Wednesday, November 20, 2019

Fall? Is that you?

Finally some fall-like temperatures!
A beautiful start to the week with high temperatures in the 60s! These temperatures seem pretty warm when compared to last week’s arctic blast. (A new record low of 17° was set last Tuesday morning, the earliest we have dropped into the teens!) The end of the week brings back another cold front keeping with the pattern we’ve been seeing. However, this cold front will not bring back those arctic temperatures. Thankfully overnight lows will only drop down into the thirties! By the weekend temperatures rebound quickly giving us another beautiful start to Thanksgiving week.

These beautiful days are all thanks to a high pressure system situated to our northeast. Due to the clockwise flow of air around the high, winds have become southerly, bringing warm air back into the southeast U.S. Clear skies and highs in the upper 60s will hang on for Wednesday but the story begins to change for Thursday. Clouds will increase throughout Wednesday night and Thursday ahead of the next low pressure system. Highs will be in the mid 60s Thursday, but a chance of a passing shower returns by Thursday afternoon.

Weather Prediction Center's Surface Analysis valid 9am 11/20/19
Thursday Night-Saturday
Overnight lows for Thursday will only be down into the low to mid 50s as clouds and rain chances increase. Friday will mostly likely start off with rain for most of us! Rain along the cold front will continue pushing through the area by mid-morning on Friday. Temperatures will only warm into the upper 50s ahead of the cold front. This means that Friday’s high temperature will most likely occur around mid-day and fall throughout the afternoon behind the passing cold front. Overnight lows for Friday will fall well into the 40s, so don’t forget a warm rain jacket if you have plans!

Total rainfall Thursday through Friday night  could approach 2" according to NOAA's Weather Prediction Center.

Rain chances will decrease by early Saturday, leading to a chilly day with highs in the lower 50s! Cloud cover will hang on for most of the day on Saturday, which will keep the air feeling cool when combined with a north wind. Clouds diminish overnight.


After a chilly start with lows in the mid 30s, Sunday will be a bright and beautiful day. Skies will be mostly sunny throughout the day with afternoon highs in the mid 50s. This holds true into Monday with lows in the upper 30s but highs back around 60! On Tuesday, clouds and rain chances return as a cold front moves through the area. This cold front looks to have a bit more punch to it with cool air behind, semi-warm air ahead, and a fair amount of wind energy. Thunderstorms are possible with this front as it moves through Tuesday. Cooler temperatures return on Wednesday with highs in the lower 50s, but clouds will decrease, leaving the day mostly sunny! 

A weather system early next week could bring a chance of thunderstorms as low pressure strengthens as it moves towards the Great Lakes, dragging a front through the Mid-South on Tuesday. (WPC)
[ Editor's Note: we're withholding judgment on that all-important Thanksgiving/Black Friday forecast for now. Suffice it to say, there's too much uncertainty. You can read that as "there's no consensus on beautiful weather." More later... ]

Paige Davide
MWN Meteorologist Intern

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