Saturday, May 11, 2019

When clear weather returns, and your mother's day forecast

Happy weekend! After a couple days of wet weather, and a cool day yesterday, it's nice to see some clear weather returning for the Mid-South in the near future. Today rain chances are still intact for the metro, but clearing out come Sunday. 


The HRRR model showing scattered showers for the duration of Saturday. (WxBell)
After some morning drizzle, afternoon rain and some thunderstorm activity will be likely. A stalling cold front is bringing us this lovely weather, but luckily it's pushing out overnight, leaving behind some decent weather just in time for Mother's Day. The Storm Prediction Center currently has most of the severe weather risk down south, where instability is higher, while our main concerns are just a few thunderstorms, and most of those will be this afternoon in Mississippi. Temperatures today will only rise to around 67. Any outdoor plans today should have a backup plan in place, in case you need to move them indoors. Overnight expect overcast conditions with some showers moving into the very early hours. Temps down down into the upper 50's. But let's get to the good news!

The Storm Prediction Center severe weather outlook for Saturday has a Marginal Risk of severe weather (level 1 of 5) just to our south, leaving the Memphis metro with just the chance of thunder. (NWS/SPC)


Don't change any plans you have for Mother's Day, because it's looking up to be a pretty good day! Pre-dawn Sunday is looking to have a few showers, but skies become partly sunny for the rest of the morning and afternoon. A low pressure system will continue to push northeast, leaving behind warmer temps in the lower 70's, a bit more sunshine, and a light northwest wind. Clouds will clear out by Sunday night making it mainly clear with a low of 54. A perfect day to enjoy outside!

Beginning Your Work Week

Nothing like Monday motivation with a forecast like this. We'll start the week off dry with Monday looking to be partly cloudy with highs in the lower to mid 70's and lows in the mid 50's. On Tuesday, more sun returns with highs warming up to near 80 and lows in the mid 50's.

Rain Chances Return Mid-Week

Rain chances return in the latter half of the week, specifically Thursday according to the GFS model. (Pivotal Weather)

Wednesday and Thursday are looking to be the days when slight rain chances could return. These would have some possible thunderstorms associated with them, but we'll be keeping a close eye on those as we get closer. We'll keep rain chances low at about 20% for both days with partly sunny skies. Low precip amounts are expected Wednesday, but could be a bit higher with the weak front moving through Thursday. Temps will warm up again after Tuesday, putting us back above average with highs in the 80's through next weekend. But with that warm weather, allergy problems will return. Might want to keep that allergy medicine handy around mid-week!

Medium amounts of pollen are anticipated for Tuesday and Wednesday. (

Have a great weekend Memphians, and Happy Mother's Day to all the wonderful moms out there!

Jennifer Lambers
MWN Meteorologist Intern

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