Thursday, October 24, 2019

Wet weather to start the weekend and a chilly Halloween setting up!

Fall is now in full force! Over the past couple of days we have had some beautiful fall days with a few chilly mornings and nights thrown in. This time of year, we often get some severe storms associated with cold fronts moving in after several days of warmer temperatures. This was the case Monday morning. Monday’s cold front brought some severe storms early but wonderful fall days since.

Over the next week there will be a few more chances at rain. Into Friday and Saturday, a Gulf low pressure system will bring increasing rain chances for the beginning of the weekend. Sunday through Tuesday will be more of the cooler mornings and warmer afternoons that we have been seeing a lot of recently! By mid-week, another cold front will move across the southeast bringing a cold punch just in time for Halloween!  

Thursday night through Saturday

Clouds will increase overnight into Friday morning. By late Friday morning, rain chances return as a low pressure system moves in from the Gulf of Mexico. This tropical system will bring moisture and rain chances through Saturday. Temperatures on Friday will only reach about 60 and only fluctuate slightly overnight into Saturday morning. By Saturday early afternoon, rain chances should fall off allowing for temperatures to reach back up into the upper 60s. Overall Friday looks messy and cool while Saturday may recover and allow for a partially nice day!
The NWS forecast for precipitation from this low-pressure system, valid Friday to Saturday night, indicates a good bit of rain overall with over 2" possible for some areas. (WPC)


Sunday through Tuesday looks beautiful! Overnight temperatures heading into Sunday will be in the lower 50s and will quickly rise into the upper 60s by afternoon. Behind the low pressure system, skies will be mostly sunny with no rain chances. Monday and Tuesday look very similar with overnight lows around 50 and highs in the upper 60s under sunny skies. Tuesday may be slightly cooler with afternoon highs only reaching into the mid 60s. Overall the beginning half of next week looks like cool fall days!


Wednesday brings the next cold front through the area. This front should have low chances of strong storms, but it will bring back rain chances. The front should pass early Wednesday bringing much cooler temperatures for the afternoon. Highs will only be in the mid 50s under mostly cloudy skies throughout most of the day. 

The surface map for Wednesday morning shows a strong fall front moving through the Southeast. Storms are unlikely with this frontal passage but the coldest air so far this fall will be behind it. (WPC)
Into Halloween on Thursday, skies will clear but the cold air will still be hanging around. Afternoon temperatures may only reach the lower 50s with overnight lows getting down into the 30s! As you head out with the kids to trick or treat you may need to bundle up! With this latest cold front, we may have a shot at our first widespread frost of the year by late week.

A Look at Week 2 

Over the following 8-10 days, it appears we will be in the same trend that we have be experiencing for the past couple of weeks. Temperatures will be pretty chilly to end the month. Models are trying to put the next cold front late next weekend to start off November much cooler than how we started October. As we get closer the models will become more confident on the strength and timing.  Overall it appears that we will remain slightly below average throughout the first half of November.  

The temperature outlook (relative to average) for October 31 - November 6 indicates much of the country east of the Rockies will be cooler than normal. (CPC)

Paige Davide
MWN Meteorologist Intern

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