Wednesday, November 7, 2018

Dreary today and tomorrow; cold blast on the horizon!

We are about halfway through a big pattern shift as we reach the midpoint of the week.

So what will this pattern shift entail? Today our temperatures have begun to drop after a cold front pushed through the area Monday night and was reinforced earlier today, ushering in these cool, dreary conditions. Unfortunately these conditions will continue to hang around today and tomorrow, but an end to the dreary pattern is in sight. Into this weekend, skies will begin to clear out welcoming back in plenty of sunshine. Even though sunshine will return, our temperatures will remain well below average through the period. We will even begin to see early winter-like temperatures in the extended forecast, but more on this later. 


While we shouldn't see anymore rain today, it will still look and feel rather dreary. Temps are expected to rise only a few more degrees this afternoon, with highs reaching the mid 50s. A cool, northeasterly wind will help to keep things feeling even chillier today into tonight as winds will remain between 10 to 15 mph. Tonight, skies should begin to clear a little bit leaving behind partly cloudy conditions. Overnight lows will dip down into the mid 40s, so be sure to bring out the extra blanket before heading to bed. 


Dreary and even cooler temperatures look to be in store for tomorrow as our mostly cloudy skies will hang around throughout the day. Highs will reach the low 50s, but the constant cloud coverage and continued northeast wind will likely make it feel a bit cooler than that. 

Rain chances will begin to increase as we move through the day into tomorrow evening. A scattered, afternoon shower cannot be ruled out, but the majority of showers will begin to move in towards the evening into the overnight hours. Lows will dip down into the low 40s tomorrow night.

The NAM3 model shows scattered showers developing in the afternoon to early evening hours tomorrow with showers becoming more widespread into the overnight hours. (Tropical Tidbits)

Friday into this weekend

After some early morning, scattered showers on Friday, things look to finally clear out for the rest of the weekend.

The NAM3 model shows showers continuing into the early morning hours on Friday but clearing during the day. (Tropical Tidbits)
Even cooler temps will begin to move in behind these showers on Friday, leaving us with highs in the mid 40s to near 50 throughout the weekend. Luckily, sunny skies on Saturday and Sunday will help things to feel a tad bit warmer than that. But for those heading out for the Memphis football game, tailgating will be downright cold as morning temperatures will be in the 30s. Even the mid 40s during the afternoon hours with sunshine will require a coat. Also, you'll want to take precautions for any outdoor vegetation that you don't want to lose - morning lows Saturday and Sunday will be near or below freezing!

Next week

Well folks, it looks like we will continue to get a decent taste of early winter into next week as well. After another cold front passes through next Monday, even cooler temperatures will be arriving to much of the eastern half of the U.S.
If you haven't already, it may be a good idea to dig out those winter jackets and plenty of blankets. Overnight lows next week will dip to near or below freezing with daytime highs in the 40s to low 50s.

The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) has a 90% probability that temperatures will be well below average next week. Much of the eastern half of the U.S. will be below average as well. (CPC via Pivotal Weather)
CPC keeps the Mid-South slightly below average to near average in terms of precipitation through next week. (CPC via Pivotal Weather)
Next week is certainly going to be a chilly one - the coolest we have seen since last spring!

Caroline MacDonald
MWN Meteorologist

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