Sunday, December 10, 2017

Winter Wonderland? Cold But No Snow Yet for Memphis

The story dominating the headlines across the Southeast to end the week has been the snow, which dropped a few inches of the white stuff across Mississippi, Alabama, and points south. But when will the Memphis area get in on the winter wonderland? It'll depend on whether the presence of cold air and sufficient moisture merge at the same time, and in the right place! Right now, chances look slim for the foreseeable future however.
A selection of snowfall totals from Friday from across Mississippi and Louisiana. More can be found here.
Temperatures over the next 48 hours across the metro will be warming comfortably, with highs in the mid 50s on Sunday and low to mid 60s on Monday. Skies will be mostly sunny both days, but with a strong south to southwesterly wind that helps bring in that warmer air. Lows overnight drop to the mid to upper 30s. But don't get adjusted to the warmth quite yet.

Winter's icy blast will be back on Tuesday with colder temperatures filtering on south once again. A cold front will shove away those warmer temperatures at the start of your work week, replacing them with highs only in the mid 40s. The front will not bring anything in the way of precipitation to the Mid-South unfortunately though.

As the cold front approaches Memphis from the north, any precipitation will be focused out to the east and northeast of the area. But here comes the cold again!
Sunny skies will continue through the end of the coming work week, with partly to mostly sunny skies for Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday. Highs each day will be in the low to mid 50s, but the overnight lows drop off the proverbial cliff. Lows will drop to near 30 Wednesday morning and again Friday morning. If you have not prepared your plants, pipes, and pets already for old man winter, it is time to do so!

Fortunately, a warming trend is in the cards by next weekend, with highs in the upper 50s on Saturday. However, that will also bring our next decent chance of rain for the Mid-South, as the next storm approaches. All eyes will then turn to the last week before Christmas, where the roads will be just as jam-packed as the malls!


Prepping for the holiday season? You can rely on our team of MWN meteorologists and interns to bring you the most updated weather forecast for the Memphis metro. Also follow us on Facebook and Twitter for the latest weather conveniently in your social media stream. Speaking of convenient, download our MWN Weather app for forecasts at your fingertips while you're on the run finishing that holiday shopping.

Alex Herbst, Meteorologist
MWN Social Media Intern

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MWN is a NOAA Weather Ready Nation Ambassador Meteorologist Erik Proseus is an NWA Digital Seal Holder

Saturday, December 9, 2017

November 2017 Climate Data for Memphis, TN

November Climate Recap

Temperatures ended up a bit above average for the month, with warm temperatures to start and end the month but a string of cooler than average days in the middle of the month. The highest temperature of the month (83°) occurred on the second during a strong of days that reached the 70s. Most of the month featured highs in the 50s and 60s, however, with no sub-freezing morning lows at the airport. The month continued a recent dry spell with precipitation about 1/3 of a normal November and concentrated on a handful of days. Thus, the month ended with "abnormally dry" conditions across parts of the metro on the Drought Monitor. There was no severe weather for the month and no warnings issued.



Memphis International Airport, Memphis, TN


Temperature
Average temperature: 54.9 degrees (1.7 degrees above average)
Average high temperature: 65.0 degrees (2.4 degrees above average)
Average low temperature: 44.9 degrees (1.2 degrees above average)
Warmest temperature: 83 degrees (2nd)
Coolest temperature: 29 degrees (23rd )
Heating Degrees Days: 315 (53 below average)
Cooling Degree Days: 22 (9 above average)
Records set or tied: None
Comments: Year to date, the average temperature of 66.8° is 2.1° above average and fifth warmest on record. For the period September-November (meteorological fall), the average temperature was 65.2°, which is 1.0° above average.

Precipitation
Monthly total: 1.81" (3.68" below average)
Days with measurable precipitation: 7
Wettest 24-hour period: 1.00" (6th)
Snowfall: None
Records set or tied: None
Comments:  Only 0.44" of rain fell after the first week of the month. Year to date, precipitation has totaled 44.12", which is 92% of average. For the period September-November (meteorological fall), precipitation totaled 7.46", which was 5.10" below average, or 59%.

Miscellaneous
Peak wind: Northwest/50 mph (18th)
Average wind: 7.6 mph
Average relative humidity: 64%
Average sky cover: 40%

Click here for a daily statistical recap for Memphis International Airport.

Cirrus Weather Solutions / MemphisWeather.net, Bartlett, TN


Temperature
Average temperature: 52.8 degrees
Average high temperature: 65.6 degrees
Average low temperature: 41.0 degrees
Warmest temperature: 82.1 degrees (2nd)
Coolest temperature: 24.6 degrees (23rd)
Comments: None

Precipitation
Monthly total: 2.09" (automated rain gauge), x.xx" (manual CoCoRaHS rain gauge)
Days with measurable precipitation: 6
Wettest date: 0.71" (6th) (via automated gauge)
Snowfall: None
Comments: Only 0.68" of rain fell after the first week of the month.

Miscellaneous
Peak wind: South/35 mph (18th)
Average relative humidity: 76%
Average barometric pressure: 30.13 in. Hg
Comments: None

Click here for a daily statistical recap for Bartlett, TN.

MWN Forecast Accuracy

MWN average temperature error: 2.54 degrees
MWN forecast temperatures within 2 degrees of actual: 62%
MWN average dewpoint error: 2.53 degrees
MWN forecast dewpoints within 2 degrees of actual: 62%

MWN's forecasts extend out five periods (2.5 days, or roughly 60 hours). Historical accuracy statistics can be found here.

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Visit MemphisWeather.net on the web or m.memphisweather.net on your mobile phone.
Download our iPhone or Android apps, featuring StormWatch+ severe weather alerts!
MWN is a NOAA Weather Ready Nation Ambassador Meteorologist Erik Proseus is an NWA Digital Seal Holder

Sunday, December 3, 2017

One more 70-degree day, then winter arrives!

I recorded a video discussion on the major changes to the weather pattern arriving early Tuesday. Watch below for full details!



And here's the forecast for those just wanting to cut to the (cold) chase!













Erik Proseus
MWN Meteorologist

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Follow MWN on Facebook, Twitter, and Google+
Visit MemphisWeather.net on the web or m.memphisweather.net on your mobile phone.
Download our iPhone or Android apps, featuring StormWatch+ severe weather alerts!4
MWN is a NOAA Weather Ready Nation Ambassador Meteorologist Erik Proseus is an NWA Digital Seal Holder