Tuesday, November 16, 2010

Chilly rain today, but more warmth on the horizon

The Mid-South is in the midst of a fairly active period weather-wise. Strengthening low pressure that originated in the western Gulf of Mexico yesterday is moving just to the east of the metro area this morning and will quickly depart the area by this evening, taking the rain and clouds with it. Another low pressure system diving out of the northern Rockies will pass by to our north Wednesday evening. Between these systems, a breezy but warmer day is expected Wednesday. With the passage of the Wednesday evening cold front, a few light showers could develop, but most areas will likely just see clouds from late afternoon through late evening. Cool air of Pacific origin will keep temperatures on Thursday cool once again.

Beginning Friday, another period of pleasantly warm weather begins as high pressure builds over the southeastern U.S. Southwesterly wind will help temperatures warm into the 60s Saturday and near 70 Sunday, making for a very nice weekend! This pattern will continue into early next week. Currently, long-range models are indicating that this nice weather will come to an abrupt end around Thanksgiving Day as a strong cold front moves through, bringing much cooler temperatures (more typical of late November) and a decent shot at rain. This is still beyond the range of the MWN Extended Forecast, so we'll continue to monitor. Given the time of year, it's definitely reasonable though that the 70 degree weather will not last forever - it's just a matter of exactly when and how hard it comes crashing down!

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