8nXI-l5BA5vcvBMU_UPxs6MBnR358AIAGdLBtr6THvrEfyiAp2S2ynXFmrI/s800/wpcwx+frontsf096.gif" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="564" data-original-width="800" height="452" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj6UGiNmh3Mlcai9EZP4alisFBDPONI4MnrGkWS23W8EE1JdM_YS8SWsxRaMkjeCpMFLFy1RDcfWFp8xvxw7bHaALhQ8Ofh6h-74v36M5aqWV8xL5e-hBawN-ZsoKLKHP1e8nXI-l5BA5vcvBMU_UPxs6MBnR358AIAGdLBtr6THvrEfyiAp2S2ynXFmrI/w640-h452/wpcwx+frontsf096.gif" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">This weather map valid at 6am on Thursday depicts the chance for a few showers that morning (NWS/WPC). </td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div>A few showers will likely be during the afternoon hours on Wednesday, while Thursday's showers will mainly be in the morning, though timing will likely be adjusted as the week progresses. Unfortunately, rain chances will not be dropping even after the early-week system; during the mid-week, a mid-level disturbance will be building across the central U.S. and advance towards our area between Thursday and Friday, which will lead to an unsettled, possibly stormy end to the week. </div><div><br /></div><h4 style="text-align: left;">Similar to early in the week, the end of the week could be stormy</h4><div>The mid-level disturbance will likely destabilize the environment enough on Friday to produce showers and a few t'storms, though it seems weak wind profiles and a lack of severe weather ingredients will lower the potency of any storms that form on Friday. Most storm activity should be confined to areas south of us, but we'll likely see showers and a few storms at the very least. </div><div><br /></div><div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgRjJ7gaDBB3DuYjitTNzof5547twzm-cpvfPBbePvfnc70PFblcAGioCsBAzQWOlc28dBgZ67ecxPbzaQbhFxPOBy5-px01ktodznb6IFixG38PqSdZXriSFHrwXgTnz3lJ3U4vX627SQ0oT3x9XCu2bt5Jb_6PDmJqEq1eLhIteKmIK92zsuTm7FChXE/s800/wpcwx+frontsf120.gif" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="564" data-original-width="800" height="452" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgRjJ7gaDBB3DuYjitTNzof5547twzm-cpvfPBbePvfnc70PFblcAGioCsBAzQWOlc28dBgZ67ecxPbzaQbhFxPOBy5-px01ktodznb6IFixG38PqSdZXriSFHrwXgTnz3lJ3U4vX627SQ0oT3x9XCu2bt5Jb_6PDmJqEq1eLhIteKmIK92zsuTm7FChXE/w640-h452/wpcwx+frontsf120.gif" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Another weather map (valid at 6am Friday) shows increased rain chances for Friday (NWS/WPC). </td></tr></tbody></table><br /></div><div>Besides that, temperatures will steadily decrease at the end of the week, with forecasted highs in the mid-60s for Friday and lower 60s for Saturday. Another cold front passes through on Saturday, too, leading to a few early showers and cooler temperatures arriving. </div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjmRt53TQpJE8MEu8BP7kNLZBqGIOwDK6ANd3kLATKQzR-jK0W9EWmKgwMjN-4jBhCSu5Yrd66emLjxMmByfSNAn3MLbZO_SSau9TyQEjiCkDuSz6Q5-jIvkQuB3Mm6LLo_8TyNH8VZCT-Km3fukZiwuFV8XtZr8bsMrx0SBJCzrg1eA5Fdce8nCw_B5HA/s984/ecmwf-deterministic-memphis-t2m_f-1709467200-1710007200-1710028800-100.gif" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjmRt53TQpJE8MEu8BP7kNLZBqGIOwDK6ANd3kLATKQzR-jK0W9EWmKgwMjN-4jBhCSu5Yrd66emLjxMmByfSNAn3MLbZO_SSau9TyQEjiCkDuSz6Q5-jIvkQuB3Mm6LLo_8TyNH8VZCT-Km3fukZiwuFV8XtZr8bsMrx0SBJCzrg1eA5Fdce8nCw_B5HA/w640-h526/ecmwf-deterministic-memphis-t2m_f-1709467200-1710007200-1710028800-100.gif" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Per the European model, a cold front passes through late afternoon on Saturday (temp. change gif valid from 1pm to 6pm on Saturday). Temps will be quickly dropping after the front passes (WeatherBell).</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div>Beyond this upcoming week, next week likely will see some more rainy activity for much of the U.S. based on long-range outlooks (shown below). Outlooks also show a seasonably average week for temperatures in the metro, with varying probabilities elsewhere. You may need an umbrella if you have spring break plans around the country!</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi-Ina9ZCvzBZ1f3_9WUfEofBqNySGv05WJhJDllreQb4-kDfHdQzJRjZ5qXzjxQB_ItcZnhlA62d1WllTPJ93PL7niUX7v92IFRWG4B50NAG5JjJyQ9jaoCYLwdvSTqsOUMLTmNx_vd4FNQXj6RaNDh6JXnS3JPf2QWMI61yIOPzkOHIs4uBr-f5in2FE/s1100/814prcp.conus.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="850" data-original-width="1100" height="309" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi-Ina9ZCvzBZ1f3_9WUfEofBqNySGv05WJhJDllreQb4-kDfHdQzJRjZ5qXzjxQB_ItcZnhlA62d1WllTPJ93PL7niUX7v92IFRWG4B50NAG5JjJyQ9jaoCYLwdvSTqsOUMLTmNx_vd4FNQXj6RaNDh6JXnS3JPf2QWMI61yIOPzkOHIs4uBr-f5in2FE/w400-h309/814prcp.conus.png" width="400" /></a></div><br /><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhp4wTq6wM0QU6IrNtGItDOJhgwJ_4gVmbmCd2a8fwrinWyBVy0JSJupawDKOoSouXaJ25o5HbtrK2mOkLx5ITANIsMhfoL8rUij19vEMm546cLBxSpB-xeLLydfnjzfS1tm8VApiQ7jllnt5tnza23G38IFxOJ6ixqyPFH_06OzKQeHf1nT6zuKv9vSRc/s1100/814temp.conus.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="850" data-original-width="1100" height="309" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhp4wTq6wM0QU6IrNtGItDOJhgwJ_4gVmbmCd2a8fwrinWyBVy0JSJupawDKOoSouXaJ25o5HbtrK2mOkLx5ITANIsMhfoL8rUij19vEMm546cLBxSpB-xeLLydfnjzfS1tm8VApiQ7jllnt5tnza23G38IFxOJ6ixqyPFH_06OzKQeHf1nT6zuKv9vSRc/w400-h309/814temp.conus.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">The precipitation probability outlook shows a likelihood for above-normal rain amounts across much of the U.S. next week, while the temperature outlook shows near average temps for the southeast. (NWS/CPC) </td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div>Lei Naidoo<span> </span></div><div>MWN Intern</div><div>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="95" src="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" width="200" /></a></td><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s1600/NWADigital_full.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="99" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s200/NWADigital_full.jpg" width="200" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">MWN is a NOAA Weather Ready Nation Ambassador</td> <td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Meteorologist Erik Proseus is an NWA Digital Seal Holder</td></tr>
</tbody></table></div>Lei Naidoohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00617686700310033010noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6095709393884268330.post-86198630303313297262024-02-25T15:14:00.000-06:002024-02-25T15:14:43.764-06:00Spring is arriving! Is severe weather far behind?<div>Leave it to Mr. Groundhog to get one right once in a while, despite the long-term track record. (A broken clock is still right twice a day!)</div><div><br /></div><div>The month of February has, despite a couple a short-lived cold spells, been much warmer than average overall. Through Saturday, only five days this month have been colder than average. With highs in the 70s the next few days, there is a strong possibility that this month ends in the top 10 warmest Februarys on record, after last year also finished top 10 warmest. </div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgcIZo1fue0K6zwmFnAWWWhzSR0BIu3k2z9z51RfFhLx2bo2mSE7G3GvGVJdrUCxrnOKhZTkVj6f79kBg6K9bijCGhyESSAfNbofWO1xRnr7t0vjG-Lh8NREmhTuY6-sZnTpRQiQud2HsXD4RPryRKe07rC2XECFsTWbGdVKg_2OlV-6_y6ms2Dg8O74vE/s509/January%20temps.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="476" data-original-width="509" height="299" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgcIZo1fue0K6zwmFnAWWWhzSR0BIu3k2z9z51RfFhLx2bo2mSE7G3GvGVJdrUCxrnOKhZTkVj6f79kBg6K9bijCGhyESSAfNbofWO1xRnr7t0vjG-Lh8NREmhTuY6-sZnTpRQiQud2HsXD4RPryRKe07rC2XECFsTWbGdVKg_2OlV-6_y6ms2Dg8O74vE/s320/January%20temps.png" width="320" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Warmest Januarys on record. 2024 is 12th on the list with 5 days remaining in the month. (xmACIS)</td></tr></tbody></table><div><br /></div><div>Accompanying the 70s will be strong southerly wind that has gusted to 30+ mph today and could reach 40 mph by Tuesday ahead of the next cold front that will approach the area Tuesday night. Until then, mainly dry and very warm conditions are expected to start the work week with a mix of sun and clouds. One potential rain chance will be late Monday night, likely gone by sunrise Tuesday, as a surge of moisture moves into the region. A stray thunderstorm is possible early Tuesday. Tuesday will be the warmest day of the week. With a bit of sunshine, highs could soar into the upper 70s (the record for the day is 80). </div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiXsawz1gpXTb0Xa9ksb5z6hj1JCNlGp4StJoXEKr7fUwY3ThyphenhyphenpfdJRX8OqCUZ7VMMHTXeXL-xrgnMTo2mofK35XHMPg50CNh0Y7pAXtPPH0wqMCmMOq4Ao5MrK0b_IXwezDwP2Zhs2jFofudEz5lzOdCk1xDvXSkGBdrviBmxrI-6l5K7jASQqNuwmVnE/s1024/NBMWindGust40_Day3.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="768" data-original-width="1024" height="300" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiXsawz1gpXTb0Xa9ksb5z6hj1JCNlGp4StJoXEKr7fUwY3ThyphenhyphenpfdJRX8OqCUZ7VMMHTXeXL-xrgnMTo2mofK35XHMPg50CNh0Y7pAXtPPH0wqMCmMOq4Ao5MrK0b_IXwezDwP2Zhs2jFofudEz5lzOdCk1xDvXSkGBdrviBmxrI-6l5K7jASQqNuwmVnE/w400-h300/NBMWindGust40_Day3.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Probability of 40 mph wind gusts on Tuesday. (NWS)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div>We've been watching this coming Wednesday the past few days for the potential for severe weather. On Thursday, a day 7 severe weather risk included Memphis for this coming Wednesday. Since then, models have started to back off the severe potential a bit. </div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEin9x7OGvOoWl5xm3vMwAV3cz6-JXE2Zf69tyHrGvGYJq0cl9PSR6aQuVM2QZ5iSo8A1lLI2bLgAVQb8Kc0TE9sJk8GFQ8-nI_4ggFCN8w30Z3NwQ8C2sCct8a0nCHk2A_hLH78NWEf9Z_8T_OZdJUCGkJEMEa0xcHY8-W4sJEpI3ejTlsC6AXAlUmTe_0/s1320/swody3.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="825" data-original-width="1320" height="250" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEin9x7OGvOoWl5xm3vMwAV3cz6-JXE2Zf69tyHrGvGYJq0cl9PSR6aQuVM2QZ5iSo8A1lLI2bLgAVQb8Kc0TE9sJk8GFQ8-nI_4ggFCN8w30Z3NwQ8C2sCct8a0nCHk2A_hLH78NWEf9Z_8T_OZdJUCGkJEMEa0xcHY8-W4sJEpI3ejTlsC6AXAlUmTe_0/w400-h250/swody3.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">The severe weather outlook for Tuesday and Tuesday night shows the best chance of severe weather north of the area. At this time, no severe weather area is outlined Wednesday. (NWS/SPC)</td></tr></tbody></table><div><br /></div><div>It now appears that the cold front will arrive around sunrise Wednesday morning with the low pressure dragging it through well north of the region in the Midwest. </div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEixECbo6absadEuSWupj4IVtvQdjnpdnph0gFdkkpsgWGlKq5Do71VQr6eSBwYilLy-SYp9lC12QsMrDHa__6TgBc3YlOLOyN_nkdoziAm0jm3CiHkir02fh3KLjuS4BkKoQR6KKNnE9D0G01eVXWuuLwXFNgoO4hmF_uTmR9JxBajZ_8E5bnhJOL0ZDzk/s1210/12Z%20Wed.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="842" data-original-width="1210" height="279" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEixECbo6absadEuSWupj4IVtvQdjnpdnph0gFdkkpsgWGlKq5Do71VQr6eSBwYilLy-SYp9lC12QsMrDHa__6TgBc3YlOLOyN_nkdoziAm0jm3CiHkir02fh3KLjuS4BkKoQR6KKNnE9D0G01eVXWuuLwXFNgoO4hmF_uTmR9JxBajZ_8E5bnhJOL0ZDzk/w400-h279/12Z%20Wed.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">The forecast weather map valid at 6am Wednesday shows a strong cold front on our doorstep. (NWS/WPC)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div>This scenario results in much less instability (storm fuel) due to the front arriving during the coolest part of the day, and also less lift and cold air aloft associated with low pressure that will miss the region by hundreds of miles. The one factor to still watch is wind energy, as wind will be strong from the surface into the upper atmosphere. Even a defined line of showers and some thunder could bring strong wind gusts. Continue to monitor our social media feeds this week for the latest!</div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjaPo48oFhyWCge7AOHhus4xZmNfne2nhZzMxJ5_NdiEKKns-QF_bWidzeyc68bCV-Ytped37ipNg_pkd8KH-Hca7efAhFsOAQHeh1aUa7GiDkxxlVCO4yy-8utNjaDLlZO8fD8KA8BaVpAxZkeEwoNolptejNBGRJV-p9_wZ2OHYvq-MBtA5YFJBQy5ew/s984/12Z%20Wed%20temps.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="329" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjaPo48oFhyWCge7AOHhus4xZmNfne2nhZzMxJ5_NdiEKKns-QF_bWidzeyc68bCV-Ytped37ipNg_pkd8KH-Hca7efAhFsOAQHeh1aUa7GiDkxxlVCO4yy-8utNjaDLlZO8fD8KA8BaVpAxZkeEwoNolptejNBGRJV-p9_wZ2OHYvq-MBtA5YFJBQy5ew/w400-h329/12Z%20Wed%20temps.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">The European model forecast temperatures at 6am Wednesday. Expect a "backwards" temperature day with highs at sunrise and north wind blowing cold air into the 40s by afternoon! (WeatherBell)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div>Once the front clears the area and rain chances drop off by midday Wednesday, temperatures also plummet Wednesday afternoon, likely falling into the 40s after starting the day in the 60s. Mostly dry weather is expected for the last day of the month on Thursday with the sixth day of below average temperatures possible. Moderating temperatures are expected as we head into early March to end the week with low rain chances that are hard to define at this point.</div><div><br /></div><div>Looking beyond that, early March appears to favor the continuation of above average temperatures, along with wetter than average conditions, as shown below (March 4-10 temperature and precipitation outlooks).</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjJmK6wy9AcYU0BPiUgb1alLiqHXS9Ik4n8LpoD0ZrWSfCP6XKjBgqRXWcDO9SdmtJtycDqzvGdseNgUXFGMMF1Awc8LVKUznJlOTVLeuhmh2LPMzOz-5SdJw_RkBRi_4a5fUQZa1OlMgNSzFKeo26JP0KyTzvFVbWZ9nZgKre-e7eiAfV0-RgavA3jd9s/s3300/814temp.new.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="2550" data-original-width="3300" height="309" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjJmK6wy9AcYU0BPiUgb1alLiqHXS9Ik4n8LpoD0ZrWSfCP6XKjBgqRXWcDO9SdmtJtycDqzvGdseNgUXFGMMF1Awc8LVKUznJlOTVLeuhmh2LPMzOz-5SdJw_RkBRi_4a5fUQZa1OlMgNSzFKeo26JP0KyTzvFVbWZ9nZgKre-e7eiAfV0-RgavA3jd9s/w400-h309/814temp.new.gif" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEihz_iQfjXEHaJxXQrvSFBOV9whXbHBXlGMBt9F5NGKZDuBEAyoTXWsrwvWa4iTu-er2loXp_lxE_KzQxzNfKSV6KUOhRtv_A4RA-h9kb_cDBALlx04SJSmy7TCLoJB9dY9kexa9zkT2g66uwb1waLII9aO8F9eYyV-4KkMZBUlTCODwuHdCkofezsMCRE/s3300/814prcp.new.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="2550" data-original-width="3300" height="309" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEihz_iQfjXEHaJxXQrvSFBOV9whXbHBXlGMBt9F5NGKZDuBEAyoTXWsrwvWa4iTu-er2loXp_lxE_KzQxzNfKSV6KUOhRtv_A4RA-h9kb_cDBALlx04SJSmy7TCLoJB9dY9kexa9zkT2g66uwb1waLII9aO8F9eYyV-4KkMZBUlTCODwuHdCkofezsMCRE/w400-h309/814prcp.new.gif" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div>Erik Proseus</div>
MWN Meteorologist<br />
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<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">MWN is a NOAA Weather Ready Nation Ambassador</td> <td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Meteorologist Erik Proseus is an NWA Digital Seal Holder</td></tr>
</tbody></table>Meteorologist Erik Proseushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16116114428520631122noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6095709393884268330.post-3068771031403977432024-02-18T15:32:00.000-06:002024-02-18T15:32:29.203-06:00Recap of this past weekend and a look at a warmer week ahead<div>Good Sunday evening! </div><div><br /></div><div>Hope you are holding out well after Friday's cold front, which ushered in another taste of winter before we transition into warmer temperatures this week. In this blog, we'll be recapping this past interesting weekend and then summarize what to expect for the upcoming week (spoiler: a nice, warmer trend is in store this week, with only one rainy day!). </div><div><br /></div><h4 style="text-align: left;">Winter returned this weekend</h4><div>On Friday, a strong cold front made its way into the Mid-South, destabilizing the air and bringing a few showers and thunderstorms to the Memphis metro late Friday afternoon and evening. Severe t'storms were warned in different places across the Mid-South, but, luckily, the metro did not have much to worry about on Friday, as storms remained below severe thresholds. Mainly, strong gusts and locally heavy rain were the primary impacts on Friday for the metro. </div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi0xCc3B7T71DlyY_5K1kVOeH9-i426AHLvj7IkpFwo6LMgU6V9KfWIOCaPnR4UN7hJqT6uyhMxja7LUOmMnka9ypDazQdGP6gJS2wzij8tYA2C7hI-ZHDdqIISWwWgxJe7NuabEEEl2KWKw-tkh3M3Yct1fn6JFdnM-zJVKUalq2-MWpnQi1knacpw4UQ/s960/memphisweather1%20-%201758638739033927874.gif" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="960" height="300" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi0xCc3B7T71DlyY_5K1kVOeH9-i426AHLvj7IkpFwo6LMgU6V9KfWIOCaPnR4UN7hJqT6uyhMxja7LUOmMnka9ypDazQdGP6gJS2wzij8tYA2C7hI-ZHDdqIISWwWgxJe7NuabEEEl2KWKw-tkh3M3Yct1fn6JFdnM-zJVKUalq2-MWpnQi1knacpw4UQ/w400-h300/memphisweather1%20-%201758638739033927874.gif" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">(Radar loop at 5:45pm on Friday, 2/16) Showers and t'storms, moving along with the passing cold front, livened up Friday evening. </td></tr></tbody></table><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div>Not every place received a lot of rainfall, as evidenced by the airport and MWN stations recording less than 0.03" of rainfall each. The heaviest rainfall in the metro occurred over north MS, due to the the front finding additional atmospheric moisture and instability. Everyone, though, immediately felt the effects of the strong cold front -- temps rapidly declined into the upper 30s by Friday night. The upper 30s happened to be the highs for Saturday as well, making it the coldest day of the month to this point! A brisk wind didn't help matters, either. </div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEii3EFzLYL6Vdknsz07IE-qfJMNZI5OpTev_OYs3KXtzH8mbt2Xljhetbc38Y8ZmPfYhG5BBJaQ3YeYdlnZFciTOQNeEbaM5eiYGbxJWdVNyEhrWMnFyjzrYtHObxRZWG2MozcC4CuweI2JQAQG_by4dnSKrEIBWlXbmRNdprVbs7mHxbDAXbm_k3UL3JI/s680/GGkH7xeWYAA2Puz%20(1).png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="558" data-original-width="680" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEii3EFzLYL6Vdknsz07IE-qfJMNZI5OpTev_OYs3KXtzH8mbt2Xljhetbc38Y8ZmPfYhG5BBJaQ3YeYdlnZFciTOQNeEbaM5eiYGbxJWdVNyEhrWMnFyjzrYtHObxRZWG2MozcC4CuweI2JQAQG_by4dnSKrEIBWlXbmRNdprVbs7mHxbDAXbm_k3UL3JI/w640-h526/GGkH7xeWYAA2Puz%20(1).png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">The 24-hr temperature change map valid at 1:30pm Saturday, 2/17, showcases just how drastic the temperature difference was between Friday and Saturday afternoons. About 30° colder! (WeatherBell)<br /><br /></td></tr></tbody></table>Today, at the very least, has had highs about 10 degrees warmer than Saturday's. The sunshine helped too, but highs were still below what is expected for late winter. All in all, the front certainly brought a temporary return to winter temperatures. Thankfully, we expect Saturday to be the coldest day of the month, since we'll be trending warmer this upcoming week, a trend that looks to continue into the last week of the month as well.<div><br /></div><div><h4 style="text-align: left;">A mostly dry and warm week ahead</h4><div>In contrast to this past weekend, this week will be characterized by warmer weather and dry conditions. The main exception to dry weather will be Thursday, which will be outlined shortly. Prominent high-pressure defines Sunday and most of the early week; due to the system, dry weather persists tonight and through Wednesday. </div><div><br /><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgtB78CMLtH8d2LBJW1LujiajCUFgyccrXxlY7sGdNS91JAXBAZj13m-TsLsO4Aoc_PpEiMob6hJJrczl2WJdIPHpV5m0qXAObC4rTPphXvGrRZJMLoBxr6Fzb1V3Hblp1QfJ-rNFQ6_opW2wA3Wv5W_jTC-LThOrHyo4d7GcQdGdbNnVdLlSvLgCxFCGQ/s748/usfntsfc18wbg.gif" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="562" data-original-width="748" height="480" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgtB78CMLtH8d2LBJW1LujiajCUFgyccrXxlY7sGdNS91JAXBAZj13m-TsLsO4Aoc_PpEiMob6hJJrczl2WJdIPHpV5m0qXAObC4rTPphXvGrRZJMLoBxr6Fzb1V3Hblp1QfJ-rNFQ6_opW2wA3Wv5W_jTC-LThOrHyo4d7GcQdGdbNnVdLlSvLgCxFCGQ/w640-h480/usfntsfc18wbg.gif" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">High pressure over the south will be influencing the early week weather, bringing warmer and drier conditions. (NWS/WPC)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /></div><div><div>Highs return to near-normal levels on Monday (upper 50s), while Tuesday and Wednesday will continue warming up into the 60s. We still keep highs in the 60s on Thursday, but a well-defined low-pressure system leads to unsettled air that day. Scattered showers and a t'storm or two are likely during the Thursday daytime hours and into the early night. Timing is likely to be adjusted as the week progresses. </div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi8ef7fEphVv3ZZqYb4-rFlrQx88ThZHQzREE6pRDQZh5NnMR9Z48eV3X8Ij4cncOAAFvoXplbiV7N9IcqMVzG8gPxn9BqbTPNL_3-7pBdZhVzGOW1bmmzeDwzI16kOqkZvN4kXH1lIE3NWxlMHja7StLgEUXu_Ri8XtdQk7RFX0NahRVShO9u4snks7_k/s800/wpcwx+frontsf096.gif" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="564" data-original-width="800" height="452" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi8ef7fEphVv3ZZqYb4-rFlrQx88ThZHQzREE6pRDQZh5NnMR9Z48eV3X8Ij4cncOAAFvoXplbiV7N9IcqMVzG8gPxn9BqbTPNL_3-7pBdZhVzGOW1bmmzeDwzI16kOqkZvN4kXH1lIE3NWxlMHja7StLgEUXu_Ri8XtdQk7RFX0NahRVShO9u4snks7_k/w640-h452/wpcwx+frontsf096.gif" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">A low-pressure system will make its way across the central U.S., leading to increased chances for rainfall on Thursday. (NWS/WPC)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><h4 style="text-align: left;">A calmer weekend (finally!)</h4><div>Remember the last time we had a normal and dry weekend? It has been a while, but, thankfully, we can look forward to a calmer upcoming weekend. Models suggest clearer skies and dry conditions for the weekend, as highs trend toward the average mid-50s for most of the weekend after Thursday's system passes. We'll be looking forward to the upcoming weekend, but until then, check back for updated forecasts, and thanks for reading!</div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhjneCNFH8ByXoDOvQfb-v923GGHrAC-751O0N9d6Z7RIPBHAz3n_xbEzNrnzxbjT5UZHldkyJ2UsO_mOhfUFmGoo1jKxeEyJ5BUGXiP0jcdTATG0NJqOhPkzvy54p1xhEPUtVuEcp6iLZBTKaWPJx_-pygV9QMnsgJZO4dVXyfzxCSpJqN8YqeWwyK-Mg/s984/ecmwf-deterministic-memphis-t2m_f-8711200.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhjneCNFH8ByXoDOvQfb-v923GGHrAC-751O0N9d6Z7RIPBHAz3n_xbEzNrnzxbjT5UZHldkyJ2UsO_mOhfUFmGoo1jKxeEyJ5BUGXiP0jcdTATG0NJqOhPkzvy54p1xhEPUtVuEcp6iLZBTKaWPJx_-pygV9QMnsgJZO4dVXyfzxCSpJqN8YqeWwyK-Mg/w640-h526/ecmwf-deterministic-memphis-t2m_f-8711200.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Per the Euro model, Friday's highs are trending to be in the mid-50s for the metro. (WxBell)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div>Lei Naidoo</div><div><div>MWN Intern</div><div>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="95" src="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" width="200" /></a></td><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s1600/NWADigital_full.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="99" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s200/NWADigital_full.jpg" width="200" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">MWN is a NOAA Weather Ready Nation Ambassador</td> <td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Meteorologist Erik Proseus is an NWA Digital Seal Holder</td></tr>
</tbody></table></div></div></div></div>Lei Naidoohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00617686700310033010noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6095709393884268330.post-87202388028386648212024-02-04T17:12:00.000-06:002024-02-04T17:12:24.210-06:00January 2024 Climate Report for Memphis, TN<h3>January Climate Recap</h3><div>The month of January was colder than normal as a whole due to widespread snow cover around mid-month. The year started out with high temperatures in the mid to upper 40's, climbing to the low 50's by the 7th and to the 60's on the 11th. It all went downhill afterwards, with snow moving in on the 14th. The resulting snowpack caused temperatures to fall drastically, with highs in the teens and lows in the single digits. Record cold low temperatures were set on the 15th and 16th, breaking records from 1888 and 1927 respectively. Highs rose back above freezing on the 17th & 18th before falling back below freezing for a couple more days. A rapid warm-up resulted in temperatures back in the low 60s by the 24th for a couple of days. A bit of a cool-down followed a cold front on the 26th before highs reached back into the 60s by the end of the month. In sum, 20 of the 31 days in January featured temperatures that were at or below average and only three times since the year 2000 has January been colder.</div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiaWg9XxP6J3sniSVfllGWHrHMzVJSr36zCU1IaawnktxX7NF7e-Rz_8zZlnx-4iWvh1eFO-iVmFg8uqzzxO2EcdZuvcHbP9DBnVUCZ2CUMtEh7S0vmZaQkqFHYa4mcMUmR7fG40bVjjIRc0LtShP6l3WoUfquePeVLzMABnvOrZvnXkopP9J6a2bdQC2M/s1280/prism_conus_tavg_anom_JAN2024.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1024" data-original-width="1280" height="512" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiaWg9XxP6J3sniSVfllGWHrHMzVJSr36zCU1IaawnktxX7NF7e-Rz_8zZlnx-4iWvh1eFO-iVmFg8uqzzxO2EcdZuvcHbP9DBnVUCZ2CUMtEh7S0vmZaQkqFHYa4mcMUmR7fG40bVjjIRc0LtShP6l3WoUfquePeVLzMABnvOrZvnXkopP9J6a2bdQC2M/w640-h512/prism_conus_tavg_anom_JAN2024.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Departure from normal temperatures for January for the Lower 48 states</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div>Above normal precipitation was recorded for the month with the wettest 24-hour period starting on the 8th, when over 1.75" of rain fell. Of course, the mid-month snowfall was the biggest story, with the entire metro receiving multiple inches of snow from a storm on the 14th-15th. Memphis International Airport officially recorded 3.4", while at MWN Headquarters in Bartlett 5.6" fell. The snowpack lingered for several days, finally disappearing by the 22nd when rain melted and washed away what remained. The rain continued until the 27th, with over 3" falling. Over one inch of rain on both the 23rd and 27th. Dry conditions finally moved back in to finish out the month. For more on the snow event, see our <a href="https://www.memphisweather.blog/2024/01/winter-storm-wrap-up-colder-than.html">winter storm wrap-up post</a>.</div><div><div><div style="text-align: left;"><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhaZg8d_PSGbVrJFuF2MenmKmKTpU1WnrI2TcY4TPYHhAsMQL0VOaK0EARg03dVG0ct4zkpvGImWeZKBys4rCioVsowyuQ4aTfOgLUpuRbYU9QBqcpIpgUaut6D-6waoCcWSknejT0YbWjydVyo2nPsYm50r6IXnrlfB7rCMtgrwD70qMJbciX1YOHmSck/s1650/January%20snowfall.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1275" data-original-width="1650" height="494" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhaZg8d_PSGbVrJFuF2MenmKmKTpU1WnrI2TcY4TPYHhAsMQL0VOaK0EARg03dVG0ct4zkpvGImWeZKBys4rCioVsowyuQ4aTfOgLUpuRbYU9QBqcpIpgUaut6D-6waoCcWSknejT0YbWjydVyo2nPsYm50r6IXnrlfB7rCMtgrwD70qMJbciX1YOHmSck/w640-h494/January%20snowfall.jpg" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Estimated snowfall accumulation across the Mid-South on January 14-15, 2024 (NWS Memphis)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div style="text-align: left;">As far as the drought goes, there was improvement across the metro thanks to a wet month and snowpack for several days. Portions of Northwest Mississippi were still in exceptional drought conditions, while Shelby County improved to moderate drought conditions. Below images show the conditions as of January 30th and December 26th.</div><div style="text-align: left;"><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgnaJHFtphQoe82UoSBcVeW0WhgrWpvHgoPPhL2gLEPeUrdncZbl1TX-LORH2a6oy-iUrhLDCa7KuRuSY2FOAVxYXceVxkeb9DWmmjSijsIMILyGC8rz3wRGvtwfAAvldg-m-L4-QNgjbU7v-pXMNACyy6lhyr2B2gKEFu9huTpeIF-_KkRZASKu-f8Bkg/s1056/20240130_wfomeg_text.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="816" data-original-width="1056" height="494" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgnaJHFtphQoe82UoSBcVeW0WhgrWpvHgoPPhL2gLEPeUrdncZbl1TX-LORH2a6oy-iUrhLDCa7KuRuSY2FOAVxYXceVxkeb9DWmmjSijsIMILyGC8rz3wRGvtwfAAvldg-m-L4-QNgjbU7v-pXMNACyy6lhyr2B2gKEFu9huTpeIF-_KkRZASKu-f8Bkg/w640-h494/20240130_wfomeg_text.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Drought conditions as of January 30, 2024</td></tr></tbody></table><div style="text-align: left;"><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg_hXB1cxwKqzdH3EQ9QzznhKQwxeqFRW9qfY7o79i8C7Ynbff48K5O6_F7tXfbCyK8AOcc_kFLFbFUtgJ1uUKUOUZ_xcpcU_WAl-Z1skuPU0yJnH6mAKApstVymCPGgoppkavKlBncPyGStva7Nfay23RHVMa4SLnj-2Hcq8GH9kmAPkxWdojQGv1TQT8/s1056/122623%20current_wfomeg_text.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="816" data-original-width="1056" height="494" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg_hXB1cxwKqzdH3EQ9QzznhKQwxeqFRW9qfY7o79i8C7Ynbff48K5O6_F7tXfbCyK8AOcc_kFLFbFUtgJ1uUKUOUZ_xcpcU_WAl-Z1skuPU0yJnH6mAKApstVymCPGgoppkavKlBncPyGStva7Nfay23RHVMa4SLnj-2Hcq8GH9kmAPkxWdojQGv1TQT8/w640-h494/122623%20current_wfomeg_text.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Drought conditions as of December 26, 2023</td></tr></tbody></table><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div> <script async="" charset="utf-8" src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js"></script>
<h3>Memphis International Airport, Memphis, TN</h3><div><u><b>Temperature</b></u> </div></div><div><b>Average temperature</b>: 37.6 degrees (4.5 degrees below average) </div><div><b>Average high temperature</b>: 45.7 degrees (5.4 degrees below average) </div><div><b>Average low temperature</b>: 29.5 degrees (3.8 degrees below average) </div><div><b>Warmest temperature</b>: 66 degrees (11th) </div><div><b>Coolest temperature</b>: 2 degrees (17th) </div><div><b>Heating Degrees Days</b>: 841 (131 above average)</div><div><b>Cooling Degree Days</b>: 0 (1 below average) </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>Records set or tied</b>: Record low maximum of 14 degrees (15th), record low maximum of 16 degrees (16th)</span></div><div><b>Comments</b>: None</div><div><i><br /></i></div><div><u><b>Precipitation</b></u> </div><div><b>Monthly total</b>: 6.63" (2.49" above average) </div><div><b>Days with measurable precipitation</b>: 14 (4 days above average) </div><div><b>Wettest 24-hour period</b>: 1.76" (8th-9th) </div><div><b>Snowfall</b>: 3.4" (2.2" above average)</div><div><b>Records set or tied</b><span style="background-color: white;">: Record daily snowfall of 1.8 inches (14th)</span></div><div><b>Comments</b>: None</div><div><br /></div><div><u><b>Miscellaneous</b></u> </div><div><b>Peak wind</b>: Southwest/49 mph (9th)<i> </i></div><div><b>Average wind</b>: 8.2 mph </div><div><b>Average relative humidity</b>: 72%</div><div><b>Average sky cover</b>: 60%</div><div><br /></div><div> Click <a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/data/kmem/2024_01.txt" target="_blank">here</a> for a daily statistical recap for Memphis International Airport.</div><div>
<h3>MemphisWeather.net Headquarters, Bartlett, TN</h3><div><u><b>Temperature</b></u> </div></div><div><b>Average temperature</b>: 36.2 degrees </div><div><b>Average high temperature</b>: 44.5 degrees </div><div><b>Average low temperature</b>: 27.0 degrees </div><div><b>Warmest temperature</b>: 64.5 degrees (30th) </div><div><b>Coolest temperature</b>: -1.2 degrees (17th) </div><div><b>Comments</b>: None</div><div><br /></div><div><u><b>Precipitation</b></u> </div><div><b>Monthly total</b>: 7.45" (automated rain gauge), 7.53" (CoCoRaHS rain gauge) </div><div><b>Days with measurable precipitation</b>: 12</div><div><b>Wettest date:</b> 1.72" (8th) (via automated gauge) </div><div><b>Snowfall</b>: 5.6" (4.3" on 15th, 1.3" on 16th)</div><div><b>Comments</b>: Snow depth of 5.5" measured on 16th, 3" still remaining on 20th</div><div><u><b><br /></b></u></div><div><u><b>
</b></u> <u><b>Miscellaneous</b></u> </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>Peak wind</b>:</span> Southeast/36 mph (12th)</div>
<div>
<b>Average relative humidity</b>: 78% </div><div><b>Average barometric pressure</b>: 30.14 in.<div>
<b>Comments</b>: None</div><div><br /></div>
Click <a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/data/2024_01.txt" target="_blank">here</a> for a daily statistical recap for Bartlett, TN.</div><div>
<h3>
<u>MWN Forecast Accuracy</u></h3><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>Average temperature error</b>: 2.24 degrees</span> </div></div><div><b><span style="background-color: white;">Forecast temperatures within 2 degrees of actual</span></b><span style="background-color: white;">: 64%</span> </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>Average dewpoint error</b>: 2.20 degrees</span> </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>Forecast dewpoints within 2 degrees of actual</b>: 67%</span> </div><div><br /></div><div>MWN's forecasts extend out five periods (2.5 days, or roughly 60 hours). Historical accuracy statistics can be found <a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/accuracy.shtml#2022" target="_blank">here</a>.</div><div><br /></div></div>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="95" src="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" width="200" /></a></td><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s1600/NWADigital_full.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="99" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s200/NWADigital_full.jpg" width="200" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">MWN is a NOAA Weather Ready Nation Ambassador</td> <td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Meteorologist Erik Proseus is an NWA Digital Seal Holder</td></tr>
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Richard Hoseneyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10316495615911899090noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6095709393884268330.post-4792394113772815682024-02-04T13:55:00.003-06:002024-02-04T13:55:14.645-06:00A rainy Sunday, then a dry pattern before active weather returns late week<div><b>Happy wet Sunday!</b></div><div style="text-align: left;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: left;">Last week proved to be a nice change of pace with average to above normal temperatures and drier weather, which was especially welcome after the mid-to-late active January weeks! The beginning of this week appears to be a similar, calmer story despite what last night and today would suggest. A frontal boundary will move out of the area overnight to make way for a dry early start to the week. Prominent ridging will define the calmer weather for the beginning of the week before an advancing cold front later this week brings returning rain chances. </div><div style="text-align: left;"><br /></div><h4 style="text-align: left;">Concluding a rainy Sunday</h4><div>Since last night, an inch to inch and a half of rain has fallen, which brought more relief to the drought situation that the metro is currently under. Another quarter inch or so is possible today. The aforementioned frontal boundary moves out overnight, dropping rain chances in time for the start of the work week. We'll see light rain showers eventually become more scattered in coverage this evening before both cloud cover and rain chances decrease overnight. </div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiJamX1Lh3Jtt-9SXhAvkx_y-erayje9FOHOiBDSU5fgN7kh51Ff0DeYc6v_TKtvhr9ZEmGCfju19DmY3ZuswiYk6ZC78Io3mgpRisGf27CUic3FyW77AmBZE3ZD6CSvFRvFPcD_ey4hBQz9C_rwfjn5TZ3QJ36WtyKu7Dp3g_92Cg2gubjbpJGl5Y-fXE/s799/95fndfd_init_2024020400.gif" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="559" data-original-width="799" height="448" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiJamX1Lh3Jtt-9SXhAvkx_y-erayje9FOHOiBDSU5fgN7kh51Ff0DeYc6v_TKtvhr9ZEmGCfju19DmY3ZuswiYk6ZC78Io3mgpRisGf27CUic3FyW77AmBZE3ZD6CSvFRvFPcD_ey4hBQz9C_rwfjn5TZ3QJ36WtyKu7Dp3g_92Cg2gubjbpJGl5Y-fXE/w640-h448/95fndfd_init_2024020400.gif" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Rain chances decrease for most of the metro overnight on Sunday as a stalled frontal boundary moves out. Surface weather map valid at midnight tonight. (NWS/WPC)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><h4 style="text-align: left;">Drier weather for the early week</h4><div>By sunrise on Monday, we'll be dry and ready for work! And it will be a seasonably mild, mostly sunny work day at that. A shifting ridge will usher in calmer and drier weather for Monday, with highs trending just a bit warmer than Sunday at the mid-50s. Similar weather is expected on Tuesday thanks to the ridge as highs remain in the mid-50s, though skies will be nice and sunny along a north wind. If you prefer warmer highs than that, gradual warming is expected for Wednesday as highs reach the lower 60s. High clouds move in along a south wind on Wednesday, as well. Still, despite the highs, morning lows each day for the early week will certainly feel winter-like as we'll start each day in the 30s and 40s. Regardless, the high pressure ridge will bring a few nice and pleasant days for the beginning half of the week! </div><div><br /><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEieoHsykBUL2DT7suIDBPEzriUNiH_Ayko3aFn_ryLeUkw6O1YcL722aMAwyzNusiExlBcUppETZ-qKL2B0qVYUbzSf3rp0YM6eh6-2vTB54NTH2ETBpXjpB6sS1r9WwaH8OymMaZ8YNfQhUUVFeHueYT07TdcRGGqhVaIhzntlqJRokWj0OZuo8e1naRE/s800/relaxing%20gif.gif" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="600" data-original-width="800" height="300" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEieoHsykBUL2DT7suIDBPEzriUNiH_Ayko3aFn_ryLeUkw6O1YcL722aMAwyzNusiExlBcUppETZ-qKL2B0qVYUbzSf3rp0YM6eh6-2vTB54NTH2ETBpXjpB6sS1r9WwaH8OymMaZ8YNfQhUUVFeHueYT07TdcRGGqhVaIhzntlqJRokWj0OZuo8e1naRE/w400-h300/relaxing%20gif.gif" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">It won't be spring just yet, though!</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><h4 style="text-align: left;">Rain returns in the late week</h4><div>A more active latter half of the week is shaping up as a broad surface trough brings in moisture and faster winds. Highs will be pleasant (in the 60s) for Thursday and Friday, but rain chances will be increasing as moisture increases late Thursday. Clouds thicken on Thursday ahead of a cold front, which will lead to some showers Thursday evening before becoming widespread early on Friday. </div><div><br /><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhHRFldQgANlg6AoZtxMCAQUA3277eXgnd5Q5pJsVEb02xtBqQ6N9zZBxDLS5nNdIPTIs1s3UFzhLWPlLpgOn1smxPXD7Jk5feRxqccSK8GLIGR_SdycHkYzfgc-n8W7BTaCChlLvcq_fv6uuZN6_RoCti-ienIp4IxLWjDU5ph8Djc9mtWiyZyEHF30nU/s800/wpcwx+frontsf120.gif" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="564" data-original-width="800" height="452" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhHRFldQgANlg6AoZtxMCAQUA3277eXgnd5Q5pJsVEb02xtBqQ6N9zZBxDLS5nNdIPTIs1s3UFzhLWPlLpgOn1smxPXD7Jk5feRxqccSK8GLIGR_SdycHkYzfgc-n8W7BTaCChlLvcq_fv6uuZN6_RoCti-ienIp4IxLWjDU5ph8Djc9mtWiyZyEHF30nU/w640-h452/wpcwx+frontsf120.gif" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">On Friday morning, showers ahead of a cold front will lead to a wet early day. (NWS/WPC)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /></div><div>As of now, it appears that these showers may last through midday on Friday, but there is still some uncertainty with that. It hinges on the cold front's speed, which seems that it may slow down and stall over the river into Saturday morning and lead to a few showers that morning as well. Early signs also point to that front finally getting pushed out late in the weekend with rain appearing likely on Sunday. In any case, expect an unsettled end of the week and weekend! As forecasts and models are updated, we'll have more info on this system as the week progresses. Totals look to be 1.5 to 2" by the end of the week, as seen in the graphic below.</div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiSUC9tHaCVLyNidmrSuQeJKW43IT9gUR56NAHXDy6tlgF65RiJIgFXjVFPBLmSSyCQOWEz022KJqdf77nmVtMUeyz6BDcBLyBhGI2RimTNXjrpaW4DDEVWJudMTQGAhTWxVhJRARx5dQNrNS3dE4ATs7E64n0SFWRf0WCJFvgh3A2-gSCanQpBRQKFSC8/s800/qpf%20Feb4.gif" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="561" data-original-width="800" height="448" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiSUC9tHaCVLyNidmrSuQeJKW43IT9gUR56NAHXDy6tlgF65RiJIgFXjVFPBLmSSyCQOWEz022KJqdf77nmVtMUeyz6BDcBLyBhGI2RimTNXjrpaW4DDEVWJudMTQGAhTWxVhJRARx5dQNrNS3dE4ATs7E64n0SFWRf0WCJFvgh3A2-gSCanQpBRQKFSC8/w640-h448/qpf%20Feb4.gif" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">From NOAA, rainfall totals this week range from 1.5 to 2 inches for the metro. This includes Sunday's rainfall along with the latter week's showers. (NWS/WPC)</td></tr></tbody></table><h4 style="text-align: left;">Looking at a drier Valentine's week</h4><div>Though we have an upcoming "half-and-half" week of sorts (half dry, half wet), outlooks for the following week look to be seasonable temperature-wise and dry! This should make for a nice Valentine's day, if outlooks prove to be accurate. See below for the precipitation probability outlook for the following week. Remember to stay up-to-date on the forecasts for this week, and thanks for reading!</div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgxhVp2qauu4Bo9n8M2utAJbe2V9V_7z8vTKrGflYJAzrmQD1YWI-_AT6ViQQPm0-SNjNv3K1x6wetCOGhYXNAUF-djL_IrA_eUzqigh1uwdWHk3nDKlHccirj8cRPcpCMWWBbw5_Elyd2hrTaqOhGZVBCslYXLupO0KCDL1YqbuDN5OSdAmF-pIGD5pNc/s3300/814prcp.new.gif" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="2550" data-original-width="3300" height="494" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgxhVp2qauu4Bo9n8M2utAJbe2V9V_7z8vTKrGflYJAzrmQD1YWI-_AT6ViQQPm0-SNjNv3K1x6wetCOGhYXNAUF-djL_IrA_eUzqigh1uwdWHk3nDKlHccirj8cRPcpCMWWBbw5_Elyd2hrTaqOhGZVBCslYXLupO0KCDL1YqbuDN5OSdAmF-pIGD5pNc/w640-h494/814prcp.new.gif" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">The precipitation probability outlook for the week of February 11th to February 18th shows a strong likelihood of below-average precipitation for the metro. (NOAA/CPC)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div>Lei Naidoo</div>
MWN Intern<br />
<br />
----<br />
Follow MWN on <a href="http://www.facebook.com/memphisweather1" target="_blank">Facebook</a> and <a href="http://twitter.com/memphisweather1" target="_blank">Twitter</a> for routine updates and the latest info!<br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="95" src="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" width="200" /></a></td><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s1600/NWADigital_full.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="99" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s200/NWADigital_full.jpg" width="200" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">MWN is a NOAA Weather Ready Nation Ambassador</td> <td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Meteorologist Erik Proseus is an NWA Digital Seal Holder</td></tr>
</tbody></table></div>Lei Naidoohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00617686700310033010noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6095709393884268330.post-76546665320235508812024-01-21T14:50:00.002-06:002024-01-22T18:26:04.017-06:00After a winter week, looking ahead at a milder, but wet week<div>Happy cold, but optimistic Sunday!</div><div><br /></div><div>After a wintry week with snow, ice, and re-freezing roads, we're looking ahead at a sort-of "recovery" week on both the road and drought aspects. We've had a cold start today, but we're still on an upward path toward milder temperatures. Along that path, though, will be a very wet week.</div><div><br /></div><h4 style="text-align: left;">A cold Sunday and then gradual warming early/mid week</h4><div>After a(nother) #StupidCold day yesterday, today continues the trend of cold weather, but our highs stay above freezing and a ridge of high pressure keeping partly sunny skies in the area will help to improve neighborhood roads that have been struggling the past week. Sadly, lows tonight will be low enough to re-freeze areas that are wet and melted. But this leads into Monday's discussion. Southeasterly flow from the Gulf will bring in slightly warmer temps and moisture, which will lead to a few afternoon showers and a rainy night tomorrow. This will do a lot to help melt those roads that are still icy. </div><div><br /><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg0teUcgERUKmXJ-zY4SxU3-5UpPRci_IS3tvob8R1DLAsYW24MV6zJ9cHSmaKkiX-SQV8tHFS3b5yGaiBg0qTgx96txDCC1Ed8d6gSzTERm7VqLtyrVH5HNNeK4KsPvvWsvq7cHYCSW1h6INZNWfiXI1hESgsWlH7Ubp57tPzdF0N6c8HANf1zTEioDA0/s777/wpc.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="553" data-original-width="777" height="456" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg0teUcgERUKmXJ-zY4SxU3-5UpPRci_IS3tvob8R1DLAsYW24MV6zJ9cHSmaKkiX-SQV8tHFS3b5yGaiBg0qTgx96txDCC1Ed8d6gSzTERm7VqLtyrVH5HNNeK4KsPvvWsvq7cHYCSW1h6INZNWfiXI1hESgsWlH7Ubp57tPzdF0N6c8HANf1zTEioDA0/w640-h456/wpc.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Surface map for Monday at 6pm, with arrows showcasing southeasterly flow and the chance for PM showers. (NWS/WPC)</td></tr></tbody></table><br />For those with concerns about freezing rain, by the time showers move to our area tomorrow, we'll be warm enough to not worry about that possibility. By Monday night, most roads should be washed out and ice-less as lows will be in the 40s and showers persist. Similar wet weather is expected for Tuesday and Wednesday with sporadic showers, but temperatures will be gradually warming each day as we return to near-normal levels (highs in the low 50s for Tuesday and near 60° for Wednesday!). The occasional thunderstorm is possible towards mid-week as upper-level disturbances bring more wet weather, but we'll be well below severe thresholds for the week. </div><div><br /></div><h4 style="text-align: left;">A continued wet pattern with some cooling for the late week</h4><div>A cold front pushes through Wednesday night which will bring more scattered showers that night and Thursday. The front will lead into a gradual cooling pattern as we dip from highs near 60° on Thursday to lower highs in the 50s on Friday and Saturday. A few showers are possible on Friday, but these will not be as widespread as earlier in the week. Saturday also looks to be rainy and mild as the cold front stalls to our east. <table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiCKrzl51t_Il2wOIpZyjXR92MJHXCtx91HlFr-vZBBIpA9Uws-Pgo7QF3q6Ui6bMz8uqlVoWC5FWy4-34gGEk8L2_fbQxMas8oUJgshn8qn2qO4kwK7aN2lmayz7Pxq0moUJyAAuiIgMe9in8Zh0PemCMpV29vbk-9MCh7oKuaEETWdMLU8kqRSScD9l0/s984/ecmwf-ensemble-avg-conus-t2m_f-6270400.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiCKrzl51t_Il2wOIpZyjXR92MJHXCtx91HlFr-vZBBIpA9Uws-Pgo7QF3q6Ui6bMz8uqlVoWC5FWy4-34gGEk8L2_fbQxMas8oUJgshn8qn2qO4kwK7aN2lmayz7Pxq0moUJyAAuiIgMe9in8Zh0PemCMpV29vbk-9MCh7oKuaEETWdMLU8kqRSScD9l0/w640-h526/ecmwf-ensemble-avg-conus-t2m_f-6270400.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">As the cold front stalls to our east, temps will be near-normal again towards the end of the week. Shown are Friday morning temperatures from the European ensemble. (WeatherBell) </td></tr></tbody></table><br />Thankfully, none of the rainy days this week will involve winter weather! We'll be on break this week in that regard, since temperatures will be in the 50s and near 60° for the middle part of the week and latter half. <br /><br /></div><h4 style="text-align: left;">Flash flooding potential and looking at a dry February beginning</h4><div>Now, due to each day this week featuring a fair bit of rainfall, flash flooding is the primary concern for this week. Totals by the end of the week could accumulate to 3 to 5 inches. </div><div><br /><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEghjhFs_uk5vO14sXsT-tk4Q4gSSoLg4MCTtvrv_K-jgbzDl4HmjB3b3RNsM3LtY788V2YM2FgXNVBEXTL077EaCBwnFirmcZs9DHds-jkDWxSflXN3XgFILaC2D7B22TbEoapf-fZ32kyB4qkSpvP67b6oJHELzOKGynI-T8JHFifEMGHOsH19s9af4Hg/s943/IMG_4495.jpg" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="664" data-original-width="943" height="450" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEghjhFs_uk5vO14sXsT-tk4Q4gSSoLg4MCTtvrv_K-jgbzDl4HmjB3b3RNsM3LtY788V2YM2FgXNVBEXTL077EaCBwnFirmcZs9DHds-jkDWxSflXN3XgFILaC2D7B22TbEoapf-fZ32kyB4qkSpvP67b6oJHELzOKGynI-T8JHFifEMGHOsH19s9af4Hg/w640-h450/IMG_4495.jpg" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">From NOAA, rainfall totals for this week range from 3 to 5 inches for the metro. </td></tr></tbody></table><br /></div><div>Flash flooding concerns will mainly be confined to localized, low-lying areas for us. Regardless, always remember to turn around if you see standing water, and don't drown! </div><div><br /></div><div>On a different note, unlike this week and the last, the beginning of February looks to be drier and warmer than average! It looks to be a nice break after this upcoming rainy week and the wintry MLK week. See below for the precipitation probability outlook. As forecasts are updated for the following week, stay tuned, and thanks for reading! </div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjsSBhg6VtcgEDNMpKENx9l-FV2QXzRouvLLKzdOr_aUOvuYwOCaqr7ez2Sghvibwd84BqqTQ9tQ9-0zgryietr_iy_sWOW_WB7m4ku-VI3qlvoaT7FjSFZCn3IQOuEHCiTfT7FAHlOyyx_r3d-kkgeAynicX1V23mpId-OCd1Ayum-ZESZUHU2ldOx0bg/s3300/814prcp.new.gif" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="2550" data-original-width="3300" height="494" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjsSBhg6VtcgEDNMpKENx9l-FV2QXzRouvLLKzdOr_aUOvuYwOCaqr7ez2Sghvibwd84BqqTQ9tQ9-0zgryietr_iy_sWOW_WB7m4ku-VI3qlvoaT7FjSFZCn3IQOuEHCiTfT7FAHlOyyx_r3d-kkgeAynicX1V23mpId-OCd1Ayum-ZESZUHU2ldOx0bg/w640-h494/814prcp.new.gif" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Precipitation outlook for the end of January and beginning of February, showing odds of drier than normal weather for areas along and east of the Mississippi River. (NOAA/CPC)</td></tr></tbody></table><div><br /></div>Lei Naidoo<div>MWN Intern<br />
<br />
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Follow MWN on <a href="http://www.facebook.com/memphisweather1" target="_blank">Facebook</a> and <a href="http://twitter.com/memphisweather1" target="_blank">Twitter</a> for routine updates and the latest info!<br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="95" src="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" width="200" /></a></td><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s1600/NWADigital_full.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="99" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s200/NWADigital_full.jpg" width="200" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">MWN is a NOAA Weather Ready Nation Ambassador</td> <td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Meteorologist Erik Proseus is an NWA Digital Seal Holder</td></tr>
</tbody></table></div>Lei Naidoohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00617686700310033010noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6095709393884268330.post-21719899177101282802024-01-20T10:40:00.000-06:002024-01-20T10:40:50.470-06:002023 Yearly Climate Review for Memphis, TN<h3> Climate Recap</h3><div>2023 will go into the history books as the fourth warmest year on record in Memphis with near average precipitation for the year. However, those overall statistics do now tell the entire story, particularly with respect to precipitation. Below is a summary of monthly temperature and precipitation data. On average, spring and summer were near to cooler than average. However, the cool season from fall to winter was much warmer than average. This resulted in an overall annual departure from normal of +1.7 degrees. There were 16 warm weather records set in 2023 and no cool temperature records.</div><div><br /></div><div>On the precipitation side, with the exception of a dry May, precipitation ran above to well above average. The back half of the year, though, saw that surplus disappear, resulting in severe to extreme fall and early winter drought across the metro, and exceptional drought in north MS. In 2023, NWS-Memphis issued 372 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings, 83 Tornado Warnings, and 54 Flash Flood Warnings for their 5-county coverage area over the Mid-South. </div><div><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg0kDv5t7HsSMMAJz0heOsCwFn3pnV8FwjIePON3VreggkyxeCyLSyiypOAHcjzrkG0oo_jzHVlpNHXht5aOr0LzPEc1y1F9DymuQ6r4Fw53RAODeEEM2aBlkdK8G_7Q7y8XO7po6k2RNd2b1mMGVcxhxfMWvyQvJp_GvMXohajl5-VNLcwmGVEV8MCmqI/s704/2023%20monthly%20temps%20precip.png"><img border="0" data-original-height="516" data-original-width="704" height="469" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg0kDv5t7HsSMMAJz0heOsCwFn3pnV8FwjIePON3VreggkyxeCyLSyiypOAHcjzrkG0oo_jzHVlpNHXht5aOr0LzPEc1y1F9DymuQ6r4Fw53RAODeEEM2aBlkdK8G_7Q7y8XO7po6k2RNd2b1mMGVcxhxfMWvyQvJp_GvMXohajl5-VNLcwmGVEV8MCmqI/w640-h469/2023%20monthly%20temps%20precip.png" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjVsUD_SjKLDv62FqQyx6z2bpUuL5zE3JYUL2xmPYUuLK2uPMq0oOBdfBLKvw0G_2oQ1HGfVKC4MPcmJ6zzIq2FMUOyNOJFOI6uvtOLG58Fenxasmv1U-sFZ-e1eIyo5VbWhV5X9sCpVbxDQwzR7uIc1uY106FbuoXoBOzFnrPVk1A1apVYiuCFd2gQbDM/s1548/2023_Accumulation.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="542" data-original-width="1548" height="224" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjVsUD_SjKLDv62FqQyx6z2bpUuL5zE3JYUL2xmPYUuLK2uPMq0oOBdfBLKvw0G_2oQ1HGfVKC4MPcmJ6zzIq2FMUOyNOJFOI6uvtOLG58Fenxasmv1U-sFZ-e1eIyo5VbWhV5X9sCpVbxDQwzR7uIc1uY106FbuoXoBOzFnrPVk1A1apVYiuCFd2gQbDM/w640-h224/2023_Accumulation.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Precipitation accumulation graphic for 2023, showing total accumulation (green) versus average. (NOAA Regional Climate Centers)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div><br /></div><div><div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg_hXB1cxwKqzdH3EQ9QzznhKQwxeqFRW9qfY7o79i8C7Ynbff48K5O6_F7tXfbCyK8AOcc_kFLFbFUtgJ1uUKUOUZ_xcpcU_WAl-Z1skuPU0yJnH6mAKApstVymCPGgoppkavKlBncPyGStva7Nfay23RHVMa4SLnj-2Hcq8GH9kmAPkxWdojQGv1TQT8/s1056/122623%20current_wfomeg_text.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="816" data-original-width="1056" height="494" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg_hXB1cxwKqzdH3EQ9QzznhKQwxeqFRW9qfY7o79i8C7Ynbff48K5O6_F7tXfbCyK8AOcc_kFLFbFUtgJ1uUKUOUZ_xcpcU_WAl-Z1skuPU0yJnH6mAKApstVymCPGgoppkavKlBncPyGStva7Nfay23RHVMa4SLnj-2Hcq8GH9kmAPkxWdojQGv1TQT8/w640-h494/122623%20current_wfomeg_text.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Drought conditions as of December 26, 2023</td></tr></tbody></table><div style="text-align: left;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div> <script async="" charset="utf-8" src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js"></script>
<h3>Memphis International Airport, Memphis, TN</h3><div><u><b>Temperature</b></u> </div></div><div><b>Average temperature</b>: 65.1 degrees (1.7 degrees above average) </div><div><b>Average high temperature</b>: 74.5 degrees (1.5 degrees above average) </div><div><b>Average low temperature</b>: 55.8 degrees (2.0 degrees above average) </div><div><b>Warmest temperature</b>: 102 degrees (August 25-26) </div><div><b>Days that reached 100 degrees for a high: </b>3</div><div><b>Coolest temperature</b>: 25 degrees (January 31, February 1, March 19-20) </div><div><b>Days that dropped below 25 degrees for a low: 0</b></div><div><b>Heating Degrees Days</b>: 2250 (625 below average)</div><div><b>Cooling Degree Days</b>: 2426 (112 above average) </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>Records set or tied</b>: </span><span style="background-color: white;"><i>Record highs</i>: Feb. 22 (77), April 4 (87 - tied), August 24 (100), August 25 (102), October 24 (86), November 6 (81), November 7 (83), November 8 (84).</span></div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><i>Record warm lows</i>: April 4 (68 - tied), June 29 (81 - tied), July 1 (81), August 22 (80 - tied), August 23 (81), August 25 (80), August 26 (80), October 24 (69). No low temperature records were set in 2023.</span></div><div><b>Comments</b>: January was the 11th warmest on record. February was the 9th warmest on average. December was the 16th warmest on record. December 2022-February 2023 (meteorological winter) was the 7th warmest on record (48.2 degrees). The period September 1-December 31 was the 6th warmest on record. The year 2023 was the 4th warmest on record.</div><div><i><br /></i></div><div><u><b>Precipitation</b></u> </div><div><b>Yearly total</b>: 55.48" (0.54" below average) </div><div><b>Days with measurable precipitation</b>: 113 (1.6 days above average) </div><div><b>Wettest Day</b>: 4.53" (July 21)</div><div><b>Snowfall</b>: 0.2" (2.25" below average)</div><div><b>Records set or tied</b><span style="background-color: white;">: June 16 (1.75"), July 21 (4.53").</span></div><div><b>Comments</b>: January was the 14th wettest on record. March was the 19th wettest on record. July was the 4th wettest on record. The period September 1-December 31 was the 13th driest on record.</div><div><br /></div><div><u><b>Miscellaneous</b></u> </div><div><b>Peak wind</b>: Northwest/69 mph (July 5)<i> </i></div><div><b>Average wind</b>: 7.5 mph </div><div><b>Average relative humidity</b>: 67%</div><div><b>Average sky cover</b>: 52%</div><div><br /></div><div> Click <a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/data/kmem/2023.txt" target="_blank">here</a> for a daily statistical recap for Memphis International Airport.</div><div>
<h3>MemphisWeather.net Headquarters, Bartlett, TN</h3><div><u><b>Temperature</b></u> </div></div><div><b>Average temperature</b>: 62.9 degrees </div><div><b>Average high temperature</b>: 74.6 degrees </div><div><b>Average low temperature</b>: 53.2 degrees </div><div><b>Warmest temperature</b>: 99.9 degrees (July 1) </div><div><b>Days that reached 100 degrees (rounded) for a high: </b>4</div><div><b>Coolest temperature</b>: 22.4 degrees (December 19) </div><div><b>Comments</b>: None</div><div><br /></div><div><u><b>Precipitation</b></u> </div><div><b>Yearly total</b>: 60.34" (automated rain gauge), 58.92" (CoCoRaHS rain gauge) </div><div><b>Days with measurable precipitation</b>: 118</div><div><b>Wettest date:</b> 3.78" (January 3) </div><div><b>Snowfall</b>: 0.3"</div><div><b>Comments</b>: None</div><div><u><b><br /></b></u></div><div><u><b>
</b></u> <u><b>Miscellaneous</b></u> </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>Peak wind</b>:</span> Northwest/47 mph (June 2nd)</div>
<div>
<b>Average relative humidity</b>: 73% </div><div><b>Average barometric pressure</b>: 30.03 in.<div>
<b>Comments</b>: None</div><div><br /></div>
Click <a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/data/2023.txt" target="_blank">here</a> for a daily statistical recap for Bartlett, TN.</div><div>
<h3>
<u>MWN Forecast Accuracy</u></h3><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>Average temperature error</b>: 2.06 degrees</span> </div></div><div><b><span style="background-color: white;">Forecast temperatures within 2 degrees of actual</span></b><span style="background-color: white;">: 67%</span> </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>Average dewpoint error</b>: 2.23 degrees</span> </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>Forecast dewpoints within 2 degrees of actual</b>: 66%</span> </div><div><br /></div><div>MWN's forecasts extend out five periods (2.5 days, or roughly 60 hours). Historical accuracy statistics can be found <a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/accuracy.shtml#2022" target="_blank">here</a>.</div><div><br /></div></div>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="95" src="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" width="200" /></a></td><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s1600/NWADigital_full.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="99" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s200/NWADigital_full.jpg" width="200" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">MWN is a NOAA Weather Ready Nation Ambassador</td> <td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Meteorologist Erik Proseus is an NWA Digital Seal Holder</td></tr>
</tbody></table>
Richard Hoseneyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10316495615911899090noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6095709393884268330.post-56046408787211422512024-01-16T18:59:00.006-06:002024-01-16T18:59:57.195-06:00Winter storm wrap-up, colder than #StupidCold, and one more shot at winter precip<div>Quick blog this evening... </div><div><br /></div><div>We made it through the MLK winter storm with a pretty solid 4-6" thick blanket over the area (some more, some less). The sunshine returned today and started to work its magic on the major streets, but those side streets are still a mess. Fortunately not a sheet of ice, so it could be a lot worse! I found traction to be decent if you don't go too fast!</div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjBKPRMEMy3r5GBOt25IykxQXD_IDDQI5UNOIcjOIMp9U8BtRhGzSpNZztMjg1OSk0KxE_2XI2vSOrH_YSJnDDbZKIKbKLmfp-FFkEwsYxUR6U9Stx1iqMw3Aladyy9OuUd2JHe1UQB5IyDv27Wb9iBaXoXuKtv9Ip0w7BMrWbKZNmEjjSnz4YGnMwF6_k/s1650/GD_EDaqaoAAgs7_.jpg" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1275" data-original-width="1650" height="494" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjBKPRMEMy3r5GBOt25IykxQXD_IDDQI5UNOIcjOIMp9U8BtRhGzSpNZztMjg1OSk0KxE_2XI2vSOrH_YSJnDDbZKIKbKLmfp-FFkEwsYxUR6U9Stx1iqMw3Aladyy9OuUd2JHe1UQB5IyDv27Wb9iBaXoXuKtv9Ip0w7BMrWbKZNmEjjSnz4YGnMwF6_k/w640-h494/GD_EDaqaoAAgs7_.jpg" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Estimated and preliminary snowfall totals from this week's storm. Click <a href="https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MEG&issuedby=MEG&product=PNS" target="_blank">here</a> for a full list of reports. (NWS-Memphis)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div>Overnight, temperatures drop WAY into the single digits, and with a very light breeze, wind chills will be below zero. This is #BrutalCold territory and all precautions should be taken, including dripping faucets on exterior walls, wrapping pipes that are subject to freeze, and leaving those cabinet doors open to allow heat around the pipes.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhnCvFmIeweO9ZZq6ptnjfqySvnjhebchsuOkP96FBNHnDhbhRkhyRK4KmhKZ4VcLXrB4EgSqvMRMZ7iONqgkk70lYhG8ZhoPScvt3mj-4-DRV9quPpWEBXbnWoPzcyho1lHPKiH3Dk7Hm4yETIG_yP-D726AEg6c623WZZhNex1V4FcJcpeejbqQDbHHE/s2048/pipes_below_freezing.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1097" data-original-width="2048" height="342" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhnCvFmIeweO9ZZq6ptnjfqySvnjhebchsuOkP96FBNHnDhbhRkhyRK4KmhKZ4VcLXrB4EgSqvMRMZ7iONqgkk70lYhG8ZhoPScvt3mj-4-DRV9quPpWEBXbnWoPzcyho1lHPKiH3Dk7Hm4yETIG_yP-D726AEg6c623WZZhNex1V4FcJcpeejbqQDbHHE/w640-h342/pipes_below_freezing.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div><div>But don't go overboard with the power consumption! MLGW is asking everyone to conserve, as tomorrow morning will likely set a wintertime record for energy use and they don't want to resort to brown-outs or black-outs. If you can throw an extra blanket on and drop the thermostat a degree or two, every little bit helps.</div>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p dir="ltr" lang="en">Starting immediately: <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/MLGW?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#MLGW</a> customers are asked to cooperate in voluntarily reducing power usage to avoid impacts to the entire TVA system until further notice. <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/MLGWNews?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#MLGWNews</a> <a href="https://t.co/as667kQANe">pic.twitter.com/as667kQANe</a></p>— MLGW (@MLGW) <a href="https://twitter.com/MLGW/status/1747333583222513792?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 16, 2024</a></blockquote> <script async="" charset="utf-8" src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js"></script>
<div><br /></div><div>Looking ahead, more sunshine on Wednesday, and "warmer" temperatures nearing the freezing point should really help with snowmelt. It's won't clear a side street with 6" of snow on it, but it will make a lot of areas much more manageable. (There was melting going on today with temps in the mid teens, as long as the area had direct sun exposure.)</div><div><br /></div><div>After Wednesday though, the melting might hit the pause button just for a bit as another round of very light precipitation moves in Thursday. Temperatures will be below freezing until probably at least lunchtime, and honestly may not get much above that in the afternoon. That means we're expecting a light glaze of ice on Thursday. This won't be enough to bring down tree branches and power lines (so power loss due to those causes is not expected), but it could be enough to slicken up still-contaminated roadways and maybe some bridges and overpasses. All told, it should be less than one-tenth of an inch, but a cold bridge doesn't need much help to become slippery! We'll have more details on this event, including temperature trends, which are the biggest unknown right now, on our social media feeds leading up to Thursday.</div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjC-I9bSyxbk-Q-eD1T7M41P2PZGlfEq_q4EvufcV2eOY4pnIHpUts8-SkeEvz9aMt4W2wZjpm9FXgg4fmJeY7jL_owTiccfk2Auw3kES5EXfMC-ikiTUxdO8Qpm26uMwKVOTb1Op1XlfmELTTGprBIi0IPW0Ym59NOUev4qhpG69Yngxg7mpSLuVK2OXM/s984/nam-nest-memphis-refc_ptype-1705428000-1705586400-1705629600-40.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="526" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjC-I9bSyxbk-Q-eD1T7M41P2PZGlfEq_q4EvufcV2eOY4pnIHpUts8-SkeEvz9aMt4W2wZjpm9FXgg4fmJeY7jL_owTiccfk2Auw3kES5EXfMC-ikiTUxdO8Qpm26uMwKVOTb1Op1XlfmELTTGprBIi0IPW0Ym59NOUev4qhpG69Yngxg7mpSLuVK2OXM/w640-h526/nam-nest-memphis-refc_ptype-1705428000-1705586400-1705629600-40.gif" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">The NAM3 model forecast radar for 8am-8pm Thursday, showing light freezing rain, then rain, move through the metro. This is still early for details, but it gives you an idea what to expect. (WeatherBell)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div>As we head into the weekend (seems like we've been on one for days now...), the front that brings the light icing also brings one more shot of Arctic air. Sunshine will be prevalent, but temps drop back to the 20s Friday, near 10 degrees Saturday morning and just above 20 on Saturday, before finally rebounding from the teens Sunday morning back above freezing Sunday afternoon. And then there is next week - 50s to 60 degrees for highs as #StupidCold finally gets kicked to the curb!</div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgZyHdugqx4vqnDKEFqN-weYhMyYbWTx74NWodEDbhFDq9NR2mfrMRO6267twHSw6msqK7u_ADd7AhkN4ZrNYoGLS8u7ykOYZAg53z6TGUHH5Q248fsOwOwEeTCFbly49JizqL-DN5MOVpRIDvVbAy1DKFCflSlvfV-YR4d-kxNA6PD6mS0285upy2VNyQ/s3300/610temp.new.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="2550" data-original-width="3300" height="309" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgZyHdugqx4vqnDKEFqN-weYhMyYbWTx74NWodEDbhFDq9NR2mfrMRO6267twHSw6msqK7u_ADd7AhkN4ZrNYoGLS8u7ykOYZAg53z6TGUHH5Q248fsOwOwEeTCFbly49JizqL-DN5MOVpRIDvVbAy1DKFCflSlvfV-YR4d-kxNA6PD6mS0285upy2VNyQ/w400-h309/610temp.new.gif" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Outlook for temperatures (versus normal) for next week (January 22-26). By then, we may all be done with sub-freezing temperatures! (NOAA/CPC)</td></tr></tbody></table><div><br /></div>
Erik Proseus<br />
MWN Meteorologist<br />
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<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">MWN is a NOAA Weather Ready Nation Ambassador</td> <td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Meteorologist Erik Proseus is an NWA Digital Seal Holder</td></tr>
</tbody></table>Meteorologist Erik Proseushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16116114428520631122noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6095709393884268330.post-80419574179353684412024-01-13T11:05:00.001-06:002024-01-13T15:01:33.105-06:00MLK Day Winter Storm Q&A (with lots of pictures and GIFS)<div>I've written many a blog post ahead of winter storms over the years. The format that seems to work best is Q&A style, because I know you have questions. So herein I will try and provide answers - some to the point, some with more detail. Keep in mind this is AS OF SATURDAY MORNING. The forecast can (and probably will) change, or at least be refined. Buckle up!</div><div><br /></div><div><b>Q: Is it really gonna snow?</b></div><div><b>A</b>: Yes, really.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhujNyKNEQAyIDLldVdsSr9eNJQ8EBg4cMdYSoeF8lxTWLpqbjx3Nvor0yFFCyn6TsbXALpCHQ6PF0W3qiQSzpXKBZzYMN1PPup-5pF4R237BANbfAB99GcDr-q3o-4ExNteS8xSO6r54gZauTGGrYeloG08XYcKkRJ0AsHsH_5JNyIgHeP8IY1uyaN68M/s516/giphy.gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="516" data-original-width="396" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhujNyKNEQAyIDLldVdsSr9eNJQ8EBg4cMdYSoeF8lxTWLpqbjx3Nvor0yFFCyn6TsbXALpCHQ6PF0W3qiQSzpXKBZzYMN1PPup-5pF4R237BANbfAB99GcDr-q3o-4ExNteS8xSO6r54gZauTGGrYeloG08XYcKkRJ0AsHsH_5JNyIgHeP8IY1uyaN68M/w246-h320/giphy.gif" width="246" /></a></div><br /><div><br /></div><div><b>Q: When will it start and end?</b></div><div><b>A</b>: Timing has been a chief concern for the past few days. Models have struggled. But they are getting better and I have higher confidence now. A Winter Storm Warning is in effect from Sunday at noon through Tuesday at 6am. I believe we could see some flurries (or maybe freezing drizzle) by late afternoon Sunday. By early to mid evening, snow becomes likely and continues much of the night and into Monday. I would expect it to taper off by mid-afternoon Monday, but flurries or light snow could linger through the evening. We're looking at 18- 24 hours of precipitation. </div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgUdxmcnewY32pjGO3q_9cgDWrAbEOez8UflaXrGWFbez1cV4zjCIqya2bdfZGC77mcyWHF8IqiIv3e81ZJLnA0LZWoDV-R1ClxYYzzVr_-XyUIIWC4-HFi3_ZT7EnF8MeLf2qxdHVjdk_4ygOLbmebGtnYn0X5PYuRRu3d9A9idM7ZMoK9XML9a9EVBVQ/s960/liquor%20store%20warning.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="750" data-original-width="960" height="313" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgUdxmcnewY32pjGO3q_9cgDWrAbEOez8UflaXrGWFbez1cV4zjCIqya2bdfZGC77mcyWHF8IqiIv3e81ZJLnA0LZWoDV-R1ClxYYzzVr_-XyUIIWC4-HFi3_ZT7EnF8MeLf2qxdHVjdk_4ygOLbmebGtnYn0X5PYuRRu3d9A9idM7ZMoK9XML9a9EVBVQ/w400-h313/liquor%20store%20warning.jpg" width="400" /></a></div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><b>Q: How much are we going to get?</b></div><div><b>A</b>: This is the million dollar question and the one everyone cares about. I believe Sunday night's snow will be fairly uniform and light, but still with accumulation potential. On Monday, a band (or bands) of moderate to perhaps heavy snow sets up within an area of lighter snow. This adds complication to the totals because we don't know exactly where that will happen. However, recent data suggests this could be close to or south of I-40. Within that band, there is <b>strong potential for 5-7"</b> of snow. Outside of that sweet spot, I still think <b>3-4" is going to be the average</b>. So to put an overall range on it, 3-7" is my call as of 11am Saturday. Below is what the NWS has as of right now - we're not too different.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiDq-G9WKQ5bqOfs1C_yvaald2F95wqJT6t0BFDO3JNOi-OoeFh78Rg_UXKWQbFUKnQ5iJsVePSIvAM_PsNkXyblrq0RTKSxukA_7IQu3TafzL2b4Fuq-dM8J73PC0onGV4EJAc7c2JVc_SvJ8teYnTq-yjG03xcPu4kEfxzFdP3t0vkQZG7MgbCDw31o0/s1024/snowaccum.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="768" data-original-width="1024" height="300" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiDq-G9WKQ5bqOfs1C_yvaald2F95wqJT6t0BFDO3JNOi-OoeFh78Rg_UXKWQbFUKnQ5iJsVePSIvAM_PsNkXyblrq0RTKSxukA_7IQu3TafzL2b4Fuq-dM8J73PC0onGV4EJAc7c2JVc_SvJ8teYnTq-yjG03xcPu4kEfxzFdP3t0vkQZG7MgbCDw31o0/w400-h300/snowaccum.png" width="400" /></a></div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><b>Q: What sort of boom and bust potential is there? </b></div><div><b>A</b>: Great question, glad you asked! On the low end, I think everyone in the 8-county MWN coverage area is likely to see at least 2", even if the storm underperforms. If that's all you get, you'll have to just shake it off. On the flip side, there is a low chance somewhere within a heavy band that 8" or more could fall. </div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjS7DgvWZGqHp7YwkvY8u7rPkct8lYkUQuVlwfIb0WThenOf8zF-z9xAolzG6rLCiK4LGW1QLfrBx4vvQK7u8ZZmQvDnHxiReuyfOXy1NHTP2mUVI3fTuAcMGz69L16VLLK1lYjjZepzerTMjrSlEsT3Tz48w8ff5VT9i2jNCawvUHTJPsMAUK9wi59RrY/s405/giphy%20(4).gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="405" data-original-width="320" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjS7DgvWZGqHp7YwkvY8u7rPkct8lYkUQuVlwfIb0WThenOf8zF-z9xAolzG6rLCiK4LGW1QLfrBx4vvQK7u8ZZmQvDnHxiReuyfOXy1NHTP2mUVI3fTuAcMGz69L16VLLK1lYjjZepzerTMjrSlEsT3Tz48w8ff5VT9i2jNCawvUHTJPsMAUK9wi59RrY/s320/giphy%20(4).gif" width="253" /></a></div><br /><div><br /></div><div>(<b>Warning</b>: science lesson about to break out!) Part of the uncertainty in totals has to do with what we call the "snow to liquid ratio" (SLR), which is how much snow occurs given a certain amount of precipitation in liquid form. Typically, an inch of liquid yields 10" of snow, or a 10:1 ratio. When it is very cold with lower humidity, that ratio goes up. So an inch of liquid may be 15" of snow (15:1). That type of snow is "dry" and doesn't pack well (i.e. no snowball fights and clear it with a leaf blower). I think we'll end up with a drier snow than typical for this area, but not Minneapolis dry. It's still one of the unknowns though. Sorry for the weather nerdy interruption - back to the Q&A.</div><div><br /></div><div><b>Q: Any surprises, like rain or ice mixing in?</b></div><div><b>A</b>: Doubtful. Although, there are hints that very light precipitation at onset late Sunday afternoon could be freezing drizzle. It's not a major concern for me. </div><div><br /></div><div><b>Q: How will the roads be Monday / Tuesday / in February?</b></div><div><b>A</b>: The cold air that moves over us in the coming week is no joke. It'll be moving beyond #StupidCold to #DangerousCold for some folks. On Monday, I wouldn't recommend travel unless necessary, as we'll be in a Winter Storm Warning and there will be accumulation actively occurring. (Yes, I know the Grizzlies play a big MLK Day game. We don't need fans added to the injury list, tbh.) </div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhi6348T0WCEa9_ab8Hkuese5IGLZdEsIHPhkgnOrynDv3k4NaXO0_GXIF5vj4BKYQQEYq869FgQ9HUvhz42XTBxsMjT_LzD4lpGWp6wnfXmBxmKgRMVUsZivwaIHB_6C2tgl4qw9QCH60HH2USMxaM2vK4GSbxKJXGVzZW2xdbLOCwIGySUEKjIRdHy94/s480/giphy%20(6).gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="269" data-original-width="480" height="179" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhi6348T0WCEa9_ab8Hkuese5IGLZdEsIHPhkgnOrynDv3k4NaXO0_GXIF5vj4BKYQQEYq869FgQ9HUvhz42XTBxsMjT_LzD4lpGWp6wnfXmBxmKgRMVUsZivwaIHB_6C2tgl4qw9QCH60HH2USMxaM2vK4GSbxKJXGVzZW2xdbLOCwIGySUEKjIRdHy94/w320-h179/giphy%20(6).gif" width="320" /></a></div><br /><div>Fortunately, rain doesn't preface this event, so roads will be treated starting today and that will help. But some of those treatments don't work as well when temps get into the mid teens or colder, like they will Monday morning and definitely Tuesday morning. </div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgiW5Tiwh8VnsG-h4_aKaD2jWuRpomfQSXrBCS4BOinfGEQz6rJMNajbItJgpMXsthLqboALoGrNGXTxc3ZMHCMUzOZGpTmkz4K2ufPZG6Is1c4D0QRaJgcYLNGOcgtUYI_VczYZFtTF90GKerc0zi5NAukNj3G7pjG4NhyphenhyphenqJBEpLsRmZ8a2J1IAMzSS1Y/s1400/WinterDriving_know_before_you_go.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="700" data-original-width="1400" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgiW5Tiwh8VnsG-h4_aKaD2jWuRpomfQSXrBCS4BOinfGEQz6rJMNajbItJgpMXsthLqboALoGrNGXTxc3ZMHCMUzOZGpTmkz4K2ufPZG6Is1c4D0QRaJgcYLNGOcgtUYI_VczYZFtTF90GKerc0zi5NAukNj3G7pjG4NhyphenhyphenqJBEpLsRmZ8a2J1IAMzSS1Y/w640-h320/WinterDriving_know_before_you_go.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div><div>As for Tuesday, it's kind of wait and see, but if 3-4" or more falls and traffic is light Monday (likely, due to snow falling and the holiday), Tuesday morning may not be much better. The only thing that might help a little is if the snow is dusty and, with some wind blowing, main streets might fare a bit better. A hard freeze Monday night with no traffic will likely mean a dicey Tuesday morning though. Sunshine on Tuesday, despite bitterly cold temperatures could help with primary roads. I think odds are above even that Tuesday is a "snow day" though too. (That one is for you, teachers!) By February, we should be fine. 😉</div><div><br /></div><div><b>Q: I have a flight...</b></div><div><b>A</b>: Are you going to the Bahamas? Make every effort, and add a ticket for me.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEigUr88-FBsiOaEXp5WaoblONPOQaSfHF52WFmmoz4jEuzpTkKd_YnNhDzQANjTUsEamQ9U9MBnend3pri3tbixnTsmIcYKb4RDXt9YNYCJvnH0vCAnKYOyRt0f9qtMTOQx12HvwBQLq9OnrkeKQbaq15HJQ67xAvapYUXod-zFQvhFXeQlH3SPsz9OSpU/s480/giphy%20(5).gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="480" data-original-width="480" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEigUr88-FBsiOaEXp5WaoblONPOQaSfHF52WFmmoz4jEuzpTkKd_YnNhDzQANjTUsEamQ9U9MBnend3pri3tbixnTsmIcYKb4RDXt9YNYCJvnH0vCAnKYOyRt0f9qtMTOQx12HvwBQLq9OnrkeKQbaq15HJQ67xAvapYUXod-zFQvhFXeQlH3SPsz9OSpU/s320/giphy%20(5).gif" width="320" /></a></div><br /><div>So the airport is as equipped as any place to handle winter weather. They have more snow removal equipment than most southern cities and FedEx won't slow down (much). But getting there could be "tough sledding" (see questions above). The best answer is check with your airline. There will probably be cancellations, but not necessarily because the airport is "closed." It won't close. But airlines don't like getting planes stuck or crews unable to fly due to flight rules, so many times they proactively cancel.</div><div><br /></div><div><b>Q: How about the #StupidCold this week? </b></div><div><b>A</b>: Snow is fun and generally not super dangerous. This cold will NOT be. After today, we likely won't get back above freezing until Thursday afternoon. In the meantime, temperatures will be in the teens to 20s Sunday, Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday. We'll drop into the single digits Wednesday morning. Wind chills will be dangerous, even with just a 10-15 mph wind. </div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiDaTHk0vMx22xZUTvZ_Q8jQHNXwEqKRfPmOT1Hbgl_PecCYzkiFhYfOFccN3cq9EbH1gtip9qIpE0IKkkEEdNXAWzOWzvFV59aK5kH6B5sAjksx4vcuTwlXJZ5hK3tMbeGZX0s0U_DqgtdXMYCGMn_Wuj90BrQgh9f7zl1wwWXl5bvibLIcJmlEkPOUIM/s1024/Tue_Wed_WindChill.gif" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="768" data-original-width="1024" height="300" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiDaTHk0vMx22xZUTvZ_Q8jQHNXwEqKRfPmOT1Hbgl_PecCYzkiFhYfOFccN3cq9EbH1gtip9qIpE0IKkkEEdNXAWzOWzvFV59aK5kH6B5sAjksx4vcuTwlXJZ5hK3tMbeGZX0s0U_DqgtdXMYCGMn_Wuj90BrQgh9f7zl1wwWXl5bvibLIcJmlEkPOUIM/w400-h300/Tue_Wed_WindChill.gif" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Forecast wind chills Tuesday and Wednesday mornings</td></tr></tbody></table><div><br /></div><div><b>Q: Will my pipes burst?</b></div><div><b>A</b>: If your pipes have had issues when it got brutally cold just before Christmas in 2022 or in mid-February 2021, you might be at risk again. This week will be a "4-P Week." Take care of your people (and others if able), your pets (indoors or a warm place), your pipes, and your plants. Keep the faucets dripping and cabinets open on exterior walls where there are pipes.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhNoo5f00gJJQXeAs5SURbE8-coy4NRxwiyRmuqtdKLCwz5XCoPXVqCcrU_boX685W8uKb9fzg1-UEhPYd-Ehvfs_PvwRZ3qeZMUnsgnjP0brFULKRVauYyPNhILO_-Tkcltl8DrDDfLGSS2ITnuAPGTq91W1s7Ie4u6xKxxgkn4mJxPmS90ma9DXPzJrM/s2048/pipes_below_freezing.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1097" data-original-width="2048" height="342" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhNoo5f00gJJQXeAs5SURbE8-coy4NRxwiyRmuqtdKLCwz5XCoPXVqCcrU_boX685W8uKb9fzg1-UEhPYd-Ehvfs_PvwRZ3qeZMUnsgnjP0brFULKRVauYyPNhILO_-Tkcltl8DrDDfLGSS2ITnuAPGTq91W1s7Ie4u6xKxxgkn4mJxPmS90ma9DXPzJrM/w640-h342/pipes_below_freezing.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><b>Q: How about the electrical grid?</b></div><div><b>A</b>: Due to the prolonged cold, and the fact that it will affect a large area in the southeast, energy load will be well above average. I don't have to remind you of Christmas 2022 when the load ended up resulting in many issues. MLGW has already indicated that they are in much better shape than 2022, but that they will request conservation of utilities. Scattered power outages seem possible, although it won't be as bad as if ice were pulling down trees and lines. Heavy snow could cause some issues, as might excessive load. Be prepared just in case and conserve where able.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhy5CZsTFom6NcGo4jP-_rvlhY3_1EGcOc-liiQft3uxTXSt4TQ2bnM1wA0UFPcb7v-IFwr8pcOfUy37Jp22zpkjHcm4Yj9eWyZD1iUBAAoJqvgWuMY53XhXkuU18i4xqxY05fD2_pmaBUv_3JOJ4rlkKnGld_hrCC3fEOhkkEf5-z9wDGmBgiK16HTPJg/s1280/warmth%20when%20power%20out.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhy5CZsTFom6NcGo4jP-_rvlhY3_1EGcOc-liiQft3uxTXSt4TQ2bnM1wA0UFPcb7v-IFwr8pcOfUy37Jp22zpkjHcm4Yj9eWyZD1iUBAAoJqvgWuMY53XhXkuU18i4xqxY05fD2_pmaBUv_3JOJ4rlkKnGld_hrCC3fEOhkkEf5-z9wDGmBgiK16HTPJg/w640-h360/warmth%20when%20power%20out.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><b>Q: What's this I am hearing about Thursday? Are we going to do this all over again??</b></div><div><b>A</b>: I'm not talking about it just yet, other than to say "do it all over again" is not in the cards. A light winter precip event is possible, and the cold will be reinforced for a couple days behind it. Let's get through this one first.</div><div><br /></div><div><b>Q: When will it be 70 degrees and sunny again?</b></div><div><b>A</b>: March. </div><div><br /></div><div><b>Final word:</b> This could be a dangerous storm for many in our community. While we had a little fun with this (and you probably will enjoy it especially if you have kids), please make sure you read closely the safety tips and other advice. Take care of your neighbors and be smart about your choices. Most importantly, prepare for the brutal cold. It'll be a week to ten days of well below average temperatures.</div><div><br /></div><div>Erik Proseus</div>
MWN Meteorologist<br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="95" src="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" width="200" /></a></td><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s1600/NWADigital_full.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="99" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s200/NWADigital_full.jpg" width="200" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">MWN is a NOAA Weather Ready Nation Ambassador</td> <td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Meteorologist Erik Proseus is an NWA Digital Seal Holder</td></tr>
</tbody></table>Meteorologist Erik Proseushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16116114428520631122noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6095709393884268330.post-32312777501221251852024-01-06T12:52:00.003-06:002024-01-06T12:52:39.200-06:00Winter has arrived - very active weather week ahead<div>December warmth is long gone now and Mother Nature is reminding us it is indeed the season of winter. We're also going to start making a dent in the rainfall deficit of the past few months in the coming week or so. I sent the post below on social media yesterday; it's what we in meteorology call a "progressive pattern" (nothing to do with politics).</div><br />
<iframe allow="autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen="true" frameborder="0" height="574" scrolling="no" src="https://www.facebook.com/plugins/video.php?height=459&href=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.facebook.com%2Fmemphisweather1%2Fvideos%2F284326024642363%2F&show_text=true&width=560&t=0" style="border: none; overflow: hidden;" width="560"></iframe> <div><br /></div><h4 style="text-align: left;">Weekend chill</h4><div>Last night, the first in a series of low pressure systems to affect the region moved by to our south. We got about half an inch of rainfall late afternoon into the overnight. Today, we're left with a cold, clammy, damp but not precipitating, gray winter day. Temperatures will struggle to reach the mid 40s this afternoon with a westerly breeze. Sprinkles are possible this evening, but then it appears the sun will return by midday tomorrow. That will help reduce the chill a bit, though we still likely won't hit 50 degrees on Sunday, which is the average high for this time of year. At least most of the weekend is dry.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiUbLJNXwlHlmDXY_RStOzG7VktgN7aZRKY07dJji0crkaMFFPBOtnzk4Qwl5d8t8lukC7OBY4FWpjtDBq35k-Jj8gvjp1xgk2GOTZOdiiWTdunI_zReNXWYx46zBHDRkiWyyJPBd0vYr9uCyI0lkyWWQv-1LLu9RRdnsKiASz5zSdRHf41gVZdqn7aXgU/s725/image4%20(1).png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="544" data-original-width="725" height="300" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiUbLJNXwlHlmDXY_RStOzG7VktgN7aZRKY07dJji0crkaMFFPBOtnzk4Qwl5d8t8lukC7OBY4FWpjtDBq35k-Jj8gvjp1xgk2GOTZOdiiWTdunI_zReNXWYx46zBHDRkiWyyJPBd0vYr9uCyI0lkyWWQv-1LLu9RRdnsKiASz5zSdRHf41gVZdqn7aXgU/w400-h300/image4%20(1).png" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div><br /></div><h4 style="text-align: left;">Early week rain and thunderstorms</h4><div>The next in the series of low pressure centers moves through Monday night into early Tuesday. Rain develops ahead of that weather-maker late Monday afternoon. A very wet Monday night is expected as wind picks up. Even a few thunderstorms are possible from this dynamic system! While not expected here, severe storms are likely to our south, along the Gulf Coast and north into central MS, as high wind and a few tornadoes are possible. We'll get 1-2" of rain as showers continue through Tuesday. </div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiuj4Pl3YBrurGOCCWqBduOu4et0OgGoLqcwns6lwa9zwEPf9Sm9B9IBc5RuSatNPdHSlf0bZ7IbwG8JsBLctMFSufPFhj2PLRRoR4MxRd2aE-JdNTZgQ-3IdrciqHoMjEBgSsHfG4Q3JrtkW5eWKtOSIuqHLI-JHI9lzbipdActGeAyfYC2-q_jpXQ594/s983/Mon-Tue%20rainfall.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="823" data-original-width="983" height="335" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiuj4Pl3YBrurGOCCWqBduOu4et0OgGoLqcwns6lwa9zwEPf9Sm9B9IBc5RuSatNPdHSlf0bZ7IbwG8JsBLctMFSufPFhj2PLRRoR4MxRd2aE-JdNTZgQ-3IdrciqHoMjEBgSsHfG4Q3JrtkW5eWKtOSIuqHLI-JHI9lzbipdActGeAyfYC2-q_jpXQ594/w400-h335/Mon-Tue%20rainfall.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">The NBM model forecast for rainfall amounts from our early week weather system. (WeatherBell)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div>The biggest impact from this system though, apart from the heavy rain, will be the wind. Gusts Monday night will approach 30-35 mph and could reach 40 mph on Tuesday! If you do not yet have your outdoor holiday decor down, this weekend is the time! Temperatures on Monday and Tuesday will reach the low 50s. No threat for winter weather with this system.</div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEguV-jk5RbjLgLzDX6eYvvlNxgQocC1vPacgPwxnUuKpYUJ72vRYsQEaQIoTBPDCCIZIldo_HWpOpGM-OTBbC8VJL2m6HyK_iT0pQWKwJXfwIVMmH5cvhu96nZBRdvsL37fRCjrIYmk6Po9GvYm3kSyDBWB6Q84hOMbX3U8DgA41QCmoNRYsHdCzBzwaGU/s1024/NBMWindGust40_Day4.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="768" data-original-width="1024" height="300" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEguV-jk5RbjLgLzDX6eYvvlNxgQocC1vPacgPwxnUuKpYUJ72vRYsQEaQIoTBPDCCIZIldo_HWpOpGM-OTBbC8VJL2m6HyK_iT0pQWKwJXfwIVMmH5cvhu96nZBRdvsL37fRCjrIYmk6Po9GvYm3kSyDBWB6Q84hOMbX3U8DgA41QCmoNRYsHdCzBzwaGU/w400-h300/NBMWindGust40_Day4.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">NWS forecast probabilities of seeing wind gusts of 40 mph on Tuesday.</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><h4 style="text-align: left;">Mid-week lull</h4><div>As wind calms down a bit heading into mid-week, we should be set for a couple of nice days. Sunshine returns Wednesday, though it will be cool and still a little breezy. Look for lows in the upper 20s and highs in the upper half of the 40s. Thursday we can expect high clouds to start moving in ahead of the next wave of weather, but the day should be dry with temperatures rebounding into the mid 50s.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj_yNqg6iXnUeZut-TKDzISKuXs1xPmc50CVuY-byXoYwJarPejdXOgsv1UPlZsDfQIDmN2EOSkya87ZFiEj71i6R_y26l_DkrP7Ag1ZNE_2s2AKLbdxzF8dPxsd1eg_Z25O2T93M_Xo4zoCFiLzHdJa6WiijYW2jlfYGJcDpxKhhdD74lsX13oIuq_mDE/s477/giphy%20(2).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="232" data-original-width="477" height="195" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj_yNqg6iXnUeZut-TKDzISKuXs1xPmc50CVuY-byXoYwJarPejdXOgsv1UPlZsDfQIDmN2EOSkya87ZFiEj71i6R_y26l_DkrP7Ag1ZNE_2s2AKLbdxzF8dPxsd1eg_Z25O2T93M_Xo4zoCFiLzHdJa6WiijYW2jlfYGJcDpxKhhdD74lsX13oIuq_mDE/w400-h195/giphy%20(2).gif" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div><br /></div><h4 style="text-align: left;">Another wet wind-maker, then Arctic blast</h4><div>Yet another strong low pressure system will affect the region starting Thursday night and continuing through Friday. This one will pass by to our west, putting the Mid-South in a "warm sector" airmass on Friday. Expect additional rain, some of it heavy, possibly with a few thunderstorms, and strong southerly wind gusts which could once again easily top 30-35 mph on Friday. Looks like another bad day to have car line duty, teachers! There are still details to work out on the track of that system, but there is some model data suggesting we should watch Friday night pretty closely for the timing of departing moisture and arriving cold air.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjyq776FLWxVM3vqwQNglFs4YqpQjBc9OdkvIB59qik_lunyPzHMPyHOajCUT4uGhiMxvRVEyTIjydWTwhsRy3SCknX24IYoyK7IxB0WrqoR93OEl781-mIGlnCBmT1Tc8sZxi-tbU1ziPwT3kh8jCDR7eXtorNqDVNh-hHg99u1OBa6C7aeIGUb23avMI/s480/giphy%20(3).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="400" data-original-width="480" height="267" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjyq776FLWxVM3vqwQNglFs4YqpQjBc9OdkvIB59qik_lunyPzHMPyHOajCUT4uGhiMxvRVEyTIjydWTwhsRy3SCknX24IYoyK7IxB0WrqoR93OEl781-mIGlnCBmT1Tc8sZxi-tbU1ziPwT3kh8jCDR7eXtorNqDVNh-hHg99u1OBa6C7aeIGUb23avMI/s320/giphy%20(3).gif" width="320" /></a></div><br /><div><br /></div><div>After Friday's system, a large Arctic high pressure system that dives through the Plains midweek reaches the Mid-South in time for next weekend. After Friday night, we should be dry, but it likely won't be a weekend you want to spend outdoors. We could be entering <b>#StupidCold</b> territory. High temperatures will probably not get out of the 30s, while overnight lows will drop well into the 20s with maybe some teens hanging out in some areas (and I'm not talking about juvenile delinquents!). </div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEinK3kO1zyJkTX1N_Z3FR791DQY_FivQnXJ28sAnAD0Qg8iUxnrGismc0AIgdsySJTPj6m96NcA2yGTS7sDdXGtLayjG_ll7sNZZlgva4f-GcziAGkLxQBuwI7GWeWZM32yJJY4kzHjq6aCgwTv5nx8Nh1zwT4aKu_qU6RszLAPpRVK87JAytBbYgllhPE/s984/ecmwf-ensemble-avg-conus-t2m_f_anom_1day-5276800.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="329" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEinK3kO1zyJkTX1N_Z3FR791DQY_FivQnXJ28sAnAD0Qg8iUxnrGismc0AIgdsySJTPj6m96NcA2yGTS7sDdXGtLayjG_ll7sNZZlgva4f-GcziAGkLxQBuwI7GWeWZM32yJJY4kzHjq6aCgwTv5nx8Nh1zwT4aKu_qU6RszLAPpRVK87JAytBbYgllhPE/w400-h329/ecmwf-ensemble-avg-conus-t2m_f_anom_1day-5276800.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Temperature anomaly (departure from average) map for Sunday, January 14. Nearly the entire country is expected to be colder than average, much of it well below, according to the European model ensemble data. (WeatherBell)</td></tr></tbody></table><div><br /></div><div>That cold air appears to have staying power, so we'll be watching for any systems that may try to sneak through it, but that would be the week after next, so for now we'll stick to pattern recognition and bet on the coldest air of the season so far. Stay tuned, and dig out those heavy coats!</div><div><br /></div><div>Erik Proseus<br />
MWN Meteorologist<br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="95" src="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" width="200" /></a></td><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s1600/NWADigital_full.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="99" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s200/NWADigital_full.jpg" width="200" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">MWN is a NOAA Weather Ready Nation Ambassador</td> <td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Meteorologist Erik Proseus is an NWA Digital Seal Holder</td></tr>
</tbody></table></div>Meteorologist Erik Proseushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16116114428520631122noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6095709393884268330.post-24009006441875895252024-01-01T19:29:00.001-06:002024-01-04T20:27:12.186-06:00December 2023 Climate Report for Memphis, TN<h3>December Climate Recap</h3><div>The month of December was warmer than normal, averaging over 4 degrees above normal. The month started with highs in the 60's, which rose to the low 70's on the 9th, but a cold front moved in and low temperatures dropped to the 20's the following night. Temperatures warmed back to the mid 60's by mid-month, cooling slightly for a few days, then back up to the mid to upper 60's in the lead-up to Christmas. Christmas Day high temperatures were near 60. Temps cooled off the next few days, with the high on the 29th only near 40. By New Year's Eve, highs were near 60 once again.</div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhB75TGGtbsURzwXnVrQ6LeLAHLVI3-vMIvi3Un63S81FNEjfUpmpGH9T3mFA_V__ZRxWqMTtQgZoFis-P-bDI1MJXnyMUhpGp_D2bYouJeuyaHn4Q5sDI5f7ttqU2lVB7RshH78saGrkXfqWogelwpk7Wl9r0r72cE0Y9X6iO3IWkQyK_68YoP4axP86w/s1280/prism_conus_tavg_anom_DEC2023.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1024" data-original-width="1280" height="512" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhB75TGGtbsURzwXnVrQ6LeLAHLVI3-vMIvi3Un63S81FNEjfUpmpGH9T3mFA_V__ZRxWqMTtQgZoFis-P-bDI1MJXnyMUhpGp_D2bYouJeuyaHn4Q5sDI5f7ttqU2lVB7RshH78saGrkXfqWogelwpk7Wl9r0r72cE0Y9X6iO3IWkQyK_68YoP4axP86w/w640-h512/prism_conus_tavg_anom_DEC2023.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Departure from normal temperatures for December for the Lower 48 states</td></tr></tbody></table><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div><div><div style="text-align: left;">Below normal precipitation trends continued in December with only 2.60 inches of rain falling, which is almost 3 inches below the average for December of 5.49 inches. The ongoing drought was exacerbated by the lack of rainfall with much of north Mississippi worsening to exceptional drought status and severe to extreme drought in place for the remainder of the area. The image below highlights the drought conditions as of December 26th, while the second shows the downward trend over the course of the month. Thunderstorms occurred on the 9th with large hail, ranging from quarter to softball size, reported across the northern MS counties in the greater Memphis metro. Severe Thunderstorm Warnings and one Tornado Warning were issued by NWS Memphis that afternoon. </div><div style="text-align: left;"><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg_hXB1cxwKqzdH3EQ9QzznhKQwxeqFRW9qfY7o79i8C7Ynbff48K5O6_F7tXfbCyK8AOcc_kFLFbFUtgJ1uUKUOUZ_xcpcU_WAl-Z1skuPU0yJnH6mAKApstVymCPGgoppkavKlBncPyGStva7Nfay23RHVMa4SLnj-2Hcq8GH9kmAPkxWdojQGv1TQT8/s1056/122623%20current_wfomeg_text.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="816" data-original-width="1056" height="494" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg_hXB1cxwKqzdH3EQ9QzznhKQwxeqFRW9qfY7o79i8C7Ynbff48K5O6_F7tXfbCyK8AOcc_kFLFbFUtgJ1uUKUOUZ_xcpcU_WAl-Z1skuPU0yJnH6mAKApstVymCPGgoppkavKlBncPyGStva7Nfay23RHVMa4SLnj-2Hcq8GH9kmAPkxWdojQGv1TQT8/w640-h494/122623%20current_wfomeg_text.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Drought conditions as of December 26, 2023</td></tr></tbody></table><div style="text-align: left;"><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgsM4sBqjIMDoM1kRkADZso6eq_Gizz80ixXNYvD4ICjLri6KH21MrfwARvXDwrMMAePjJ9Cqh_nkTNoyXQcV4FC7fL9s4m2HAi91I0YG8DKqV4Pn6FWdeb52604Oq6wGfEcm5O5xbfRnCliThaqzSIZz7l1jiBH9ta7hNPPYczGBabyE-PReGCN7Z-JuU/s3300/122623%20current_wfoMEG_chng_4W.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="2550" data-original-width="3300" height="494" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgsM4sBqjIMDoM1kRkADZso6eq_Gizz80ixXNYvD4ICjLri6KH21MrfwARvXDwrMMAePjJ9Cqh_nkTNoyXQcV4FC7fL9s4m2HAi91I0YG8DKqV4Pn6FWdeb52604Oq6wGfEcm5O5xbfRnCliThaqzSIZz7l1jiBH9ta7hNPPYczGBabyE-PReGCN7Z-JuU/w640-h494/122623%20current_wfoMEG_chng_4W.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Change in drought conditions from November 28 to December 26, 2023</td></tr></tbody></table><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div> <script async="" charset="utf-8" src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js"></script>
<h3>Memphis International Airport, Memphis, TN</h3><div><u><b>Temperature</b></u> </div></div><div><b>Average temperature</b>: 49.0 degrees (4.2 degrees above average) </div><div><b>Average high temperature</b>: 58.8 degrees (5.4 degrees above average) </div><div><b>Average low temperature</b>: 39.1 degrees (2.9 degrees above average) </div><div><b>Warmest temperature</b>: 73 degrees (9th) </div><div><b>Coolest temperature</b>: 29 degrees (11th & 19th) </div><div><b>Heating Degrees Days</b>: 487 (141 below average)</div><div><b>Cooling Degree Days</b>: 0 (2 below average) </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>Records set or tied</b>: None</span></div><div><b>Comments</b>: The average high temperature of 58.8 degrees was 7th warmest on record.</div><div><i><br /></i></div><div><u><b>Precipitation</b></u> </div><div><b>Monthly total</b>: 2.60" (2.89" below average) </div><div><b>Days with measurable precipitation</b>: 7 (3.2 days below average) </div><div><b>Wettest 24-hour period</b>: 0.98" (11/30-12/1) </div><div><b>Snowfall</b>: None (0.2" below average)</div><div><b>Records set or tied</b><span style="background-color: white;">: None</span></div><div><b>Comments</b>: None</div><div><br /></div><div><u><b>Miscellaneous</b></u> </div><div><b>Peak wind</b>: Southwest/39 mph (9th)<i> </i></div><div><b>Average wind</b>: 7.4 mph </div><div><b>Average relative humidity</b>: 64%</div><div><b>Average sky cover</b>: 52%</div><div><br /></div><div> Click <a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/data/kmem/2023_12.txt" target="_blank">here</a> for a daily statistical recap for Memphis International Airport.</div><div>
<h3>MemphisWeather.net Headquarters, Bartlett, TN</h3><div><u><b>Temperature</b></u> </div></div><div><b>Average temperature</b>: 46.5 degrees </div><div><b>Average high temperature</b>: 56.9 degrees </div><div><b>Average low temperature</b>: 36.3 degrees </div><div><b>Warmest temperature</b>: 71.9 degrees (9th) </div><div><b>Coolest temperature</b>: 22.4 degrees (19th) </div><div><b>Comments</b>: None</div><div><br /></div><div><u><b>Precipitation</b></u> </div><div><b>Monthly total</b>: 2.12" (automated rain gauge), 2.14" (CoCoRaHS rain gauge) </div><div><b>Days with measurable precipitation</b>: 8</div><div><b>Wettest date:</b> 0.82" (25th) (via automated gauge) </div><div><b>Snowfall</b>: None</div><div><b>Comments</b>: None</div><div><u><b><br /></b></u></div><div><u><b>
</b></u> <u><b>Miscellaneous</b></u> </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>Peak wind</b>:</span> South/27 mph (16th)</div>
<div>
<b>Average relative humidity</b>: 71% </div><div><b>Average barometric pressure</b>: 30.15 in.<div>
<b>Comments</b>: None</div><div><br /></div>
Click <a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/data/2023_12.txt" target="_blank">here</a> for a daily statistical recap for Bartlett, TN.</div><div>
<h3>
<u>MWN Forecast Accuracy</u></h3><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>Average temperature error</b>: 2.17 degrees</span> </div></div><div><b><span style="background-color: white;">Forecast temperatures within 2 degrees of actual</span></b><span style="background-color: white;">: 63%</span> </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>Average dewpoint error</b>: 1.96 degrees</span> </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>Forecast dewpoints within 2 degrees of actual</b>: 68%</span> </div><div><br /></div><div>MWN's forecasts extend out five periods (2.5 days, or roughly 60 hours). Historical accuracy statistics can be found <a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/accuracy.shtml#2022" target="_blank">here</a>.</div><div><br /></div></div>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="95" src="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" width="200" /></a></td><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s1600/NWADigital_full.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="99" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s200/NWADigital_full.jpg" width="200" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">MWN is a NOAA Weather Ready Nation Ambassador</td> <td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Meteorologist Erik Proseus is an NWA Digital Seal Holder</td></tr>
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Richard Hoseneyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10316495615911899090noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6095709393884268330.post-58567523560605056742023-12-21T20:38:00.000-06:002023-12-21T20:38:07.560-06:00Not a White Christmas, but a Wet Christmas<div>As fall officially turns to winter, temperatures are (of course!) <b><i>warming </i></b>as we head into a long Christmas weekend. I think we'll take that if the other option is what we had last year - frozen pipes and rolling blackouts! The trade-off is going to be rainy conditions off and on through the weekend. Let's talk about it.</div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhU5M9V5o60cKP7oBrg96RgO-iAIBdhKveQ54tCYPOKkoTR5xLfr2P3-M6Fs26vfrcK0BEpMr-130-QYat4U83EQ1mE6bBRcUHG9YRcdGdD3O3FI14bsgwi4BwgsHs2fuT60V5llNvaoCr4iqAEfySv2P-yLlKkfSBiHH5P1PLjU1jw4Gepm15AUSlshCE/s4032/20221223_055519.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="2268" data-original-width="4032" height="181" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhU5M9V5o60cKP7oBrg96RgO-iAIBdhKveQ54tCYPOKkoTR5xLfr2P3-M6Fs26vfrcK0BEpMr-130-QYat4U83EQ1mE6bBRcUHG9YRcdGdD3O3FI14bsgwi4BwgsHs2fuT60V5llNvaoCr4iqAEfySv2P-yLlKkfSBiHH5P1PLjU1jw4Gepm15AUSlshCE/w320-h181/20221223_055519.jpg" width="320" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Temperature in Bartlett just before 6am on December 23, 2022 (-0.3°)</td></tr></tbody></table><div><br /></div><div>As high pressure that brought us cold weather earlier this week slides to our east, wind has shifted to the south, resulting in warmer air over the Mid-South. Low pressure will develop to the west and moisture will increase from the Gulf of Mexico. That will mean less itchy, dry skin as dewpoints have risen from the teens a couple of days ago into the 30s by Friday, and eventually the 40s to 50s later this weekend. </div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg3QBQYl8CAoIH2QCkww1NEvuQPq3Bbj_EhKncJysezBn9CHXxpXp5__JqX1BtWQqHy-9hN_qURthB6YqM4HcKXRXrydrDir9YkL-O2ljGwTMfyrHPN6JJiHQqnJ1monyet7qa4KM0VTMh5XZcoGnCyJteTcNE3I2yDFpbSr8Q9a4r8E7bscJal30dQ92E/s480/giphy%20(1).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="360" data-original-width="480" height="240" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg3QBQYl8CAoIH2QCkww1NEvuQPq3Bbj_EhKncJysezBn9CHXxpXp5__JqX1BtWQqHy-9hN_qURthB6YqM4HcKXRXrydrDir9YkL-O2ljGwTMfyrHPN6JJiHQqnJ1monyet7qa4KM0VTMh5XZcoGnCyJteTcNE3I2yDFpbSr8Q9a4r8E7bscJal30dQ92E/s320/giphy%20(1).gif" width="320" /></a></div><br /><div><br /></div><div>With the increase in moisture, small rain chances in the form of hit-and-miss brief showers will pop up late Friday and into the weekend. Outdoor plans through much of the weekend, until Sunday evening, should not be overly impacted, and the mild temperatures will make for pleasant conditions for outdoor activities outside of breezy south wind. Just keep in mind that a shower could pop up about anytime </div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhPo_37Gn809YrB3IrzFeKC6Wnpgztzpjm0Wxt2xkYe1Tg47e-eihiIwyC0H7gGCIVBITGfEnN8bnzXDi1eQpEbdLqtVBYtTnuBGu8HB3xKIVLx4iE660DBaDPaBkFDuy3MDItVQpdYWInCvyZtMhqBtfPp9J2TWfkYD-cfwExZajmzP2M1w6cbD1MjqZQ/s799/ezgif-3-e77b2f2c5d.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="559" data-original-width="799" height="448" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhPo_37Gn809YrB3IrzFeKC6Wnpgztzpjm0Wxt2xkYe1Tg47e-eihiIwyC0H7gGCIVBITGfEnN8bnzXDi1eQpEbdLqtVBYtTnuBGu8HB3xKIVLx4iE660DBaDPaBkFDuy3MDItVQpdYWInCvyZtMhqBtfPp9J2TWfkYD-cfwExZajmzP2M1w6cbD1MjqZQ/w640-h448/ezgif-3-e77b2f2c5d.gif" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">A loop of the surface weather maps from Friday morning through Tuesday morning, showing </td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div>The main event from the next system will occur on Sunday evening though Monday morning - Christmas Eve into Christmas Day. Heavy rain is likely at times overnight Sunday night and a few rumbles of thunder are even possible. (It may not be reindeer hooves on the roof you hear that night!) Severe thunderstorms are not expected as the primary low pressure center passes well to our north and instability will be limited. Some showers appear to linger into Christmas Day, but could be departing by the afternoon hours. Still too early to know... stay tuned to the MWN Forecast for updates throughout the next few days. The rest of the intra-holiday week looks to be dry and cooler again.</div><div><br /></div><div>And for those asking about winter weather in early January, it's ENTIRELY too early to even discuss...</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh8yLoCjJRw0zIL68fUWMvIxVwS-Mf-6Cks5QJP-hYSKwfvpz8Me7rbSdep81EH1q8zf9bzS3MzKIvuPjuVxJBHM7nu8fzvDkwsrfKxAmB6WRYhGC2R_VFwGXGGyjybFYmBtHAc8B0cy8VoS0syQB9IG61hYFudKDqF3HmFe9eVPMwsoMIwqBcKdx7HiVM/s480/giphy.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="480" data-original-width="480" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh8yLoCjJRw0zIL68fUWMvIxVwS-Mf-6Cks5QJP-hYSKwfvpz8Me7rbSdep81EH1q8zf9bzS3MzKIvuPjuVxJBHM7nu8fzvDkwsrfKxAmB6WRYhGC2R_VFwGXGGyjybFYmBtHAc8B0cy8VoS0syQB9IG61hYFudKDqF3HmFe9eVPMwsoMIwqBcKdx7HiVM/s320/giphy.gif" width="320" /></a></div><br /><div>Erik Proseus</div>
MWN Meteorologist<br />
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Follow MWN on <a href="http://www.facebook.com/memphisweather1" target="_blank">Facebook</a> and <a href="http://twitter.com/memphisweather1" target="_blank">Twitter</a> for routine updates and the latest info!<br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="95" src="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" width="200" /></a></td><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s1600/NWADigital_full.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="99" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s200/NWADigital_full.jpg" width="200" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">MWN is a NOAA Weather Ready Nation Ambassador</td> <td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Meteorologist Erik Proseus is an NWA Digital Seal Holder</td></tr>
</tbody></table>Meteorologist Erik Proseushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16116114428520631122noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6095709393884268330.post-50562942065111606692023-12-07T19:02:00.004-06:002023-12-07T19:02:51.010-06:00Digging into the potential for a holiday-season storm event on Saturday<div>As we approach another busy holiday season weekend, the threat of rain and thunderstorms is threatening to put a damper on at least half of it. The fact that there is some potential for strong to severe storms reminds us that it is not just the <i>holiday </i>season, but also still <i>secondary severe weather</i> season in Dixie Alley. Let's take a look at what to expect for those with Saturday shopping, decorating, baking, or other "tis the season" plans.</div><div><br /></div><h4 style="text-align: left;">Priming the atmospheric pump</h4><div>A December warm-up has commenced. High temperatures were back into the lower 60s Thursday afternoon and slightly warmer conditions are on tap Friday, despite more cloud cover, as southerly flow has become established across the region. That will also lead to milder overnight conditions heading towards the weekend, as well as rising dewpoints - a sign that moisture is increasing. </div><div><br /></div><div>Friday will be "pump primer day" as dewpoints steadily climb into the 50s on gusty south wind, heading towards 60 degrees by Saturday morning. Cloud cover will also thicken up Friday as upper level moisture also increases. A few sprinkles or a brief afternoon shower are possible, though most stay dry before sunset. By Friday evening, conditions will be very mild with after-dusk temperatures near 60 and southerly wind gusts to 25 mph. The chance of showers climbs in the evening as well, so though it will be comfortable, raindrops will be scattered around if you are going to holiday parties/events or the Grizzlies matchup with the Timberwolves downtown.</div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiqNeN3Z1o8raeO3GB82XejBkzrtRIaSaN0jWUoVJzTqlnqGqUnh8n2dtu2-uZXTq5qlfhL1qO4IlQrezktBesite_bIvaGftgQv2cuFrAaCZO7E9jsu7hmvy1xkvMTXmzcnuI8hUvx52dyckNJ4bu-O_b4DTPoBDbbJPcSmaYAyvmC8S_yRqdhwwPsvL4/s984/ecmwf-deterministic-arkansas-dew2m_f-1701972000-1702036800-1702101600-20.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="329" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiqNeN3Z1o8raeO3GB82XejBkzrtRIaSaN0jWUoVJzTqlnqGqUnh8n2dtu2-uZXTq5qlfhL1qO4IlQrezktBesite_bIvaGftgQv2cuFrAaCZO7E9jsu7hmvy1xkvMTXmzcnuI8hUvx52dyckNJ4bu-O_b4DTPoBDbbJPcSmaYAyvmC8S_yRqdhwwPsvL4/w400-h329/ecmwf-deterministic-arkansas-dew2m_f-1701972000-1702036800-1702101600-20.gif" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Forecast dewpoints from Friday sunrise through midnight. Southerly flow will bring increasing moisture to the region on Friday. (WeatherBell)</td></tr></tbody></table><div><br /></div><h4 style="text-align: left;">Saturday: a wash-out at a minimum</h4><div>By Saturday morning, the cold front that will likely disrupt outdoor events during the day will have made its across AR a chunk of Arkansas. Where exactly it will be is still TBD, but it is safe to say it will be to our west, which puts areas from Louisiana and southern AR into the Mississippi Delta, and potentially the Memphis metro, in a zone of unsettled conditions. As low pressure moves along the front, it will bring more unstable air into this "zone of unsettled-ness," juxtaposed with increasing wind aloft that could serve to strengthen any storms that can form in warm, unstable air. We do expect to see thunderstorms embedded within areas of heavy rain during the day Saturday, but the degree to which they become "strong" or even severe, is a tricky question, even if you were to forget that it is indeed December. </div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh1whCPmSCFckA_mrZLiYrttkiaj5hC-Vg1YXFHP5MDA7cZhQhs82w_Wu92A8AVFqpQyxjjuGOJ982N9PYgpKJulCr5LDgjdZ7yEjnOV2iHMxhxPAvre4dD-nw1HxxNKKfzzB9_CFCYGNhcmvSLRTPS1MuFU5p0vW0_7OudV70qHHX72HbNHkxWPQOSItQ/s1017/98fndfd.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="709" data-original-width="1017" height="446" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh1whCPmSCFckA_mrZLiYrttkiaj5hC-Vg1YXFHP5MDA7cZhQhs82w_Wu92A8AVFqpQyxjjuGOJ982N9PYgpKJulCr5LDgjdZ7yEjnOV2iHMxhxPAvre4dD-nw1HxxNKKfzzB9_CFCYGNhcmvSLRTPS1MuFU5p0vW0_7OudV70qHHX72HbNHkxWPQOSItQ/w640-h446/98fndfd.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Surface weather map on Saturday at 6am (NWS/WPC)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div>What is unknown as of Thursday evening is how much storm fuel (aka, instability) will be present over our area and when exactly the front will move through, which will bring an abrupt end to the severe weather chances. While the wind energy over the Mid-South seems sufficient to support a low-end severe weather threat, instability is likely to be more prolific to our south. The later the front arrives (i.e., late afternoon), the better the chances are that we see scattered strong to severe wind gusts. If it seeps southeast into the metro earlier in the day, it will shove the unstable air to our east and we'll be in for a wet, but not too stormy, day. </div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiQGM2AlwxXbO15nj8UybNidgGZISlEgraEKGwHngswMIx4UK2SXRyjKE659abicDHKjkTZmvr2KskHsYaziR6ce-FstEjTqNp1Qo1ARysGgw6PDo16j-gotPpVCAZQsFjyZPZjSXjYpAv7xk3gTZYkFYlDFXPMW7jBzpR6DuvXkujx-w4VyRJr7O0HTI0/s960/Day%203%20-%20Dec%209.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="960" height="480" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiQGM2AlwxXbO15nj8UybNidgGZISlEgraEKGwHngswMIx4UK2SXRyjKE659abicDHKjkTZmvr2KskHsYaziR6ce-FstEjTqNp1Qo1ARysGgw6PDo16j-gotPpVCAZQsFjyZPZjSXjYpAv7xk3gTZYkFYlDFXPMW7jBzpR6DuvXkujx-w4VyRJr7O0HTI0/w640-h480/Day%203%20-%20Dec%209.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>Most computer model solutions right now favor a mid-afternoon frontal passage. Thus, the Storm Prediction Center currently has their level 2 ("Slight") severe weather risk area extending over the metro (see above). Should we get strong storms, they would be most likely in the afternoon hours and damaging wind would be the greatest concern, besides heavy rain. Tornado and hail threats appear fairly low. In any case, rain looks to continue through the evening hours and could be heavy at times, as temperatures begin their plummet from the upper 60s towards the upper 30s by Sunday morning. It won't be a pleasant evening by any stretch.</div><div><br /></div><h4 style="text-align: left;">Cold winter air arrives</h4><div>Behind the front, cool high pressure quickly builds in. In fact, it will be downright cold on Sunday, despite abundant sunshine. Wind chills in the morning will be in the 20s and high temperatures in the afternoon only in the mid 40s! A great day to sip a warm beverage indoors and gaze outside at the seemingly beautiful day. The rest of next week is dominated by cool high pressure. Rain chances don't reappear until the following weekend, natch, with highs generally in the mid 50s and lows in the 30s. </div><br />
Erik Proseus<br />
MWN Meteorologist<br />
<br />
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Follow MWN on <a href="http://www.facebook.com/memphisweather1" target="_blank">Facebook</a> and <a href="http://twitter.com/memphisweather1" target="_blank">Twitter</a> for routine updates and the latest info!<br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="95" src="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" width="200" /></a></td><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s1600/NWADigital_full.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="99" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s200/NWADigital_full.jpg" width="200" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">MWN is a NOAA Weather Ready Nation Ambassador</td> <td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Meteorologist Erik Proseus is an NWA Digital Seal Holder</td></tr>
</tbody></table>Meteorologist Erik Proseushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16116114428520631122noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6095709393884268330.post-89976849026961548682023-12-05T21:29:00.001-06:002023-12-06T20:25:00.581-06:00November 2023 Climate Report for Memphis, TN<h3>November Climate Recap</h3><div>The month of November was generally warm and averaged more than a two degrees above normal. The start of the month was below freezing the morning of the 1st, with temps only making it to the low 50's during the afternoon. Temperatures warmed to the low 70's by the 4th, and into the low 80's on the 6th through 8th, but fell to the 60's by the 10th. High temperatures generally remained in the 60's to near 70 degrees through mid-month, dropping back to the 50's by the 21st. On Thanksgiving, we were near 60 degrees, with highs back in the upper 40's to near 50 to finish out the month.</div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjSSHUQdvaWCoyzLZilugCLS1A0HijT1zPv9VrYLaA1pJnildh7zLYXxoVz8G7Eqa38p0WnDM9jxgXUWTnLPYiamD1VXVNiXj9FvoqF9tLX6gyjeOlwrRjFS1b2_5EyaSifo5a7nK9gSCrb-HdSVTxLoGisakYQ4biAH1ZpJ7z5J9Cd3_k6gs0rEo-pdhQ/s1280/prism_conus_tavg_anom_NOV2023.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1024" data-original-width="1280" height="512" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjSSHUQdvaWCoyzLZilugCLS1A0HijT1zPv9VrYLaA1pJnildh7zLYXxoVz8G7Eqa38p0WnDM9jxgXUWTnLPYiamD1VXVNiXj9FvoqF9tLX6gyjeOlwrRjFS1b2_5EyaSifo5a7nK9gSCrb-HdSVTxLoGisakYQ4biAH1ZpJ7z5J9Cd3_k6gs0rEo-pdhQ/w640-h512/prism_conus_tavg_anom_NOV2023.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Departure from normal temperatures for November for the Lower 48 states</td></tr></tbody></table><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div><div><div style="text-align: left;">Below normal precipitation trends continued in November. The ongoing drought improved somewhat in Tennessee, but much of north Mississippi continues to experience severe to extreme drought, with exceptional drought further south. The image below highlights the drought conditions as of November 28th, and the second one shows the improvement (green) or worsening (yellow) drought conditions. There was no severe weather during the month, although thunderstorms with heavy rain affected the metro on the 20th.<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEikSz4OxEC_B-3XHb6exdJdUZiB-0AfT6AsBoij5W9BuMWAoHnrlyXS8-31LF1U_4CipasyLhu0xW8OfEiRiRyyyqofe8RAxXiKO1765SI5ZSshaC_jQZUd_6okIwXWT58KGRQ0XoIrPrJGdu1UUYNkEkI68Z9uCO4-QqNjwav_kE_VtwWaNLsiaT01luU/s1056/112823%20current_wfomeg_text.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="816" data-original-width="1056" height="494" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEikSz4OxEC_B-3XHb6exdJdUZiB-0AfT6AsBoij5W9BuMWAoHnrlyXS8-31LF1U_4CipasyLhu0xW8OfEiRiRyyyqofe8RAxXiKO1765SI5ZSshaC_jQZUd_6okIwXWT58KGRQ0XoIrPrJGdu1UUYNkEkI68Z9uCO4-QqNjwav_kE_VtwWaNLsiaT01luU/w640-h494/112823%20current_wfomeg_text.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Current drought conditions as of November 28th, 2023</td></tr></tbody></table></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjqiC2XL8BJypwz10ON3dS3qzOzKOPdRexboYPkhvegZsJYTDJ2vFOxz42vmXvAOrVhBS1R9uCEf6Yr5lg6TPVtdB1FGpjkJKQLKYI9F-I930qCZlFQPfLJible9OGpV1-ecNrmpZBbzqxzYS7isBxwGrFhwXseTxq0dK57p7_rwDISp5mG8kdM7X8bQMw/s3300/112823%20current_wfoMEG_chng_4W.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="2550" data-original-width="3300" height="494" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjqiC2XL8BJypwz10ON3dS3qzOzKOPdRexboYPkhvegZsJYTDJ2vFOxz42vmXvAOrVhBS1R9uCEf6Yr5lg6TPVtdB1FGpjkJKQLKYI9F-I930qCZlFQPfLJible9OGpV1-ecNrmpZBbzqxzYS7isBxwGrFhwXseTxq0dK57p7_rwDISp5mG8kdM7X8bQMw/w640-h494/112823%20current_wfoMEG_chng_4W.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Change in drought conditions from October 31st to November 28th</td></tr></tbody></table><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div> <script async="" charset="utf-8" src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js"></script>
<h3>Memphis International Airport, Memphis, TN</h3><div><u><b>Temperature</b></u> </div></div><div><b>Average temperature</b>: 55.0 degrees (2.3 degrees above average) </div><div><b>Average high temperature</b>: 65.4 degrees (2.8 degrees above average) </div><div><b>Average low temperature</b>: 44.6 degrees (1.7 degrees above average) </div><div><b>Warmest temperature</b>: 84 degrees (8th) </div><div><b>Coolest temperature</b>: 29 degrees (27th) </div><div><b>Heating Degrees Days</b>: 313 (66 below average)</div><div><b>Cooling Degree Days</b>: 22 (10 above average) </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>Records set or tied</b>: Record highs on the 6th (81) and 8th (84); record high tied on the 7th (83)</span></div><div><b>Comments</b>: None</div><div><i><br /></i></div><div><u><b>Precipitation</b></u> </div><div><b>Monthly total</b>: 3.02" (1.67" below average) </div><div><b>Days with measurable precipitation</b>: 6 (3.0 days below average) </div><div><b>Wettest 24-hour period</b>: 1.54" (20th) </div><div><b>Snowfall</b>: None</div><div><b>Records set or tied</b><span style="background-color: white;">: None</span></div><div><b>Comments</b>: None</div><div><br /></div><div><u><b>Miscellaneous</b></u> </div><div><b>Peak wind</b>: Southwest/40 mph (8th)<i> </i></div><div><b>Average wind</b>: 6.3 mph </div><div><b>Average relative humidity</b>: 62%</div><div><b>Average sky cover</b>: 47%</div><div><br /></div><div> Click <a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/data/kmem/2023_11.txt" target="_blank">here</a> for a daily statistical recap for Memphis International Airport.</div><div>
<h3>MemphisWeather.net Headquarters, Bartlett, TN</h3><div><u><b>Temperature</b></u> </div></div><div><b>Average temperature</b>: 51.5 degrees </div><div><b>Average high temperature</b>: 64.0 degrees </div><div><b>Average low temperature</b>: 40.7 degrees </div><div><b>Warmest temperature</b>: 82.6 degrees (8th) </div><div><b>Coolest temperature</b>: 26.6 degrees (27th) </div><div><b>Comments</b>: The high of 80.4 degrees on the 6th broke the previous record high of 78.1 for that day in 2005.</div><div><br /></div><div><u><b>Precipitation</b></u> </div><div><b>Monthly total</b>: 2.51" (automated rain gauge), 2.62" (CoCoRaHS rain gauge) </div><div><b>Days with measurable precipitation</b>: 4</div><div><b>Wettest date:</b> 1.41" (20th) (via automated gauge) </div><div><b>Snowfall</b>: None</div><div><b>Comments</b>: None</div><div><u><b><br /></b></u></div><div><u><b>
</b></u> <u><b>Miscellaneous</b></u> </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>Peak wind</b>:</span> South/26 mph (8th)</div>
<div>
<b>Average relative humidity</b>: 72% </div><div><b>Average barometric pressure</b>: 30.15 in.<div>
<b>Comments</b>: None</div><div><br /></div>
Click <a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/data/2023_11.txt" target="_blank">here</a> for a daily statistical recap for Bartlett, TN.</div><div>
<h3>
<u>MWN Forecast Accuracy</u></h3><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>MWN average temperature error</b>: 2.15 degrees</span> </div></div><div><b><span style="background-color: white;">MWN forecast temperatures within 2 degrees of actual</span></b><span style="background-color: white;">: 59%</span> </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>MWN average dewpoint error</b>: 2.39 degrees</span> </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>MWN forecast dewpoints within 2 degrees of actual</b>: 69%</span> </div><div><br /></div><div>MWN's forecasts extend out five periods (2.5 days, or roughly 60 hours). Historical accuracy statistics can be found <a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/accuracy.shtml#2022" target="_blank">here</a>.</div><div><br /></div></div>
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Download our <a href="https://blog.memphisweather.net/p/mwn-mobile-apps.html">iPhone or Android apps</a>, featuring <a href="http://www.stormwatchplus.com/" target="_blank">StormWatch+</a> severe weather alerts!
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="95" src="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" width="200" /></a></td><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s1600/NWADigital_full.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="99" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s200/NWADigital_full.jpg" width="200" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">MWN is a NOAA Weather Ready Nation Ambassador</td> <td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Meteorologist Erik Proseus is an NWA Digital Seal Holder</td></tr>
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Richard Hoseneyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10316495615911899090noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6095709393884268330.post-87950633057879980692023-11-29T19:24:00.004-06:002023-11-29T19:24:39.643-06:00Rainy and breezy as the calendar flips, but what about the weekend?<div>A generally cool and dry pattern changes for a few days as we head to the end of November and into the last month of 2023. A storm system exiting the Rockies and heading across the southern Plains and into the Deep South will bring us rainfall and perhaps a few thunderstorms in the next 36 hours. It could also affect your outdoor Christmas decor! But it is also a weekend chock full of seasonal activities, so what about rain chances and temperatures for the weekend? Let's dive in!</div><div><br /></div><h4 style="text-align: left;">Thursday/Thursday night</h4><div>A bit milder weather is expected tonight with southerly wind and high clouds moving in as temperatures only reach the 30s in rural areas. The rest of us will see lows at or above 40 tonight. Clouds thicken tomorrow as low pressure moves through the southern Plains and rain spreads towards the Mid-South, arriving around mid-afternoon as temperatures peak near 60. Rain picks up heading into the evening with a few rumbles of thunder possible as well. </div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh0Ed5SdvTNBwYcDWUMq6LjRafPYYf_BqQUDqJYj_t_FiPaZTFBZJ0CBEyg1R3-HQCuBoblyEOuT_zl4UFCSxuh3lYX7SSka_MkrojSbxpBsVpGwSFBlg5kw9JltWt6G9GDHg9HYMswBO0rnAVXmse-SRAOCVBXVP09CQIKD_XTaWw4sFAVwHv9LkWdSzQ/s968/NBM_precip_thru_Fri.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="787" data-original-width="968" height="325" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh0Ed5SdvTNBwYcDWUMq6LjRafPYYf_BqQUDqJYj_t_FiPaZTFBZJ0CBEyg1R3-HQCuBoblyEOuT_zl4UFCSxuh3lYX7SSka_MkrojSbxpBsVpGwSFBlg5kw9JltWt6G9GDHg9HYMswBO0rnAVXmse-SRAOCVBXVP09CQIKD_XTaWw4sFAVwHv9LkWdSzQ/w400-h325/NBM_precip_thru_Fri.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Forecast precipitation via the NWS National Blend of Models shows totals should generally run above a half inch, but less than an inch in the metro. (WeatherBell)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div>Southerly wind also increases Thursday night with frequent gusts to 30 mph and a few possibly approaching 40 mph! A Wind Advisory has been issued so make sure the outdoor decor is tied down well, or maybe just moved inside if possible for those inflatables! Temperatures remain mild overnight - in the 50s - as rain falls much of the night. </div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh8Uhfa1TZpYmVIkKW-jcQv0K2ard69ahtggwyzYh7X2jicMZGv4rzZWAFD4oulxeHo4SzkfHk3m8kuogewBLPgN1xQhavyz2d2KUyAhLDDHGXF3HmutzmBV3Z4_Xe8FodJQiARvh0-jtRbCXiQ-yJPQbGIb5wSsz7-iXGWeNNw6fl3ZW3S2VsUsXrh4vw/s1024/NBMWindGust40_Day2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="768" data-original-width="1024" height="300" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh8Uhfa1TZpYmVIkKW-jcQv0K2ard69ahtggwyzYh7X2jicMZGv4rzZWAFD4oulxeHo4SzkfHk3m8kuogewBLPgN1xQhavyz2d2KUyAhLDDHGXF3HmutzmBV3Z4_Xe8FodJQiARvh0-jtRbCXiQ-yJPQbGIb5wSsz7-iXGWeNNw6fl3ZW3S2VsUsXrh4vw/w400-h300/NBMWindGust40_Day2.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Probability of wind gusts exceeding 40 mph on Thursday (night). Frequent gusts above 30 mph are likely. (NWS-Memphis)</td></tr></tbody></table><div><br /></div><h4 style="text-align: left;">Friday/Saturday</h4><div>Most rain will be gone by Friday morning, but with the front still to our west as it's parent low pressure center moves into the mid-Mississippi Valley, it will remain mild with a breezy southwest wind. High temperatures should be well above average despite persistent cloud cover, peaking in the upper 60s. </div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgfm4MY8iWkMmv6wOgrhQr6brcRaUPSgGK1pBufuTTXvz5GMGYZ_wE4POwmrLCdu5lpJVpi6ni14aKchTzs4P_kTn-RR-XDLrQ29_zFCArjsxDeb12RGxTrLyq8QesWKLINH0jQfq7mmad5R4gk_MumtwLjCi3E6kb6iP9B8er2CrHGld91QXTDLT2-pd0/s799/98fndfd_init_2023112912.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="559" data-original-width="799" height="280" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgfm4MY8iWkMmv6wOgrhQr6brcRaUPSgGK1pBufuTTXvz5GMGYZ_wE4POwmrLCdu5lpJVpi6ni14aKchTzs4P_kTn-RR-XDLrQ29_zFCArjsxDeb12RGxTrLyq8QesWKLINH0jQfq7mmad5R4gk_MumtwLjCi3E6kb6iP9B8er2CrHGld91QXTDLT2-pd0/w400-h280/98fndfd_init_2023112912.gif" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">The Friday morning weather map shows rain moving to the east as a cold front approaches from the west. The front arrives Friday evening dry. (NWS/WPC)</td></tr></tbody></table><div><br /></div><div>Behind the cold front on Friday evening (which will pass through with no additional rainfall), temperatures drop to the mid to upper 40s Saturday morning before rising to the lower 60s in the afternoon. Clouds will continue to stream overhead with a north wind at 5-10 mph. Overall, it should be a pretty good day for the St. Jude Memphis Marathon and other outdoor activities.</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhr8ZTzLbwWWZrkP0wrcdmx_HCy131cKLBdrhw_s2aat1dUj3Pt9XDMScNV4Lc8ahJbm5BDpBldr8qQsah52ZU_DO4PzLx0DyxCSl2w23J3DHD9grmkBKBEwgRgTmifvqxqrxFo88bN_4WqwQr6LrdcyfYhdebuw8hxf3i9Y5d7TMXHMuKmBpnuZ4hUaN4/s1280/2023%20marathon.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhr8ZTzLbwWWZrkP0wrcdmx_HCy131cKLBdrhw_s2aat1dUj3Pt9XDMScNV4Lc8ahJbm5BDpBldr8qQsah52ZU_DO4PzLx0DyxCSl2w23J3DHD9grmkBKBEwgRgTmifvqxqrxFo88bN_4WqwQr6LrdcyfYhdebuw8hxf3i9Y5d7TMXHMuKmBpnuZ4hUaN4/w400-h225/2023%20marathon.png" width="400" /></a></div><div><br /></div><h4 style="text-align: left;">Sunday and beyond</h4><div>As the late-week system finally pulls to the east, sunshine returns Sunday and continues through the first half of the week, at least. Temperatures will be a bit cooler, but not cold, with lows mostly in the 40s and highs in the upper 50s to low 60s until Wednesday when it gets a bit cooler. Overall, not much to complain about with this forecast! </div><br />
Erik Proseus<br />
MWN Meteorologist<br />
<br />
----<br />
Follow MWN on <a href="http://www.facebook.com/memphisweather1" target="_blank">Facebook</a> and <a href="http://twitter.com/memphisweather1" target="_blank">Twitter</a> for routine updates and the latest info!<br />
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Download our <a href="https://blog.memphisweather.net/p/mwn-mobile-apps.html">iPhone or Android apps</a>, featuring <a href="http://www.stormwatchplus.com/" target="_blank">StormWatch+</a> severe weather alerts!
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="95" src="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" width="200" /></a></td><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s1600/NWADigital_full.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="99" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s200/NWADigital_full.jpg" width="200" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">MWN is a NOAA Weather Ready Nation Ambassador</td> <td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Meteorologist Erik Proseus is an NWA Digital Seal Holder</td></tr>
</tbody></table>Meteorologist Erik Proseushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16116114428520631122noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6095709393884268330.post-54820278065420823302023-11-18T18:23:00.006-06:002023-11-18T18:23:31.631-06:00Drought relief and possible strong storms Monday, otherwise good weather for Thanksgiving weekThe lack of soaking rain in the past three months has resulted in quite the drought, measuring "extreme" in parts of the metro. But typically November can be counted on to bring some relief from dry fall conditions, and the next system on Monday should do just that.<div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg5pv2Vo8nYMS_kqE6lBV2h91WcNQhgQ0CE7NLFLC4hhX2vFD1wLjJHKBJ3sbIK8S5Yqd5-zZzOMv8Ciu0uox6XYlAeT-6zR_F7C-cViKdctSbcKK9OyUud1KnqLhc5y7k17SdZBM1rcQfpWHjC6M1bzK0p5sYNACrBY8wO-SnMjbnIFYsdgq-FgYHsSOg/s1200/drought_comp.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="725" data-original-width="1200" height="386" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg5pv2Vo8nYMS_kqE6lBV2h91WcNQhgQ0CE7NLFLC4hhX2vFD1wLjJHKBJ3sbIK8S5Yqd5-zZzOMv8Ciu0uox6XYlAeT-6zR_F7C-cViKdctSbcKK9OyUud1KnqLhc5y7k17SdZBM1rcQfpWHjC6M1bzK0p5sYNACrBY8wO-SnMjbnIFYsdgq-FgYHsSOg/w640-h386/drought_comp.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">A comparison of the Drought Index for the Mid-South from early August to this week tells the story about the lack of beneficial rainfall. (UNL Drought Monitor)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiQRQpZW8Y1suy4WYfaVYV8PO1zswN0kMweEQpCDsOioGLRDeF_uOow0jzHbpLtK_Zl5M5FeNnF18h95_rYMO4ejIYgCUKy6PbkIIyZjV82AJZCblW9W2I5DUuHYkfGfHtwGDBSsywi_UBddIDTEyvTw8HFPe0PGwoTj5Iiwa2DTuK3oYI-vkqFpv8IFqU/s1616/90day_precip_deficit.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="905" data-original-width="1616" height="358" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiQRQpZW8Y1suy4WYfaVYV8PO1zswN0kMweEQpCDsOioGLRDeF_uOow0jzHbpLtK_Zl5M5FeNnF18h95_rYMO4ejIYgCUKy6PbkIIyZjV82AJZCblW9W2I5DUuHYkfGfHtwGDBSsywi_UBddIDTEyvTw8HFPe0PGwoTj5Iiwa2DTuK3oYI-vkqFpv8IFqU/w640-h358/90day_precip_deficit.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">The rainfall deficit in the past 90 days is shown above. For the Memphis area, we only received about 25-50% of normal rainfall in this period. Conditions are worse to our south and east. (NOAA/NWS)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div>We'll end the weekend with similar conditions to how it started though, as Sunday looks very pleasant with plenty of sunshine, dry air, and highs in the mid 60s. A light wind shifting from the northeast to the east is a sign of what's to come though, as low pressure moves into the Plains, turning those winds around to the southeast Sunday night when a smattering of light showers are likely to start moistening the atmosphere and "priming the pump" for Monday.</div><div><br /></div><div>By Monday, southeast wind will pick up and rain chances increase as the day goes on, particularly by mid-afternoon, as low pressure moves into AR. Highs will again be in the mid 60s, but dewpoints surge from the 30s Sunday to the 50s Monday. By late afternoon, some showers could be heavy. As of Saturday evening, it appears that low pressure system will pass by just to the north of the metro on Monday night, bringing a round of thunderstorms during the evening hours. </div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEif_LrxPoKCOJO8DKI6Cj_FCjUt87x4gqyoUmH2IYu7-SrI9FqbrkoE_ezLG3rxerEjN0Ss7S-F7yYd8z6AymNG92fxPh0TLzg81p0QJ7bunSCqzfoQwBdmI3-074-5j7klGV6wvUt7Hn_7A41PciI4FZLuLsI3moTg5fBJ53QEjI6DBH7L6yH74LanyRI/s799/99fndfd_init_2023111812.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="559" data-original-width="799" height="280" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEif_LrxPoKCOJO8DKI6Cj_FCjUt87x4gqyoUmH2IYu7-SrI9FqbrkoE_ezLG3rxerEjN0Ss7S-F7yYd8z6AymNG92fxPh0TLzg81p0QJ7bunSCqzfoQwBdmI3-074-5j7klGV6wvUt7Hn_7A41PciI4FZLuLsI3moTg5fBJ53QEjI6DBH7L6yH74LanyRI/w400-h280/99fndfd_init_2023111812.gif" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">The surface map for 6pm Monday shows a cold front and approaching low pressure center to our west and a warm front lifting north into the area. Locations south of that warm front could see a few strong storms Monday evening. (WPC)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div>To our south, where instability will be maximized, some storms could be strong to severe across southern AR into MS and eventually (later in the night) western AL. While thunder will be possible, perhaps likely, in the metro, the severe weather threat should stay just to our south, though a storm could produce strong wind gusts locally. </div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjaH7lBrvPF02CeD7kk26CdtqNct-9iMoU4dzrW7W92domcL28HbGVuJvdjdDxqCCyXbXaSLvuqdUcXVSRK0CAMHa176y3jBLIKIeLyVS6qFPKPiGa627Wm9oG-wK0NsyGs0nXEOJ8oSh2GzTLatmeIzdDN0C3K1Q1I4doqHw93HMRXL_OARdURO_3cvwM/s1100/MEG_swody3.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="825" data-original-width="1100" height="300" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjaH7lBrvPF02CeD7kk26CdtqNct-9iMoU4dzrW7W92domcL28HbGVuJvdjdDxqCCyXbXaSLvuqdUcXVSRK0CAMHa176y3jBLIKIeLyVS6qFPKPiGa627Wm9oG-wK0NsyGs0nXEOJ8oSh2GzTLatmeIzdDN0C3K1Q1I4doqHw93HMRXL_OARdURO_3cvwM/w400-h300/MEG_swody3.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">The severe weather threat for Monday evening is mostly to our south, though a couple of strong storms are possible in north MS, per the Storm Prediction Center outlook posted Saturday. (SPC)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div>In addition, rain will be heavy, particularly from around rush hour through the evening, tapering off as a cold front moves through around midnight or so. Up to 2" of rain is possible for this event, though most places will likely remain under that, but receive at least an inch. This will certainly help with the drought, keeping it from getting any worse if nothing else.</div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjGaCuSv85L-nTPXHycuRHAfVFY8RfCsLBklPfh3ei6mdaWjbcpdWK2XwrhiWu23tTcj8hRoG8YATJdArzirGpmgoX_qCiMuT41-WHf7M7cnxPtSSs96d-_JN2TVW43eKHq_rbz2_NjvagYnViNggqjpve3RtNWL0WCXJ0jnwUUXb8n2dqppTCUh9uqDPk/s887/MEG_Day3.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="695" data-original-width="887" height="314" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjGaCuSv85L-nTPXHycuRHAfVFY8RfCsLBklPfh3ei6mdaWjbcpdWK2XwrhiWu23tTcj8hRoG8YATJdArzirGpmgoX_qCiMuT41-WHf7M7cnxPtSSs96d-_JN2TVW43eKHq_rbz2_NjvagYnViNggqjpve3RtNWL0WCXJ0jnwUUXb8n2dqppTCUh9uqDPk/w400-h314/MEG_Day3.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">There is a Marginal Risk of excessive rainfall that could result in flooding for the entire area on Monday. (Weather Prediction Center)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div>Behind this system, cooler and drier weather sets in once again for the rest of Thanksgiving week. A few lingering showers are possible Tuesday morning with temperatures that pretty much sit in the 50s all day on north wind. Skies clear for mid-week and conditions remain dry through at least Friday. Look for morning lows in the 30s to near 40, including for Thanksgiving Day, and highs generally in the mid 50s under fair skies. Sounds like a good time to take some time off work, eat too much, and maybe get the Christmas decorations out!<br /><div><br />
Erik Proseus<br />
MWN Meteorologist<br />
<br />
----<br />
Follow MWN on <a href="http://www.facebook.com/memphisweather1" target="_blank">Facebook</a> and <a href="http://twitter.com/memphisweather1" target="_blank">Twitter</a> for routine updates and the latest info!<br />
Complete MWN Forecast: <a href="http://www.memphisweather.net/m_forecast.html" target="_blank">MemphisWeather.net</a> on the mobile web or via the <a href="http://app.memphisweather.net/" target="_blank">MWN mobile app</a><br />
Download our <a href="https://blog.memphisweather.net/p/mwn-mobile-apps.html">iPhone or Android apps</a>, featuring <a href="http://www.stormwatchplus.com/" target="_blank">StormWatch+</a> severe weather alerts!
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="95" src="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" width="200" /></a></td><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s1600/NWADigital_full.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="99" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s200/NWADigital_full.jpg" width="200" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">MWN is a NOAA Weather Ready Nation Ambassador</td> <td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Meteorologist Erik Proseus is an NWA Digital Seal Holder</td></tr>
</tbody></table></div></div>Meteorologist Erik Proseushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16116114428520631122noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6095709393884268330.post-1673632713335297172023-11-04T10:38:00.000-05:002023-11-04T10:38:20.249-05:00October 2023 Climate Report for Memphis, TN<h3>October Climate Recap</h3><div>The month of October was generally very warm, and averaged more than a two degrees above normal. We started the month in the low 90's, dropped to the 70's by the 4th, then into the 60's by the middle of the month. A gentle warmup followed, with highs in the upper 80's by the 23rd. We finally saw much cooler temperatures on the 29th as a strong cold front moved in, with highs dropping to 49 on the 30th!</div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgAhGVe6-d8Z1npxaIc41VkMk_djTzeZnkOrzoTe4lTn0bgPiRmeOAkNAJoxFZ1GdDh-S4pnfB9gPiSHLLjVK1eR3Q2EL05rojY9Us2gi8KXyR8uCjqRMCPVs9UQ0t6i3hidYPLzRMAJlk-ij-PtNcO-eEUAJM1MV-wOU1hl3pYNREJknQ2fhyVO92GUxY/s1280/Oct%202023%20prism%20temp.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1024" data-original-width="1280" height="512" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgAhGVe6-d8Z1npxaIc41VkMk_djTzeZnkOrzoTe4lTn0bgPiRmeOAkNAJoxFZ1GdDh-S4pnfB9gPiSHLLjVK1eR3Q2EL05rojY9Us2gi8KXyR8uCjqRMCPVs9UQ0t6i3hidYPLzRMAJlk-ij-PtNcO-eEUAJM1MV-wOU1hl3pYNREJknQ2fhyVO92GUxY/w640-h512/Oct%202023%20prism%20temp.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Departure from normal temperatures for October for the Lower 48 states</td></tr></tbody></table><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div><div><div style="text-align: left;">The ongoing drought continued in October with only just above 1.5" of rain for the month (almost 2.5" below normal). The drought was particularly bad in the counties to the south, and creeped northward into most of the Mid-South throughout the month. All of the metro is now somewhere between a moderate drought to an extreme drought. Most of the rain (1.26") occurred at the end of the month. We saw a trace amount on the 4th, 0.3" on the 5th, then only trace amounts on the 15th and 19th, followed by 0.03" on the 27th, 0.29" on the 28th, 0.42" on the 29th, and 0.52" on the 30th. In addition, the Mississippi River at Memphis set a new record low river stage at -12.04' on the 17th, 1.23 feet lower than the previous record of -10.81 set October 21st of last year.</div><div style="text-align: left;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiJwfes8z9xx4j0WVf0BlDP3RVmTWcHpCp-rgnTKISkNayu2wpRPoJr5ZxV7L_z4lWP9PS_2UqNgc-sn3i7d1_OiVI-_-mCmVRvjGQtuqvNBf_m_1o4yQ16_wc5Cqo386cJrK6pbHmQds75biYQY4TM6Ubbwoml6dO9Y0nKbsRngFXmTqJ16PeZl8If-lc/s768/oct31_drought.png"><img border="0" data-original-height="768" data-original-width="768" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiJwfes8z9xx4j0WVf0BlDP3RVmTWcHpCp-rgnTKISkNayu2wpRPoJr5ZxV7L_z4lWP9PS_2UqNgc-sn3i7d1_OiVI-_-mCmVRvjGQtuqvNBf_m_1o4yQ16_wc5Cqo386cJrK6pbHmQds75biYQY4TM6Ubbwoml6dO9Y0nKbsRngFXmTqJ16PeZl8If-lc/w640-h640/oct31_drought.png" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /><br /></div> <script async="" charset="utf-8" src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js"></script>
<h3>Memphis International Airport, Memphis, TN</h3><div><u><b>Temperature</b></u> </div></div><div><b>Average temperature</b>: 67.0 degrees (2.4 degrees above average) </div><div><b>Average high temperature</b>: 77.4 degrees (2.3 degrees above average) </div><div><b>Average low temperature</b>: 56.7 degrees (2.7 degrees above average) </div><div><b>Warmest temperature</b>: 92 degrees (1st) </div><div><b>Coolest temperature</b>: 33 degrees (31st) </div><div><b>Heating Degrees Days</b>: 88 (28 below average)</div><div><b>Cooling Degree Days</b>: 158 (102 above average) </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>Records set or tied</b>: Record high tied (86) and record high minimum (69) on the 24th</span></div><div><b>Comments</b>: None</div><div><i><br /></i></div><div><u><b>Precipitation</b></u> </div><div><b>Monthly total</b>: 1.57" (2.41" below average) </div><div><b>Days with measurable precipitation</b>: 5 (2.5 days below average) </div><div><b>Wettest 24-hour period</b>: 0.94" (29th-30th) </div><div><b>Snowfall</b>: None</div><div><b>Records set or tied</b><span style="background-color: white;">: None</span></div><div><b>Comments</b>: None</div><div><br /></div><div><u><b>Miscellaneous</b></u> </div><div><b>Peak wind</b>: North/40 mph (6th)<i> </i></div><div><b>Average wind</b>: 7.4 mph </div><div><b>Average relative humidity</b>: 61%</div><div><b>Average sky cover</b>: 49%</div><div><br /></div><div> Click <a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/data/kmem/2023_10.txt" target="_blank">here</a> for a daily statistical recap for Memphis International Airport.</div><div>
<h3>MemphisWeather.net Headquarters, Bartlett, TN</h3><div><u><b>Temperature</b></u> </div></div><div><b>Average temperature</b>: 63.6 degrees </div><div><b>Average high temperature</b>: 76.1 degrees </div><div><b>Average low temperature</b>: 53.3 degrees </div><div><b>Warmest temperature</b>: 91.3 degrees (1st) </div><div><b>Coolest temperature</b>: 29.2 degrees (31st) </div><div><b>Comments</b>: High temp of 91.3 (1st) was a record for that day (since 2005); 29.2 (31st) was a record low for that day (since 2005)</div><div><br /></div><div><u><b>Precipitation</b></u> </div><div><b>Monthly total</b>: 1.56" (automated rain gauge), 1.86" (CoCoRaHS rain gauge) </div><div><b>Days with measurable precipitation</b>: 5</div><div><b>Wettest date:</b> 0.55" (28th) (via automated gauge) </div><div><b>Snowfall</b>: None</div><div><b>Comments</b>: None</div><div><u><b><br /></b></u></div><div><u><b>
</b></u> <u><b>Miscellaneous</b></u> </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>Peak wind</b>:</span> South/24 mph (26th)</div>
<div>
<b>Average relative humidity</b>: 72% </div><div><b>Average barometric pressure</b>: 30.03in. Hg
<div>
<b>Comments</b>: None</div><div><br /></div>
Click <a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/data/2023_10.txt" target="_blank">here</a> for a daily statistical recap for Bartlett, TN.</div><div>
<h3>
<u>MWN Forecast Accuracy</u></h3><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>MWN average temperature error</b>: 1.98 degrees</span> </div></div><div><b><span style="background-color: white;">MWN forecast temperatures within 2 degrees of actual</span></b><span style="background-color: white;">: 69%</span> </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>MWN average dewpoint error</b>: 2.04 degrees</span> </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>MWN forecast dewpoints within 2 degrees of actual</b>: 69%</span> </div><div><br /></div><div>MWN's forecasts extend out five periods (2.5 days, or roughly 60 hours). Historical accuracy statistics can be found <a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/accuracy.shtml#2022" target="_blank">here</a>.</div><div><br /></div></div>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="95" src="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" width="200" /></a></td><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s1600/NWADigital_full.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="99" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s200/NWADigital_full.jpg" width="200" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">MWN is a NOAA Weather Ready Nation Ambassador</td> <td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Meteorologist Erik Proseus is an NWA Digital Seal Holder</td></tr>
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Richard Hoseneyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10316495615911899090noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6095709393884268330.post-81476877671472134502023-10-27T15:26:00.003-05:002023-10-27T15:31:24.984-05:00We interrupt late summer for a taste of early winter!<div>According to a recent poll we conducted on X, nearly 70% of you are ready for late summer warmth to end and "deep fall" to begin.<br /></div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj0LSgK3pA-T23CDwcYX_NjKNJf6DqhQLm8FTStMBWhHj9Mm-OaWyMGHjZ6c8QgjyUlloWi1Awoar_8iCJGj7Tv74i8-2w_OmpDwVFkLeoRE4prliPysjMrpznQLG5lfql4l1cxwwA6uX_VKO5H1cc9z7ubQVPAaEhyphenhyphenSh5UZ-vepCzWJaWJ7Qc8bGmY-Dg/s594/X-poll.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="341" data-original-width="594" height="230" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj0LSgK3pA-T23CDwcYX_NjKNJf6DqhQLm8FTStMBWhHj9Mm-OaWyMGHjZ6c8QgjyUlloWi1Awoar_8iCJGj7Tv74i8-2w_OmpDwVFkLeoRE4prliPysjMrpznQLG5lfql4l1cxwwA6uX_VKO5H1cc9z7ubQVPAaEhyphenhyphenSh5UZ-vepCzWJaWJ7Qc8bGmY-Dg/w400-h230/X-poll.png" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div>Well, your wish is my command! But first, let's try and get a little drought relief after suffering through less than two inches of rain since September 1. Unfortunately, rain chances are increasing over a fairly busy Halloween/fall fest weekend!</div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh-0dRBoRwzptwNimH8MAH4d5ASEDcKsrE3GlosM49xILdUm6xaQpIVkSGaorX4tR4NwJJPjNQdgvd4r7EwaQgXC06dRpMb4DIgkk9ghUr8g6KEGhLMWA53Xlg_fIDUrkMwtvLZS0YWEDEM-FjV8fTRcJwBY2BpmsHaDEX8Ba5hYHcpJ9weg26JJ99BQ6U/s1056/current_wfomeg_trd%20(2).png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="816" data-original-width="1056" height="494" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh-0dRBoRwzptwNimH8MAH4d5ASEDcKsrE3GlosM49xILdUm6xaQpIVkSGaorX4tR4NwJJPjNQdgvd4r7EwaQgXC06dRpMb4DIgkk9ghUr8g6KEGhLMWA53Xlg_fIDUrkMwtvLZS0YWEDEM-FjV8fTRcJwBY2BpmsHaDEX8Ba5hYHcpJ9weg26JJ99BQ6U/w640-h494/current_wfomeg_trd%20(2).png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">The most recent Drought Index map shows the majority of the metro in a severe (D2) drought after weeks of very little rain. (UNL)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><h4 style="text-align: left;">Pre-frontal warmth and rain</h4><div>A <b>seriously </b>cold Canadian front will ooze through the Mid-South late this weekend. However, it will be close enough the next 48 hours to bring off and on rain chances. We'll still be on the warm side of it until at least midday, or maybe evening, on Sunday so mild temperatures continue, but not quite the 80s we have had the past week. Rain will be spotty through mid to late afternoon Saturday before the next organized round of showers moves in and blankets the area Saturday evening. You'll want a Plan B for any outdoor activities starting at dinner time Saturday. Temperatures should remain mostly in the 70s after starting in the mid 60s Saturday morning. </div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjaTpnZ-40vqLOw43kd0SkfyF0UXTxp0wiRuUa0gBhbwQwr_NpuCn5kj56zzt-eYxxib9d-u0BQpHyevTBPKJshAOxoFmm4cPxI3z-BEbjsRHWlAouMq13KcJmDeiEvWsAwu5sdGFYF_vxfRXKjkBcWopOgf3WBzf2HGQSYGdLg2EnQjrJ5HThLUh6taUI/s984/wpc-arkansas-total_precip_inch-8710400.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="329" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjaTpnZ-40vqLOw43kd0SkfyF0UXTxp0wiRuUa0gBhbwQwr_NpuCn5kj56zzt-eYxxib9d-u0BQpHyevTBPKJshAOxoFmm4cPxI3z-BEbjsRHWlAouMq13KcJmDeiEvWsAwu5sdGFYF_vxfRXKjkBcWopOgf3WBzf2HGQSYGdLg2EnQjrJ5HThLUh6taUI/w400-h329/wpc-arkansas-total_precip_inch-8710400.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">NWS forecast rainfall amounts through Monday show the potential for 1-2" across the metro with higher amounts over AR where the front stalls this weekend. (WPC/WxBell) </td></tr></tbody></table><div><br /></div><div>Showers will continue to be scattered Sunday ahead of the front, then become increasingly likely along and behind it as we head into Sunday night. We could stay in the 60s Sunday, but at best we'll see lower 70s if there are long enough breaks in the showers.</div><div><br /></div><h4 style="text-align: left;">Arrival of Canadian air</h4><div>As cold air moves in Sunday night, rain continues to fall, lasting until probably mid-day Monday. And boy will it be COLD after we've been acclimated to 70s and 80s lately! (No, not cold enough for s**w though!) Monday morning we'll wake up to showers, a cold north wind, and temperatures in the mid 40s. And with rain still around and clouds not departing until late in the day, we may well not see temperatures rise at all as cold air continues to advect in on breezy north wind!</div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj4f0iDu-4hEJOUsY9GF-I6iwEzhHnkpRe8q_j0JDj5liGged5vWzHZhB6RlwgCq3Mxqzj0VPLLadNXYiVf09ih__I_-57PyI85VEQGg7ED2v8apD9PAIUNZpstI2cRj2v7Pd2tFZaM86aCWWDHnRbCoxbtgJ8IHaBpqLCHcAcGhCnQQjKY7VqBNbAhusw/s1024/MaxT_Day4.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="768" data-original-width="1024" height="300" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj4f0iDu-4hEJOUsY9GF-I6iwEzhHnkpRe8q_j0JDj5liGged5vWzHZhB6RlwgCq3Mxqzj0VPLLadNXYiVf09ih__I_-57PyI85VEQGg7ED2v8apD9PAIUNZpstI2cRj2v7Pd2tFZaM86aCWWDHnRbCoxbtgJ8IHaBpqLCHcAcGhCnQQjKY7VqBNbAhusw/w400-h300/MaxT_Day4.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Expected high temperatures (not lows!) on Monday (NWS)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div>The rest of the week, starting Tuesday morning, will feel more like December or January despite abundant sunshine. Morning lows will likely drop to freezing - even in the city - while some upper 20s are possible in coldest outlying areas on Wednesday and Thursday mornings. High temperatures look to be near 50 degrees Halloween Day and Wednesday before rebounding a bit on Thursday, then back into the low 60s by week's end<b>. Bundle up those trick-or-treaters as wind chills will be in the 30s Tuesday evening! </b></div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjLdj_AuYMfaMt2MR1Tx20vS45uEodCEqNZqBxPiAoHHOyqVW-EA1eeA5-ie-Z5BA7O9ZK2iveLUv-fQVqSalvFJxn4dyXJdoJjDOHY7-OgLDEAgHfg-QZibtq5Z3dg5dd5qPwHcI-iiBEFza826eNT8Gw62VKo-Y1y3praQ3meWPlmay-FALk-afyCmSw/s1024/ProbTBelow32F_Day6.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="768" data-original-width="1024" height="300" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjLdj_AuYMfaMt2MR1Tx20vS45uEodCEqNZqBxPiAoHHOyqVW-EA1eeA5-ie-Z5BA7O9ZK2iveLUv-fQVqSalvFJxn4dyXJdoJjDOHY7-OgLDEAgHfg-QZibtq5Z3dg5dd5qPwHcI-iiBEFza826eNT8Gw62VKo-Y1y3praQ3meWPlmay-FALk-afyCmSw/w400-h300/ProbTBelow32F_Day6.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Probability of freezing temperatures Wednesday morning (NWS)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgCDoonmiZDVXe-eZulYpo1cw9WG7PjLJmsW0BTpRNsj53U2oBs-3KUDMNVl1ZLedx6o2QRH6vd51mgePD-fXGxfGMBTe3-B9PgVMF3xr7gAAQj-cWo12BcRxKhB5TpW-TzdVy1wJC0S22S4LoKoPi5QuqALVwG9RJjRqVFYe4O_RUvX3588UTghRvVwrM/s1024/ProbTBelow28F_Day7.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="768" data-original-width="1024" height="300" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgCDoonmiZDVXe-eZulYpo1cw9WG7PjLJmsW0BTpRNsj53U2oBs-3KUDMNVl1ZLedx6o2QRH6vd51mgePD-fXGxfGMBTe3-B9PgVMF3xr7gAAQj-cWo12BcRxKhB5TpW-TzdVy1wJC0S22S4LoKoPi5QuqALVwG9RJjRqVFYe4O_RUvX3588UTghRvVwrM/w400-h300/ProbTBelow28F_Day7.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Probability of a hard freeze (28°) on Thursday morning. (NWS)</td></tr></tbody></table><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhId_fes7IrbOQP6AmTEim72gNR6hnB21FbOe9MIY7B4peqe4ZWnASBtlNCoWhrKsWMdcnRe4Ro3rSJdLg9hFC0BQU-W1cRYzZtWxWQ2Tr4eQc5WQd5IZvGHk6KwGGLHNoXJpQqqkWd6yVzQz5ICbsQyMeAXkYajJO2wtzTWI4j46Jq7RvqPPmVx9jEPKI/s1024/NBMWindGust25_Day5.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="768" data-original-width="1024" height="300" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhId_fes7IrbOQP6AmTEim72gNR6hnB21FbOe9MIY7B4peqe4ZWnASBtlNCoWhrKsWMdcnRe4Ro3rSJdLg9hFC0BQU-W1cRYzZtWxWQ2Tr4eQc5WQd5IZvGHk6KwGGLHNoXJpQqqkWd6yVzQz5ICbsQyMeAXkYajJO2wtzTWI4j46Jq7RvqPPmVx9jEPKI/w400-h300/NBMWindGust25_Day5.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Potential for wind gusts over 25 mph is high on Halloween Day. Paired with max temperatures near 50, it will be a COLD night of trick-or treating! (NWS)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div>If you have outdoor winterizing that needs to be done - this weekend is the time to do it! Hose bibs should be covered, exterior doors sealed, and sensitive plants brought into the garage or indoors for a few days next week. Fortunately, the cold snap should only last a few days, as we'll be back to near normal (that's highs in the upper 60s and lows in the mid 40s) as we head into next weekend.</div>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p dir="ltr" lang="en">Is your winter emergency car kit stocked and updated? Remember to include the following items:<br /><br />🔦Flashlight + extra batteries<br />🚘Jumper cables<br />🧥Warm clothes & blankets<br />🍿Non-perishable snacks<br /><br />More info: <a href="https://t.co/xQixVyiTwq">https://t.co/xQixVyiTwq</a><a href="https://twitter.com/Readygov?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@Readygov</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/NWSMemphis?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@NWSMemphis</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/memphisweather1?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@memphisweather1</a> <a href="https://t.co/WBOO5vo7My">pic.twitter.com/WBOO5vo7My</a></p>— Memphis Office of Emergency Management (@MEMPHISOEM) <a href="https://twitter.com/MEMPHISOEM/status/1717897581357854895?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 27, 2023</a></blockquote> <script async="" charset="utf-8" src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js"></script>
<div>Erik Proseus</div>
MWN Meteorologist<br />
<br />
----<br />
Follow MWN on <a href="http://www.facebook.com/memphisweather1" target="_blank">Facebook</a> and <a href="http://twitter.com/memphisweather1" target="_blank">Twitter</a> for routine updates and the latest info!<br />
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Download our <a href="https://blog.memphisweather.net/p/mwn-mobile-apps.html">iPhone or Android apps</a>, featuring <a href="http://www.stormwatchplus.com/" target="_blank">StormWatch+</a> severe weather alerts!
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="95" src="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" width="200" /></a></td><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s1600/NWADigital_full.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="99" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s200/NWADigital_full.jpg" width="200" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">MWN is a NOAA Weather Ready Nation Ambassador</td> <td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Meteorologist Erik Proseus is an NWA Digital Seal Holder</td></tr>
</tbody></table>Meteorologist Erik Proseushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16116114428520631122noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6095709393884268330.post-40513064507527401802023-10-11T20:27:00.004-05:002023-10-12T19:29:54.258-05:00Solar eclipse "warm-up act" will occur on Saturday<div>While the "<a href="https://www.greatamericaneclipse.com/" target="_blank">Great American Eclipse</a>" will be the big story as far as solar events go in the next several months, this weekend's annular eclipse for part of the country, and partial for the rest of us, will be a very nice warm-up act! </div><div><br /></div><div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhK_yaIS8bhPA-8AuNyTnvAeBJXJ7ZBUhoyX7GbeUwX8c7wQzYEfpmpzbBmdkZe4Z2WEyIh9F4RFffqGswteL_faiDdUW4bJuj6dj592DNEAsxRskoVkA8lskJZBjQ1KrSH6YKjjP2y0zy-kWP9pM_7mJVd3qcPXqYQfbtOLmqVXXtC53E3JoHUBXLh7ko/s1920/eclipse_map_2023_QR_1920.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="960" data-original-width="1920" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhK_yaIS8bhPA-8AuNyTnvAeBJXJ7ZBUhoyX7GbeUwX8c7wQzYEfpmpzbBmdkZe4Z2WEyIh9F4RFffqGswteL_faiDdUW4bJuj6dj592DNEAsxRskoVkA8lskJZBjQ1KrSH6YKjjP2y0zy-kWP9pM_7mJVd3qcPXqYQfbtOLmqVXXtC53E3JoHUBXLh7ko/w640-h320/eclipse_map_2023_QR_1920.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /></div><div>Occurring over a three-hour window from late morning through early afternoon on Saturday, October 14, over 60% of the sun's disk will be obscured by the moon at noon as it passes directly between the sun and Earth. </div><div><br /></div><div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjH3WUIE3lwhck7xuTk9jgW30D-it6z87wfsJaT7InzRDgkJQ9yDOt6KaDtOWYqOfL2D4CeTp0US4hlyqFx7rZB1rYKJd1-YwqLrzcML5rbmLcPTNRBj0Wbu9B6ttp9CqTsd0HfXq5DjUIZraQhXed3hIxqkfTJ42WKzjKCBLOP3-MYLgaq-L7szlkuPuk/s300/2023_10_14_ASE_300px_half_frames.gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="300" data-original-width="300" height="300" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjH3WUIE3lwhck7xuTk9jgW30D-it6z87wfsJaT7InzRDgkJQ9yDOt6KaDtOWYqOfL2D4CeTp0US4hlyqFx7rZB1rYKJd1-YwqLrzcML5rbmLcPTNRBj0Wbu9B6ttp9CqTsd0HfXq5DjUIZraQhXed3hIxqkfTJ42WKzjKCBLOP3-MYLgaq-L7szlkuPuk/s1600/2023_10_14_ASE_300px_half_frames.gif" width="300" /></a></div></div><div><br /></div><div>The April 2024 Great American Eclipse will be a total eclipse, in which the entirety of the sun will be obscured by the moon. However, this Saturday's eclipse will be an "annular" eclipse for those in the western United States. Annular refers to the fact that, while the moon passes directly in front of the sun like in a total eclipse, it is too small (due to its distance from our perspective) to completely block the sun, thus a "ring of fire" is visible around the outside of the moon. </div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjTA-kYWdsAzYqnkXFO9hWnY0Vqxs0tCLR0uQ9ST0_5_MTiauMID4k6oTTfqLC4NVjSjhJslunC_pSkgOMNN52cChSJhqpcEEiSwnjIL2zRPRARF57F8DRQRpSvR0mRWprZ8owjBHVRLRtID_wsOhRhff88IfjYfQkXp2NSs-B6EeaTzBoIprqK9B86Vjo/s582/annular%20eclipse.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="328" data-original-width="582" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjTA-kYWdsAzYqnkXFO9hWnY0Vqxs0tCLR0uQ9ST0_5_MTiauMID4k6oTTfqLC4NVjSjhJslunC_pSkgOMNN52cChSJhqpcEEiSwnjIL2zRPRARF57F8DRQRpSvR0mRWprZ8owjBHVRLRtID_wsOhRhff88IfjYfQkXp2NSs-B6EeaTzBoIprqK9B86Vjo/w400-h225/annular%20eclipse.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">A "ring of fire" produced by an annular eclipse. Photo by Ferdinandh Cabrera/AFP via Getty Images)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div>For those who are outside the path of totality, a partial eclipse will be visible with a "Pac-Man shaped" sun as the moon passes in front of it. The last annular eclipse visible in the continental U.S. was in 2012, but the next one won't be until 2048! (Of course, we will have a total eclipse crossing the U.S. just 6 months from now!)</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiBO-DvUI-7c-rYWBZfiNZgU9lz0J6rVyvZQNWxx4S3vrJ34blodkxZcfgEYoWSkDQcphFxrKrqsVJU49p3N_MM2eAbxH50k1dOG_tpEFWOv3pJDcGDLAbgOyYA6tGSR3CEiDPIy5eIoVySNmTMGkOtVAqy72sXVpwcbP5-_Ivm1Dh5fKuqxGty7FNpVcw/s1280/Oct14_eclipse.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiBO-DvUI-7c-rYWBZfiNZgU9lz0J6rVyvZQNWxx4S3vrJ34blodkxZcfgEYoWSkDQcphFxrKrqsVJU49p3N_MM2eAbxH50k1dOG_tpEFWOv3pJDcGDLAbgOyYA6tGSR3CEiDPIy5eIoVySNmTMGkOtVAqy72sXVpwcbP5-_Ivm1Dh5fKuqxGty7FNpVcw/w640-h360/Oct14_eclipse.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div><br /></div><div>For the Memphis metro, the eclipse will start about 10:30am, peak at maximum obscuration of 61% at noon, and finish at 1:35pm. Because it is not a total eclipse, viewers absolutely should NOT look directly at the sun to observe the eclipse, unless they are wearing appropriately-rated eye protection such as rated eclipse glasses. You can also use an indirect method like a pinhole camera that can be made at home with the kids! Here is a great article covering <a href="https://earthsky.org/astronomy-essentials/how-to-watch-a-solar-eclipse-safely/" target="_blank">several ways to enjoy the eclipse safely</a>.</div><div><br /></div><div>The forecast looks good for Saturday with a cold front arriving Friday night that should clear out by Saturday morning, leaving mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and a northwest breeze with temps in the mid to upper 60s during the eclipse. </div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjpaX97iTcr_VfzHz9mMcOyMXlUTgVc2rsNczOJ0gny8GdukYFrcZI_qO73Le34qmVbqVOJRUpAMyr5yEe0cgP62RgdztSB6YDNG9yhZRuj70HIC_vMEmDzVjTQYK35GP-cCecortVjRdc3XYr7OUuRQHesFczk0fQptf8J13IzkkP8_kNorRUQho0Wjl8/s1120/Partial_Annular_Partial_FIlter_Caption_1120x368.png" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="368" data-original-width="1120" height="210" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjpaX97iTcr_VfzHz9mMcOyMXlUTgVc2rsNczOJ0gny8GdukYFrcZI_qO73Le34qmVbqVOJRUpAMyr5yEe0cgP62RgdztSB6YDNG9yhZRuj70HIC_vMEmDzVjTQYK35GP-cCecortVjRdc3XYr7OUuRQHesFczk0fQptf8J13IzkkP8_kNorRUQho0Wjl8/w640-h210/Partial_Annular_Partial_FIlter_Caption_1120x368.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>More information on the annular eclipse can be found at <a href="https://earthsky.org/sun/annular-solar-eclipse-october-14-2023/">EarthSky.org</a>, <a href="https://www.greatamericaneclipse.com/october-14-2023">GreatAmericanEclipse.com</a> and NASA's <a href="https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/5124/" target="_blank">Scientific Visualization Studio</a>.</div><br />
Erik Proseus<br />
MWN Meteorologist<br />
<br />
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Follow MWN on <a href="http://www.facebook.com/memphisweather1" target="_blank">Facebook</a> and <a href="http://twitter.com/memphisweather1" target="_blank">Twitter</a> for routine updates and the latest info!<br />
Complete MWN Forecast: <a href="http://www.memphisweather.net/m_forecast.html" target="_blank">MemphisWeather.net</a> on the mobile web or via the <a href="http://app.memphisweather.net/" target="_blank">MWN mobile app</a><br />
Download our <a href="https://blog.memphisweather.net/p/mwn-mobile-apps.html">iPhone or Android apps</a>, featuring <a href="http://www.stormwatchplus.com/" target="_blank">StormWatch+</a> severe weather alerts!
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="95" src="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" width="200" /></a></td><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s1600/NWADigital_full.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="99" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s200/NWADigital_full.jpg" width="200" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">MWN is a NOAA Weather Ready Nation Ambassador</td> <td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Meteorologist Erik Proseus is an NWA Digital Seal Holder</td></tr>
</tbody></table><br />Meteorologist Erik Proseushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16116114428520631122noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6095709393884268330.post-58644685547865866552023-10-07T13:09:00.002-05:002023-10-07T13:14:15.544-05:00September 2023 Climate Report for Memphis, TN<h3>September Climate Recap</h3><div>The month of September was generally very warm, and averaged more than a degree and a half above normal. But Mid-Southerners experienced a nice reprieve from the heat during the middle third of the month as "false fall" brought low dewpoints and fairly pleasant conditions following a strong front on the 7th. However, summer returned for much of the last third of the month as temperatures rose above 90 degrees once again on multiple days. No records were set despite the late season heat.</div><div><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi4HLbgT2Ib3muotnRUGT5elBQxYBT6AfUvZaqmAO6Q-hJ-qq-WaDNLAnuhI5mrjNfW699EbS7JF5z-Bme_juS8BSjxBJsOfNU2lizGSlyVkNlnDuZTNtIJsJ4NlZHrhFZNj2BL5Fgj5G-DThIc38j8NDrDWFEqNEAq5jnCj0R8-6fMI8y35HdUt5FvCK0/s1280/prism_conus_tavg_anom_SEP2023.png"><img border="0" data-original-height="1024" data-original-width="1280" height="512" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi4HLbgT2Ib3muotnRUGT5elBQxYBT6AfUvZaqmAO6Q-hJ-qq-WaDNLAnuhI5mrjNfW699EbS7JF5z-Bme_juS8BSjxBJsOfNU2lizGSlyVkNlnDuZTNtIJsJ4NlZHrhFZNj2BL5Fgj5G-DThIc38j8NDrDWFEqNEAq5jnCj0R8-6fMI8y35HdUt5FvCK0/w640-h512/prism_conus_tavg_anom_SEP2023.png" width="640" /></a></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div><div><div style="text-align: left;">Early signs of drought that began in the Mississippi Delta spread north across the metro during the month as precipitation ended well below average during the climatologically driest month of the year. Most precipitation fell on just a few days in September, with thunderstorms occurring on the 4th, 6th, and 20th. Otherwise rainfall was spotty to non-existent. Storms resulted in Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in north MS (on the 6th) and 20th (Shelby/Tipton Counties). A tree was downed in Memphis on the 20th and a few were taken down in north MS on the 6th. In addition, the Mississippi River at Memphis preliminarily set a new record low river stage at -10.97' on the 14th, a couple inches lower than the previous record set just last year.</div><div style="text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEikFsfr8VNK28yzPl4n2E1U-kYVjL55N03ysGzwQTtN3o2BYjikRAEW7kYVJfZpNqnjUOIPyJ4lo5WjozxR4flBdDjBZbhZLkIaqxYYuoAjaxczbA0ftuXwrbrLXG69ppA05iqi-b367c_zB8rid102RXKcwOHpkmSUhy8HrX5WE-arjcMQQDcu-calaFk/s768/F7MyDOHXsAADz51.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="768" data-original-width="768" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEikFsfr8VNK28yzPl4n2E1U-kYVjL55N03ysGzwQTtN3o2BYjikRAEW7kYVJfZpNqnjUOIPyJ4lo5WjozxR4flBdDjBZbhZLkIaqxYYuoAjaxczbA0ftuXwrbrLXG69ppA05iqi-b367c_zB8rid102RXKcwOHpkmSUhy8HrX5WE-arjcMQQDcu-calaFk/w400-h400/F7MyDOHXsAADz51.png" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div style="text-align: left;"><br /></div> <script async="" charset="utf-8" src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js"></script>
<h3>Memphis International Airport, Memphis, TN</h3><div><u><b>Temperature</b></u> </div></div><div><b>Average temperature</b>: 77.7 degrees (1.7 degrees above average) </div><div><b>Average high temperature</b>: 87.8 degrees (1.8 degrees above average) </div><div><b>Average low temperature</b>: 67.6 degrees (1.7 degrees above average) </div><div><b>Warmest temperature</b>: 97 degrees (4th) </div><div><b>Coolest temperature</b>: 60 degrees (18th) </div><div><b>Heating Degrees Days</b>: 0 (7 below average)</div><div><b>Cooling Degree Days</b>: 388 (53 above average) </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>Records set or tied</b>: None</span><span style="background-color: white;"> </span></div><div><b>Comments</b>: 11 days reached 90°, which is 0.8 days above average for the month of September</div><div><i><br /></i></div><div><u><b>Precipitation</b></u> </div><div><b>Monthly total</b>: 1.63" (1.40" below average) </div><div><b>Days with measurable precipitation</b>: 4 (3.1 days below average) </div><div><b>Wettest 24-hour period</b>: 0.97" (6th) </div><div><b>Snowfall</b>: None</div><div><b>Records set or tied</b><span style="background-color: white;">: Record daily rainfall tied (0.97" on the 6th)</span></div><div><b>Comments</b>: 92% of the month's rainfall fell on just two days</div><div><br /></div><div><u><b>Miscellaneous</b></u> </div><div><b>Peak wind</b>: Northwest/39 mph (6th)<i> </i></div><div><b>Average wind</b>: 6.1 mph </div><div><b>Average relative humidity</b>: 63%</div><div><b>Average sky cover</b>: 41%</div><div><br /></div><div> Click <a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/data/kmem/2023_09.txt" target="_blank">here</a> for a daily statistical recap for Memphis International Airport.</div><div>
<h3>MemphisWeather.net Headquarters, Bartlett, TN</h3><div><u><b>Temperature</b></u> </div></div><div><b>Average temperature</b>: 73.5 degrees </div><div><b>Average high temperature</b>: 86.8 degrees </div><div><b>Average low temperature</b>: 63.5 degrees </div><div><b>Warmest temperature</b>: 95.8 degrees (4th) </div><div><b>Coolest temperature</b>: 53.8 degrees (15th) </div><div><b>Comments</b>: None </div><div><br /></div><div><u><b>Precipitation</b></u> </div><div><b>Monthly total</b>: 1.32" (automated rain gauge), 1.27" (CoCoRaHS rain gauge) </div><div><b>Days with measurable precipitation</b>: 5</div><div><b>Wettest date:</b> 0.53" (12th) (via automated gauge) </div><div><b>Snowfall</b>: None</div><div><b>Comments</b>: None</div><div><u><b><br /></b></u></div><div><u><b>
</b></u> <u><b>Miscellaneous</b></u> </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>Peak wind</b>:</span> South-southwest/18 mph (5th)</div>
<div>
<b>Average relative humidity</b>: 76% </div><div><b>Average barometric pressure</b>: 30.02in. Hg
<div>
<b>Comments</b>: None</div><div><br /></div>
Click <a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/data/2023_09.txt" target="_blank">here</a> for a daily statistical recap for Bartlett, TN.</div><div>
<h3>
<u>MWN Forecast Accuracy</u></h3><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>MWN average temperature error</b>: 1.83 degrees</span> </div></div><div><b><span style="background-color: white;">MWN forecast temperatures within 2 degrees of actual</span></b><span style="background-color: white;">: 76%</span> </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>MWN average dewpoint error</b>: 1.77 degrees</span> </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>MWN forecast dewpoints within 2 degrees of actual</b>: 79%</span> </div><div><br /></div><div>MWN's forecasts extend out five periods (2.5 days, or roughly 60 hours). Historical accuracy statistics can be found <a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/accuracy.shtml#2022" target="_blank">here</a>.</div><div><br /></div></div>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="95" src="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" width="200" /></a></td><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s1600/NWADigital_full.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="99" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s200/NWADigital_full.jpg" width="200" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">MWN is a NOAA Weather Ready Nation Ambassador</td> <td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Meteorologist Erik Proseus is an NWA Digital Seal Holder</td></tr>
</tbody></table>
Meteorologist Erik Proseushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16116114428520631122noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6095709393884268330.post-82913805556059656802023-10-03T16:54:00.004-05:002023-10-03T18:03:58.054-05:00Here it comes - #ActualFall! How chilly will it get?<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">We're almost there!</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgSgBesnW5QshNuI9aZnyiJNlHA4p01UAwclWoeF-DmNsKyQFJvrcDMb1z8MMEIeRREZFpKrcK-n6cxj7rtBM2F3hvfqGTHMwc9rLOG-9yDZje6qXyaGmPFbe02qWGl_yQZcAAcvV59DlBbXN5XooPK-xIcamc8CRivqirrn5dUkDwC4TEhQwBpUxMD2Fs/s491/12_seasons.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="489" data-original-width="491" height="319" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgSgBesnW5QshNuI9aZnyiJNlHA4p01UAwclWoeF-DmNsKyQFJvrcDMb1z8MMEIeRREZFpKrcK-n6cxj7rtBM2F3hvfqGTHMwc9rLOG-9yDZje6qXyaGmPFbe02qWGl_yQZcAAcvV59DlBbXN5XooPK-xIcamc8CRivqirrn5dUkDwC4TEhQwBpUxMD2Fs/s320/12_seasons.png" width="320" /></a></div>This recent run of hot weather, while not record-breaking by official measures, certainly has been unwelcome! Our typical last 90-degree day for the summer is September 23. Seems we've blown right past that! I fully expect that today was the last day of 90 degrees for 2023. Fortunately, typical summertime humidity levels have not accompanied the recent heat wave, which has allowed morning and late evenings to be somewhat comfortable. But I know what just about everyone is looking forward to now!<br /><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiS33aydsAAywkWAZx1SBx9pcVwAQgQ203tPnbP1C7fafKbArEWv0sX0vuecHaie8KlZaNM_Xiw8iben7nrOfkdquNr6BNzJXfRPBpscjDrLVTuZuAdsCNZ8651NzibEnOS20mTRFvUsJLLnwzAmlbrkPQbNwJbnbisFAlnOtIx990ZW1oxfKZfE-zRrvs/s288/giphy%20(14).gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="288" data-original-width="288" height="288" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiS33aydsAAywkWAZx1SBx9pcVwAQgQ203tPnbP1C7fafKbArEWv0sX0vuecHaie8KlZaNM_Xiw8iben7nrOfkdquNr6BNzJXfRPBpscjDrLVTuZuAdsCNZ8651NzibEnOS20mTRFvUsJLLnwzAmlbrkPQbNwJbnbisFAlnOtIx990ZW1oxfKZfE-zRrvs/s1600/giphy%20(14).gif" width="288" /></a></div><br /><div>Here comes our first "pumpkin spice latte" front! </div><div><br /><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjVkDA_XDUEVLBgQy4GaCpOKtryh1Zgc8sOEYFYas3x4X2W6hlEUdklgfDgfV_6xJeE3Gad2yyfHADL4N3fMBwEZsVTJJzGY2o-8XBJiGYgA6Kmj9eiZ-Es6XB1O1KDKiz-nuhlF_7jCFfbxodHkgtOAmMt3Y3nhaoLRikpp3Zo2YhY6WILZw3QiCjTin0/s803/12Z_Fri.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="566" data-original-width="803" height="283" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjVkDA_XDUEVLBgQy4GaCpOKtryh1Zgc8sOEYFYas3x4X2W6hlEUdklgfDgfV_6xJeE3Gad2yyfHADL4N3fMBwEZsVTJJzGY2o-8XBJiGYgA6Kmj9eiZ-Es6XB1O1KDKiz-nuhlF_7jCFfbxodHkgtOAmMt3Y3nhaoLRikpp3Zo2YhY6WILZw3QiCjTin0/w400-h283/12Z_Fri.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">The surface weather map for Friday morning shows a cold front moving through the Mid-South with high pressure dropping out of the Canadian Rockies, which will build into the region this weekend!</td></tr></tbody></table></div><div><br /></div><div>While the "real" cold front won't arrive until Friday morning, a trough of low pressure will move into the area Thursday. Preceding that feature, cloud cover on Wednesday will keep temps in the mid 80s, then the trough brings our first decent chance of rain in a couple of weeks on Thursday. The clouds and showers will result in temperatures in the 70s on Thursday, but with pretty humid air as well. </div><div><br /></div><div>Fortunately, severe weather parameters are meager and we may not even hear any thunder. Rain amounts won't be enough to put a dent in ongoing drought conditions, perhaps only producing a half inch or so of precipitation. Areas to our west in AR will get some much-needed rainfall, as well as thunderstorms ahead of the front. </div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiqfgp2L7WFisAVk2FEELlXNJBjrfvRw0yuXRmFNDWM-PDoJ6nrXofGBQ8dyy6wbYzUjircKMcxgweC3MMHlCU8uWuygKlJgYN-47sFJokj74lbbGxVCxRBDNbdTk5cm28i8CuWL-ZH25PtzTG6EQdPeSaHjdAkIm2GcDTvfzYYovKWp7j8ad-Gj4agMLo/s1100/wpc_qpf_120h_p.us_state_ar.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="850" data-original-width="1100" height="494" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiqfgp2L7WFisAVk2FEELlXNJBjrfvRw0yuXRmFNDWM-PDoJ6nrXofGBQ8dyy6wbYzUjircKMcxgweC3MMHlCU8uWuygKlJgYN-47sFJokj74lbbGxVCxRBDNbdTk5cm28i8CuWL-ZH25PtzTG6EQdPeSaHjdAkIm2GcDTvfzYYovKWp7j8ad-Gj4agMLo/w640-h494/wpc_qpf_120h_p.us_state_ar.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div>As the big front arrives Friday morning, it'll push any leftover rain chances to our east and cool air of Canadian origin rushes in for the weekend, resulting in the coolest days we've experienced since late April, and sunny skies! Get those sweatshirts, sweaters, and long pants out, as we'll be waking up to temperatures in the 40s to near 50 Saturday. Sunday and Monday mornings! Highs will stay in the 60s this weekend before rebounding back into the 70s next week. </div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjHxwI6ecrKMnesZgbgP8K8LrjpwelzGiyPexx9OECajkTUbDJ13ujHQ9Wqg-Smy0mzKCtXnzTtzRBTkCPkpluSL7UOeSCocDaBG65xEQmzRBENx3gkPLI2NE3rLdeG6hyphenhyphen0QaiiKDCBoQm_ZIkk1pC2RuIdwmIYFKSXK0gx2amwa8QtgHIJQmRK0E9XvxE/s320/giphy%20(16).gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="320" data-original-width="320" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjHxwI6ecrKMnesZgbgP8K8LrjpwelzGiyPexx9OECajkTUbDJ13ujHQ9Wqg-Smy0mzKCtXnzTtzRBTkCPkpluSL7UOeSCocDaBG65xEQmzRBENx3gkPLI2NE3rLdeG6hyphenhyphen0QaiiKDCBoQm_ZIkk1pC2RuIdwmIYFKSXK0gx2amwa8QtgHIJQmRK0E9XvxE/s1600/giphy%20(16).gif" width="320" /></a></div><br /><div>Erik Proseus</div>
MWN Meteorologist<br />
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Follow MWN on <a href="http://www.facebook.com/memphisweather1" target="_blank">Facebook</a> and <a href="http://twitter.com/memphisweather1" target="_blank">Twitter</a> for routine updates and the latest info!<br />
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Download our <a href="https://blog.memphisweather.net/p/mwn-mobile-apps.html">iPhone or Android apps</a>, featuring <a href="http://www.stormwatchplus.com/" target="_blank">StormWatch+</a> severe weather alerts!
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="95" src="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" width="200" /></a></td><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s1600/NWADigital_full.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="99" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s200/NWADigital_full.jpg" width="200" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">MWN is a NOAA Weather Ready Nation Ambassador</td> <td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Meteorologist Erik Proseus is an NWA Digital Seal Holder</td></tr>
</tbody></table><br />Meteorologist Erik Proseushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16116114428520631122noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6095709393884268330.post-59837425351010722442023-09-23T11:13:00.005-05:002023-09-23T11:13:30.462-05:00Recent and forecast weather trends as autumn officially begins<div>A pretty wild and stormy summer has transitioned to much drier conditions of late, with temperatures generally near to slightly below average over the past month or so. Comparing the departure from normal precipitation for the past 90 days (in the first image below) to the past 30 days (second image) really shows how the northern metro received plentiful precipitation earlier this summer, but more recently, most of the area has dried up. </div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi4QlREhv03KHXoVTS5U5kILa9nBPGEQcytviv8XH8sPsrGQ2SpO-8BggGRQU95l-LJSw7zt7OU72zIn5OTzIFmzYiDYx33mX7f-RtwtP2H9MICh0EsSSXvDHG8P-muzn4UwXKTE2tjSaXYt6o_FRaxxOpoHpOSiP6djUL-O6zSL8ntDlNHVw9ndql3C3c/s1638/90%20day%20precip.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="921" data-original-width="1638" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi4QlREhv03KHXoVTS5U5kILa9nBPGEQcytviv8XH8sPsrGQ2SpO-8BggGRQU95l-LJSw7zt7OU72zIn5OTzIFmzYiDYx33mX7f-RtwtP2H9MICh0EsSSXvDHG8P-muzn4UwXKTE2tjSaXYt6o_FRaxxOpoHpOSiP6djUL-O6zSL8ntDlNHVw9ndql3C3c/w640-h360/90%20day%20precip.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Precipitation departure from average for the past 90 days shows the effect of summertime storms across west TN and northeast AR from late June through July. Most of those missed the Mississippi Delta, setting the stage for drought later in the summer. (NWS/WPC)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiNPy3QrTmKTJuaXAx-xkoHLOqve1X9HQJ6OKzNXzRkhJpnmcuBEA1CU6NksRQDLgz_lHcvJLpn3_qRBj7nuNYcbBFwBRZH0SGiVwkfc_t4lHBH1fXTEA-_ORxFNnogFe0TBca1jpprjvVDctM47kd4UZXXUgdRWW73-udRS9YxnYjTxLGT-N408_GZcX8/s1639/30%20day%20dprecip.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><img border="0" data-original-height="920" data-original-width="1639" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiNPy3QrTmKTJuaXAx-xkoHLOqve1X9HQJ6OKzNXzRkhJpnmcuBEA1CU6NksRQDLgz_lHcvJLpn3_qRBj7nuNYcbBFwBRZH0SGiVwkfc_t4lHBH1fXTEA-_ORxFNnogFe0TBca1jpprjvVDctM47kd4UZXXUgdRWW73-udRS9YxnYjTxLGT-N408_GZcX8/w640-h360/30%20day%20dprecip.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Precipitation departure from average for the past month is evidence of much drier conditions for the Mid-South once the summer storm track moved north. The only areas with above average precipitation are in far northwest MS and Crittenden Co, due mainly to storms earlier this week. (NWS/WPC)</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div>We also see drought conditions expanding in north Mississippi in the past 30 days, since that area started the summer with much less rainfall than west TN.</div><div><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj1nT4guUvwsuip4zR5qjnq1s8AcyXUBe54JTgbHF1CRUv6XeiV4J_dNQBSkiPLM0gPMgjRgrsaHmK14s7mOTg0CHMCULQ3Ea25hP9OpUyJe4LCCDX75PBuYVx_1hbaPKhPHWA_CYlaad5HVavRSi3uYl0duvq_Bqxr3KYC0zyR5CTRhYLWbqNKvS93oIM/s1056/current_wfomeg_trd%20(1).png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="816" data-original-width="1056" height="309" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj1nT4guUvwsuip4zR5qjnq1s8AcyXUBe54JTgbHF1CRUv6XeiV4J_dNQBSkiPLM0gPMgjRgrsaHmK14s7mOTg0CHMCULQ3Ea25hP9OpUyJe4LCCDX75PBuYVx_1hbaPKhPHWA_CYlaad5HVavRSi3uYl0duvq_Bqxr3KYC0zyR5CTRhYLWbqNKvS93oIM/w400-h309/current_wfomeg_trd%20(1).png" width="400" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Drought Index for the Mid-South as of this week. The Mississippi Delta is running well below normal for precipitation this summer. (U.S. Drought Monitor)</td></tr></tbody></table><br />As summer officially turns to fall today (at 1:50am this morning), we're starting pumpkin spice season off with above average temperatures. Afternoon temperatures will flirt with the 90 degree mark, which is not completely unusual since our typical last 90 degree day is September 19. (And recall clast year, when mid-September featured multiple 100 degree days!) But it doesn't FEEL much like fall out there! Thank goodness for humidity levels that are early-autumn-like.<div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg56yhV4zKHDPcNfyBpc4Se3Bk51E0hV0SQlySp8OtEE1TvdUGxZwhqEnkt9rvbbmugxPkNv1o85nY3BlUdyESgWd1BfemIChTpq096rPK5julTmGQ9xTJreOewP349_Kmk7QpScqYRunj4h2uHSKNulA0_UB2vAzDILN64APikcSs00zyquJNTkNLPQ6Y/s460/giphy%20(13).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="259" data-original-width="460" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg56yhV4zKHDPcNfyBpc4Se3Bk51E0hV0SQlySp8OtEE1TvdUGxZwhqEnkt9rvbbmugxPkNv1o85nY3BlUdyESgWd1BfemIChTpq096rPK5julTmGQ9xTJreOewP349_Kmk7QpScqYRunj4h2uHSKNulA0_UB2vAzDILN64APikcSs00zyquJNTkNLPQ6Y/w400-h225/giphy%20(13).gif" width="400" /></a></div><br /><div><div>A frontal system will approach the area on Sunday, bringing more clouds which will temper the warmth. It will also introduce scattered shower and thunderstorm chances, especially Sunday afternoon and night into Monday morning. However, the HRRR model (below) is more bullish on storms in Arkansas than areas east of the Mississippi River, thanks to high pressure to our east causing precipitation to fall apart as it approaches.</div><div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj1XmGX7l0Di9pV-Xols5jWs4FdEC8CoxXE0IUz5gww7Jt0Etmn9jx_6GOrzCFVUPoGKpe6saknHypw4142W-x7dZ4ZdPjsfRrXe2OrGsEB4tQYh8CxrKl6ul91mdMgVEXUf1c7KUObIvUHydeFXJaX3gv5nBnTD-mbTCcL1yRrN6EcftaQ60OlsjVmKqs/s984/hrrr-arkansas-refc-1695470400-1695531600-1695643200-20.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em; text-align: center;"><img border="0" data-original-height="808" data-original-width="984" height="329" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj1XmGX7l0Di9pV-Xols5jWs4FdEC8CoxXE0IUz5gww7Jt0Etmn9jx_6GOrzCFVUPoGKpe6saknHypw4142W-x7dZ4ZdPjsfRrXe2OrGsEB4tQYh8CxrKl6ul91mdMgVEXUf1c7KUObIvUHydeFXJaX3gv5nBnTD-mbTCcL1yRrN6EcftaQ60OlsjVmKqs/w400-h329/hrrr-arkansas-refc-1695470400-1695531600-1695643200-20.gif" width="400" /></a></div><div> <br /><div>Once we get past Monday, another dry spell sets up for the rest of the week it appears, with temperatures just slightly above normal. It'll be a rinse-and-repeat pattern with partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies, high temperatures in the mid 80s and morning lows in the mid 60s. Normal highs this time of year run about 82-84 degrees. </div><div><br /></div><div>If you are waiting for visible signs of fall (not Starbucks advertising signs for PSL's!), fall colors are still about a month off in the Mid-South. Any leaves changing color at this point are more likely due to trauma from lack of precipitation than true fall color setting in! </div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiKZY3aCUSlcnTDdVWGwvjwnpOLvj9mUAwgX2b9UJgJdNPGpnsEnfmGL2y_XG65LC7J83ZYSPZWeEFJZbNwSJV85yeSnYSMCjemtyPHeAR9DTpx74WFsY5O0y5cUBpO5mNYX8nMb7Z3JMqZVLzW1OncZLU-TELyUEmlGW5nlXN1O_bvYuLb-QDMF2x603A/s480/giphy%20(12).gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="360" data-original-width="480" height="240" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiKZY3aCUSlcnTDdVWGwvjwnpOLvj9mUAwgX2b9UJgJdNPGpnsEnfmGL2y_XG65LC7J83ZYSPZWeEFJZbNwSJV85yeSnYSMCjemtyPHeAR9DTpx74WFsY5O0y5cUBpO5mNYX8nMb7Z3JMqZVLzW1OncZLU-TELyUEmlGW5nlXN1O_bvYuLb-QDMF2x603A/s320/giphy%20(12).gif" width="320" /></a></div><br /><div>Erik Proseus</div>
MWN Meteorologist<br />
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Follow MWN on <a href="http://www.facebook.com/memphisweather1" target="_blank">Facebook</a> and <a href="http://twitter.com/memphisweather1" target="_blank">Twitter</a> for routine updates and the latest info!<br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="95" src="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" width="200" /></a></td><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s1600/NWADigital_full.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="99" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s200/NWADigital_full.jpg" width="200" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">MWN is a NOAA Weather Ready Nation Ambassador</td> <td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Meteorologist Erik Proseus is an NWA Digital Seal Holder</td></tr>
</tbody></table></div></div></div><br />Meteorologist Erik Proseushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16116114428520631122noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6095709393884268330.post-83431316645445664352023-09-08T13:53:00.000-05:002023-09-08T13:53:05.694-05:00August 2023 Climate Report for Memphis, TN<h3>August Climate Recap</h3><div>The month of August generally saw temperatures waver every few days from slightly above to slightly below normal. The exception was a string of hot days in the third week of the month, which resulted in four days hitting the century mark and nearly a week of average temperatures 5-10 degrees above normal. Multiple warm temperature records were also set during that late summer heat wave and a <span style="background-color: white;">string of four consecutive days with temperatures no lower than 80 degrees (August 22-26) tied for fifth longest on record and is the latest (in the year) occurrence of a streak of three or more such days on record. </span>The periodically cooler weather tempered the overall average for the month, which ended slightly above normal. An interesting note though was that that average was driven almost entirely by the overnight lows, which were more than a degree above normal. Average high temperatures for the month were right at average for August. For the period of meteorological summer (June-August), the average temperature for the three-month period of 81.4 degrees ended in the top 25% of all years (period of record: 149 years).</div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgnfPxrnM4bMyu3HmyhCOFQxuim5jp9RzL7R9oBUdSL5XbhE5OAGLd6y8giGlTLlBdagijz-ZTkYFqSTAaOxIVSKc3vkBzEi1wKGvRazM2BRkC2MQbwJENs5n_Vwl7XHNrYYssYe6tqzMYpSTon-4NoNKvT221eEAVfo7AoRsPruB91ZHewWL2g4uFvukc/s1280/prism_conus_tavg_anom_AUG2023.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1024" data-original-width="1280" height="512" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgnfPxrnM4bMyu3HmyhCOFQxuim5jp9RzL7R9oBUdSL5XbhE5OAGLd6y8giGlTLlBdagijz-ZTkYFqSTAaOxIVSKc3vkBzEi1wKGvRazM2BRkC2MQbwJENs5n_Vwl7XHNrYYssYe6tqzMYpSTon-4NoNKvT221eEAVfo7AoRsPruB91ZHewWL2g4uFvukc/w640-h512/prism_conus_tavg_anom_AUG2023.png" width="640" /></a></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div><div><div style="text-align: left;"><span>A wet summer to date continued for portions of the Memphis area as multiple rounds of heavy rain tracked across the northern metro during the month, resulting in over eight inches of precipitation in Bartlett. However, southern Shelby County and north MS missed out on much of this, with the airport recording just under three inches of rain for the month (much of that falling during storms on the 9th and 10th). The dry weather in the MS Delta region during both July and August resulted in drought conditions setting in mid-month in those agricultural areas. For the period of meteorological summer (June-August), total precipitation of 16.84" ended in the top 10% of all years (period of record: 152 years).</span></div><div style="text-align: left;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: left;"><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjGfp242f4y805KEWXnDfuKgYQVKOpFHCjRNiyLUx_-98NkAlD3UimnEAnRZc9Dxo__Dxa5SJCLolyizjbw2arooQg0DNIote6OV-YVlclSwIGrAnomWIxbkT38fZD8XF6rMUeB5mJ2xCMyxnpmgqfyHLVymAy2Ct1DgXEGMxm1aU2QN-OEaK3YVMHb30Y/s1637/August_precip.png" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="917" data-original-width="1637" height="358" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjGfp242f4y805KEWXnDfuKgYQVKOpFHCjRNiyLUx_-98NkAlD3UimnEAnRZc9Dxo__Dxa5SJCLolyizjbw2arooQg0DNIote6OV-YVlclSwIGrAnomWIxbkT38fZD8XF6rMUeB5mJ2xCMyxnpmgqfyHLVymAy2Ct1DgXEGMxm1aU2QN-OEaK3YVMHb30Y/w640-h358/August_precip.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Departure from average rainfall for the Mid-South in August 2023. The precipitation disparity between northern and southern areas of the metro was stark, as evidenced by 8"+ of rainfall in Bartlett and less than 3" at Memphis Int'l in south Memphis. By the middle of the month, drought conditions had developed in the Mississippi Delta. (NOAA)</td></tr></tbody></table><div style="text-align: left;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: left;">An active summer severe weather pattern continued into early August with severe thunderstorms resulting in wind damage on afternoon of the 5th, followed by another round of midday storms on the 9th that brought large hail, damaging wind, and areas of flash flooding in Shelby County. A few strong storms also occurred mainly in Crittenden County on the evening of the 26th as the heat wave was broken by a cold front. </div></div>
<h3>Memphis International Airport, Memphis, TN</h3><div><u><b>Temperature</b></u> </div></div><div><b>Average temperature</b>: 82.6 degrees (0.5 degrees above average) </div><div><b>Average high temperature</b>: 91.4 degrees (0.1 degrees below average) </div><div><b>Average low temperature</b>: 73.8 degrees (1.2 degrees above average) </div><div><b>Warmest temperature</b>: 102 degrees (25th, 26th) </div><div><b>Coolest temperature</b>: 63 degrees (31st) </div><div><b>Heating Degrees Days</b>: 0</div><div><b>Cooling Degree Days</b>: 553 (25 above average) </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>Records set or tied</b>: </span><span style="background-color: white;">August 22, (80°, tied record warm low), </span><span style="background-color: white;">August 23, (81°, set record warm low), August 24 (100°, tied record high), August 25 (102°, set record high; 80°, set record warm low), August 26 (80°, set record warm low). </span></div><div><b>Comments</b>: 18 days reached 90°, which is 2.2 days below average for the month of August</div><div><i><br /></i></div><div><u><b>Precipitation</b></u> </div><div><b>Monthly total</b>: 2.82" (0.55" below average) </div><div><b>Days with measurable precipitation</b>: 8 (0.4 days above average) </div><div><b>Wettest 24-hour period</b>: 2.17" (9th-10th) </div><div><b>Snowfall</b>: None</div><div><b>Records set or tied</b><span style="background-color: white;">: N/A</span></div><div><b>Comments</b>: More than three-fourths of the total rain for the month fell in a 24-hour period over the 9th-10th. </div><div><i><br /></i></div><div><u><b>Miscellaneous</b></u> </div><div><b>Peak wind</b>: North-northwest/51 mph (9th)<i> </i></div><div><b>Average wind</b>: 6.8 mph </div><div><b>Average relative humidity</b>: 69%</div><div><b>Average sky cover</b>: 42%</div><div><br /></div><div> Click <a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/data/kmem/2023_08.txt" target="_blank">here</a> for a daily statistical recap for Memphis International Airport.</div><div>
<h3>MemphisWeather.net Headquarters, Bartlett, TN</h3><div><u><b>Temperature</b></u> </div></div><div><b>Average temperature</b>: 79.6 degrees </div><div><b>Average high temperature</b>: 90.5 degrees </div><div><b>Average low temperature</b>: 70.8 degrees </div><div><b>Warmest temperature</b>: 99.8 degrees (5th) </div><div><b>Coolest temperature</b>: 58.8 degrees (31st) </div><div><b>Comments</b>: None </div><div><br /></div><div><u><b>Precipitation</b></u> </div><div><b>Monthly total</b>: 8.20" (automated rain gauge), 8.09" (CoCoRaHS rain gauge) </div><div><b>Days with measurable precipitation</b>: 8</div><div><b>Wettest date:</b> 3.33" (9th) (via automated gauge) </div><div><b>Snowfall</b>: None</div><div><b>Comments</b>: Bartlett received over five inches more rain than fell at the airport, or almost 300% of the airport total. In fact, more rain fell on August 9 in Bartlett than the airport received for the entire month. The July-August total for Bartlett was well over 16 inches.</div><div><u><b><br /></b></u></div><div><u><b>
</b></u> <u><b>Miscellaneous</b></u> </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>Peak wind</b>:</span> Southwest/28 mph (5th)</div>
<div>
<b>Average relative humidity</b>: 79% </div><div><b>Average barometric pressure</b>: 29.95 in. Hg
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<b>Comments</b>: None</div><div><br /></div>
Click <a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/data/2023_08.txt" target="_blank">here</a> for a daily statistical recap for Bartlett, TN.</div><div>
<h3>
<u>MWN Forecast Accuracy</u></h3><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>MWN average temperature error</b>: 1.99 degrees</span> </div></div><div><b><span style="background-color: white;">MWN forecast temperatures within 2 degrees of actual</span></b><span style="background-color: white;">: 76%</span> </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>MWN average dewpoint error</b>: 1.70 degrees</span> </div><div><span style="background-color: white;"><b>MWN forecast dewpoints within 2 degrees of actual</b>: 72%</span> </div><div><br /></div><div>MWN's forecasts extend out five periods (2.5 days, or roughly 60 hours). Historical accuracy statistics can be found <a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/accuracy.shtml#2022" target="_blank">here</a>.</div><div><br /></div></div>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="95" src="https://www.memphisweather.net/images/logo/WRN_Ambassador_logo_378x181.jpg" width="200" /></a></td><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s1600/NWADigital_full.jpg" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="99" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM-WbOR0fGodfQ1SrTifLJqUklZj4xpFj1LPCagUIQ2d0geVqaxVcHtSEfauEe_Bg2deQhJpoLdpDkepdr_4otXhYH9NnGCjJE95tv4iXlNf05aRadGo64ZdBXkcOxR6Xafj6Nz41GLMQ/s200/NWADigital_full.jpg" width="200" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">MWN is a NOAA Weather Ready Nation Ambassador</td> <td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Meteorologist Erik Proseus is an NWA Digital Seal Holder</td></tr>
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Meteorologist Erik Proseushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16116114428520631122noreply@blogger.com0